Group number Name1, Name2, Name3, Name4, Name5

System Formulation Step 3 tasks: Data preparations (inputs) Building and testing sub models Scenario formulation Appraisal Step 1 task: Model output analysis

Before you start What are the possible stakeholders groups? Answers the questions provided for each case study site (CSS):

Step 1: Data preparations (inputs) Task 1a: System data preparation: provide answers for the following What models will be included (social, ecological/environmental, economical, engineering/physical, etc.) and why? What data will be used in the models? What are the possible data sources? What data needs to be gathered and how (experiment, questionnaire, observation)? Hint: The data used in the models can be provided in a table format that lists the parameters, symbols, values, units, sources, time series covered, and whether the data will be used for input or for calibration, for example: Parameter Units Sources Time series Remarks Average income of the city Y inhabitants EURO/year per person Local statistics department/ social insurance department For the last 10 years Used for the socio-economic model River X Runoff m3/s Local hydrological monitoring service For the last 10 years, only winter seasons Used as ecological model input

Step 1: Data preparations (inputs) Task 1b: System data preparation: : provide answers for the following Do you have all the data needed for the model and scenarios? How you deal with data gaps, how you obtain proxy data or other substitute for data when data is unavailable? Which formulas/methods can be used in the models? Decide how you will present the model results

Step 2: Building and Testing sub-models Task 2: Building and testing sub models: provide the answers for the following Describe the model at process and functional level Hint: provide a model description in a simplified (conceptual) diagram form. How will you test the model?

Step 3: Scenario formulation Task 3: Scenario formulation: provide the answers to the following What scenarios will you require the output from? Hint: when answering this questions, think about model use for risk assessment, system sensitivity or robustness, social and economic benefits, legal practices, international law/convention compliance, etc. Describe these scenarios in detail. Hint: you can make separate scenarios for every sub-model (like testing the economic benefit of a system change, evaluating environmental impact, assessing risk related to natural hazards and environmental change, etc.). After make some scenarios for the entire system. Think about what the stakeholders might be interested in and what you, as a specialist, may offer them to consider.

Appraisal Step: Model output analysis Appraisal Step Task 1: Model output analysis: provide the answers to the following What will be the model scenario output (for every scenario/model)? How it will be presented (graph, system state, number, etc.)? Are these scenarios realistic? What conclusions can you draw out of modeling output for your CSS?