California Housing Market Update

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Presentation transcript:

California Housing Market Update Monthly Sales and Price Statistics July 2017

Sales Highest since July 2013 California, July 2017 Sales: 421,460 Units, +2.9% YTD, +0.9% YTY Jul-16: 417,680 Jul-17: 421,460 Peak:624,957 units in 2005 Valley:189,345 units in 1982 2012 annual sales up 4.3% from 2011 2011 annual sales up 1.4% from 2010 2010 annual sales down 12.3% from 2009 2009 annual sales up 24.5% from 2008 2008 annual sales up 30.4% from 2007 2007 annual sales down 33.4% from 2006 2006 annual sales down 23.8% from 2005 2005 annual sales up 0.8% from 2004 2004 annual sales up 3.8% from 2003 2003 annual sales up 7.6% from 2002 2002 annual sales up 14.1% from 2001 2001 annual sales down 4.7% from 2000 YTD 2000 annual sales up 1.4 from 1999 1999 sales up 7.3% over 1998 10/93: 41.0 Consumer Confidence 01/00: 148.6 03/03: 63.0 5/07: 128.4 2/09: 23.9 SERIES: Sales of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® *Sales are seasonally adjusted and annualized

California Home Sales Increased in July SERIES: Sales of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® *Sales are seasonally adjusted and annualized 3

Bay Area Sales Flat YTY SERIES: Sales of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® *Sales are not seasonally adjusted and annualized 4

Southern California Home Sales Dips YoY % chg. SERIES: Sales of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® *Sales are not seasonally adjusted and annualized 5

Central Valley Sales Remained Positive YoY % chg. SERIES: Sales of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® *Sales are not seasonally adjusted and annualized 6

More Homes Were Being Sold Above the Half-Million Mark When Compared to 2016 SERIES: Sales of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

Sales Improved in Mid and High Priced Markets But Continued to Decline in Lower-Priced Segments Jun 2017 (Year-to-Year) SERIES: Sales of Existing Detached Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

CA Median Price Continues to Grow YTY California, July 2017: $549,460, -1.1% MTM, +7.4% YTY Jul-17: $549,460 Jul-16: $511,420 SERIES: Median Price of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

Home Price Appreciations Have Moderated Since Mid 2013 SERIES: Median Price of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

CA Median Price (Existing SFH) SERIES: Median Price of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® 11

Price Per Square Foot Highest Since the End of 2007 July 2017: $270, Up 0.2% MTM, Up 7.4% YTY Jul-17: $270 Jul-16: $251 SERIES: Median Price Per Square Feet of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

Sales Price -to-List Price Remained at 100% for the 4th Consecutive Month July 2017: 100.0%, Up 0% MTM, Up 0.8% YTY Jul-16: 99.2% Jul-17: 100% SERIES: Sales to List Ratio of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

Inventory Declines Annually for the 12th Consecutive Month July 2016: 3.6 Months; July 2017: 3.2 Months Range since 1988: Low: 1.3 months in April 2004 High: 18.8 months in Apr 1991 Long-run average: 6.9 months Note: “Unsold Inventory Index” represents the number of months it would take to sell the remaining inventory for the month in question. The remaining inventory for the month is defined as the number of properties that were “Active”, “Pending”, and “Contingent” (when available) and divide the sum by the number of “Sold” properties for the month in question. SERIES: Unsold Inventory Index of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

Inventory Continued to Drop Across All Regions 3.5 3.1 2.1 Note: “Unsold Inventory Index” represents the number of months it would take to sell the remaining inventory for the month in question. The remaining inventory for the month is defined as the number of properties that were “Active”, “Pending”, and “Contingent” (when available) and divide the sum by the number of “Sold” properties for the month in question. SERIES: Unsold Inventory Index of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

Supply Saw Double Digit Declines July 2017 SERIES: Sales and Listings of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®