Competitive Bidding 2011.

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Presentation transcript:

Competitive Bidding 2011

Shallow Water Bid Round - Results Deep Water Bid Round – Results Outline of Talk Introduction Framework for Presentation Shallow Water Bid Round - Results Deep Water Bid Round – Results Analysis of Results MEEA’s view on the Deep Water Blocks Block Nomination CBO 2011

Gas utilisation began 50 yrs ago Current Gas Production 4.1bcf/d Population - 1.3M Labor Force - 0.5M Literacy Rate - 88% LOCATION Northeast of Venezuela Southernmost of Caribbean Total Area – 1,864sq. miles Commercial oil production began 102yrs ago Current Production-100,000 bopd

Government’s Focus Sustainable development of the energy industry Provision of a competitive framework for investment Provision of gas for expansion of downstream industries Rebalance oil and gas production Enabling greater participation of nationals and national enterprises in the energy sector provision of incentives for investment

2009 Shallow and Average Water Acreage Offered Blocks Offered NCMA 2 NCMA 4 NCMA 3 NCMA 5 4(b) North Marine 5(d)

Results of Bid Round/1 North Marine Block -280 sq km The bid was not accepted Block NCMA 2 - 1,019 sq km. Block awarded to a Niko Resources/RWE AG Consortium Block NCMA 3 - 1,019 sq km. Block awarded to Niko Resources

Results of Bid Round/2 Block 4(b) - 750 sq km Block 5(d) - 684 sq km Block NCMA 4 - 1779 sq km. Block awarded to Centrica Resources NCMA 5 - 2,311 sq km No bid received Block 4(b) - 750 sq km Block awarded to Niko Resources  Block 5(d) - 684 sq km Not awarded

Status Contract Negotiation is complete Contracts should be executed before the end of April, 2011

Competitive Bid Round No. 2 (Deep Water) 2010 Competitive Bid Round No. 2 (Deep Water)

Trinidad and Tobago Upstream Activity Map showing Deep water Blocks Offered Block 23(a) Block 23(b) TTDAA 14

Deep Water Bid Round Block 23(a) – 3bids Block 23(b) – BHPB/Repsol 39 blocks in water depths 1,000 – 3,500 metres offered for nomination Eleven blocks were offered for bids 5 bids were received Block 23(a) – 3bids BPEOC BHPB/TOTAL/Repsol Niko Resources Block 23(b) – BHPB/Repsol Block TTDAA 14 – BPEOC Bids are currently being evaluated Announcements of the preferred bidder by April, 29, 2011

Analysis of Results Results still being analysed Technical Risk seems to be an issue Likely Product – ?Gas/Oil/Wet Gas Companies want data which actually image the source rock No issues with the revised Fiscal Regime Offered incentives for deep water exploration and production Will again address the technical risk

Analysis Phase 1 DGA report recommended reprocessing of the lines used in evaluation of the acreage Velocities utilised in processing too slow Observations about source rock and its maturation is an issue Especially so in the southern TTDAA blocks CaribeSpan lines will be reprocessed by ION/GXT

Analysis Most companies would prefer oil The MEEA based on the studies done is of the view that there is oil to be found in the southern part of the basin A scan of the global environment with respect to gas is interesting While in sympathy with the misfortune of others, it seems that gas will be once again in ascent in markets outside of North America However, the following slides reemphasize our view on the product being oil in certain areas of the deep water

Sheet Fans Provide Multiple Reservoir/Seal Targets Trinidad fans show excellent lateral extents 5 km Block TDAA5 Open Pleistocene Sheet fans deposited at early lowstand time Pliocene Miocene Mid-Miocene

Trinidad Piston Cores Show Live Oil and an Active Hydrocarbon System The summary slide for the piston core surveys uses a straightforward scheme of total heavies of C15+ and divides the wells into groups denoted on the map by a color coded well symbols. The distribution shows an active hydrocarbon system operating throughout the area. The recent wet gas discovery in Victory 1 is noted. Total Piston Cores 449 Cores with Live Oil Shows 8 Cores with C15+ Heavies GT 10000 units 7 GT 1000-LT 10000 units 84 LT 1000 units 260 50 km Gas Shows / Discoveries 3 Pepper Sauce 1 Gas Show Dynamine 1 30’ Gas Sand Victory 1 Discovery Tobago Trinidad

Accretionary Prism Oil Source Naparima Hill and Gautier fluids Need to be in upper to middle Miocene to avoid biodegradation Seal Excellent seals exist in the Pliocene and Pleistocene No reason not to expect these seals further offshore Traps do not appear to be overpressured to fracture seals Reservoir Proven reservoirs in Sandy Lane to Oligocene Trap Look for early forming traps Recent movement on traps is risky but seals are ductile (high Poisson’s ratio)‏

Accretionary Prism Oil Timing Timing is good for oil generation but not for gas Movement of the Eocene/Oligocene mobile shale controls both seal and heating rate of source rocks Constraining this movement will have a strong impact on both seal and timing Petroleum system will be leaking All of Columbus basin is leaking Filling faster than it is leaking Late movement of faults affect seals Mitigated by ductile shales in Pliocene and Pleistocene Cool basin means any prospect can be tested between biodegradation limits and the source rock

Call for Nominations Each company may nominate up to five blocks The MEEA is again calling for nominations of deep water blocks There are 36 blocks from which nominations can be made Companies will be required to submit a letter to the Minister identifying the block(s) nominated Each company may nominate up to five blocks All nominations will be treated as confidential Nomination is free Final determination of blocks to be offered in another bid round will be made by MEEA Nomination comes with no obligations on the part of either party

Trinidad and Tobago Upstream Activity Map Nominations may be made from the deep water blocks which are not coloured

Deep Water Exploration Commercial Terms (re-emphasised) Conventional styled (non taxable) PSCs, with the following features: GORTT’s Share of Profit Petroleum are inlieu of taxes with exception of the payment of Withholding Taxes and Stamp Duty Ring-fenced – There will be no consolidation Profit Shares are biddable, matrices will be open with no constraints to bidding (Production is incremental) Financial Obligations are fixed in the Contract Cost Recovery Limit fixed at 60% No carried Participation Fair Market Value as defined in Petroleum Taxes Act is utilised for the pricing of gas

Deep Water: Profit Share Matrices Crude Oil Price MBOPD A B C D < $50.00 $50.00 -$75.00 $75.00 -$100.00 > $100.00 % < 75 X 75 - 100 100 - 150 150 – 200 > 200 Natural Gas Price MMCFD A B C D < $4.00 $4.00 - $6.50 $6.50 -$9.00 > $9.00 % < 200 X 200 - 350 350 - 500 500 - 750 750 – 1,000 > 1,000 X represents the Governments Share of Profit Petroleum which is biddable The technical terms have not yet been finalised for the deep water No carried participation Windfall Feature: BR + 70%*[(P – US$100.00) / P]*(1-BR) Where: BR is the base rate at Column D P is the market price Windfall Feature: BR + 70%*[(P – US$9.00) / P]*(1-BR) Where: BR is the base rate at Column D P is the market price Cost Recovery: 60%

Scheduling of 2011 Competitive Bidding The next round of Competitive Bidding will be held in 2011 It will follow after: (i) The results of the reprocessed data become available and can be utilised in evaluation (ii)After meeting with companies to determine the reason for the fall in initial interest (iii) Reprocessing of another data set which would be valuable in tying the Cretaceous to the deep water.

Thank You