Scotland – Census and Household Estimates and Projections

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

December 1, Medicaid and Simplification States differ on approach Strong desire among states to simplify-process excessively complex Complexity.

Advertisements

Household projections for Scotland Valerie Hale and Esther Roughsedge July 2012.

Household Projections for England Yolanda Ruiz DCLG 16 th July 2012.

©2013 Experian Limited. All rights reserved. Experian and the marks used herein are service marks or registered trademarks of Experian Limited. Other products.

City of Fremantle, Economic Development Strategy Key Performance Indicators.

Census & Demographic Analysis for Household Formation –The Luton Experience Eddie Holmes Research Information Officer Luton Borough Council.

DEFICITS AND DEBT DEFINITIONS DEFICIT – ANNUAL AMOUNT THAT GOVERNMENT BORROWS (SIMILAR TO WHAT PUT ON CREDIT CARD IN A YEAR) DEBT – TOTAL AMOUNT OF BORROWING.

Trends in The Population of the United States by Ted Goertzel.

Northern Ireland Demographic Projections 2 nd December 2008 Dr David Marshall Demography and Methodology Branch.

General Register Office for S C O T L A N D information about Scotland's people Producing small area housing and household statistics from Council Tax.

Household projections for Scotland Hugh Mackenzie April 2014.

Estimating future household formation Monday 16 th December 2013 London School of Economics.

Preliminary 2040 OCARTS County and City Population Figures.

The Rise and Consequences of Inequality Alan B. Krueger Chairman Council of Economic Advisers January 12, 2012.

The Cohort-Component Method A New Method for Household Projections by Tenure Jan Freeke Glasgow City Council Projections and Forecasts Workshop Housing.

Wayne County Demographic and Economic Profile Prepared by Lecia Parks Langston Regional Economist

Size Standards Analysis: SBA Methodology Presented to: The Council on Federal Procurement of Architectural & Engineering Services (COFPAES) By: Khem R.

Incorporating recent trends in household formation into household projections for Scotland Esther Roughsedge Household Estimates and Projections Branch.

General Register Office for S C O T L A N D information about Scotland's people Reviewing household estimates for Scotland Esther Roughsedge General Register.

Changes in household formation (Scotland) Esther Roughsedge Household Estimates & Projections Branch National Records of Scotland (NRS) Workshop on UK.

General Register Office for S C O T L A N D information about Scotland's people 1 Population Projections Andrew White, Assistant Statistician General Register.

General Register Office for S C O T L A N D information about Scotland's people Household Estimates and Projections Esther Roughsedge General Register.

Data Management and Analysis 29 th February 2008 John Hollis BSPS Meeting at LSE Data Management and Analysis Projections for London Boroughs.

Household Projections Dorothy Watson General Register Office for Scotland Household Estimates and Projections Branch.

Housing Need & Demand in Scotland Kenneth Gibb Seminar in Honour of Alan Holmans December , LSE London.

Treasure Coast Regional Planning Council Meeting June 17, 2011 Regional Demographic Profile: 2010 Census.

Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation (SIMD) 2009 Glasgow City Council Matt Perkins Office of the Chief Statistician 6 th November.

1 Growth trends – Economics of (Smart)Growth Topic 1 – Population growth.

Sinclair Sutherland Labour supply: Finding and using statistics.

City of Sequim Long Range Financial Plan City Council Study Session June 27, 2011.

The Changing Structure of the UK Population

2011 Census Results.

Senior Consultant, The Annie E. Casey Foundation

Esther Roughsedge & Vicky Avila BSPS conference 2017

Alternative Census Designs: An Overview of Issues

Workshop on Demographic Analysis Fertility: Reverse Survival of Children & Mothers With Introduction to Own Children Methods.

Sub-National Projections for Scottish areas

Combined Employee Premium Contribution and Deductible as a Share of Median Family Income Average employee share of premium plus average deductible as percent.

Canadian Census E&I – Lessons Learned from 2006 with Plans for 2011

Variant projections – some Scottish experience Jennifer Boag ex Cambridgeshire County Council ex Strathclyde Regional Council ex Central Regional Council.

How demographics and the economic downturn are affecting the way we live LSE Seminar: 1 July 2013 Neil McDonald: Visiting Fellow CCHPR.

Option 4B: Diverse Places

Employee premium contribution

Jan Freeke Glasgow City Council

Hypothesis Tests for Two Population Proportions

Share of median income (%)

Variant Projections.

1 in 4 Arizona children live in poverty.

TAM Ireland Ltd / Nielsen TAM - Establishment Survey

Supplementary Data Tables, Utilization and Volume

Survey of Expectations in Israeli Industry

Summary and Closing Thoughts Greg Ball BSPS Council Member

2011 Census - Household Results for Wales

Health Insurance Coverage and Uninsured Trends

Region 1B RPI Council 2018 Regional Prosperity Dashboard.

Chartbook Section 6 Uninsurance and the Safety Net.

ONS Population Projections

Tax Policies in the EU: 2018 Survey Platform for Tax Good Governance

Emergency Departments(1)

Supplementary Data Tables, Trends in Hospital Financing

Meeting of the Directors of Social Statistics BECH Building – Room Quetelet Data availability on the number of households to estimate consumption unit.

WHAT IS “HOME RULE”?.

Countries with Discrepancies Between National and International Data

RTD Sales and Use Tax Forecasting Model

Miami Public Library 3/14/19

Region 1B RPI Council 2019 Regional Prosperity Dashboard.

47 Million Uninsured in 2005; Increase of 7 Million Since 2000

Formation Date: 14 February 2007 Geo Code: R

How much is health spending expected to grow?

Countries with Discrepancies Between National and International Data

Presentation transcript:

Scotland – Census and Household Estimates and Projections Esther Roughsedge, NRS Household Estimates and Projections branch BSPS: Estimating future household formation 16 December 2013

Household size in Scotland, 1961 to 2011 Large changes in trends over the last 50 years (not just an effect of economic downturn) Household size in Scotland, 1961 to 2011 Source: census

The rate of household growth has slowed since 2007 Annual increase in the number of households in Scotland between 2002 and 2012 Source: NRS household estimates

NRS household estimates and projections Household estimates are based on Council Tax figures. Household projections are based on population projections, with household trends projected from last 2 censuses. Included variant projections, including ‘alternative headship’ variant, projecting lower household growth.

Council tax-based household estimates vs 2011 Census 2011 Census estimate: 0.2% above the NRS household estimate Most councils were within 2%

Household projections & census

Future plans Incorporate 3 censuses into the projections, to reflect the changing trends better. Produce projections from: 1991 and 2001 2001 and 2011 Combine, weighting the figures. This allows us to make adjustments in future projections, if appropriate.

Weightings - options Could choose the weights that give closest results to: Survey figures on household types; Household estimates. Could try to minimise discrepancies between estimates and projections at council level. Need to be able to justify how the weights are devised.

Any questions. Any comments would be very welcome Any questions? Any comments would be very welcome! For more info, contact: Esther.Roughsedge@gro-scotland.gsi.gov.uk Tel (0131) 3144251 www.nrscotland.gov.uk