CLC land cover, land use accounts and agri-environment (policy) analysis Jan-Erik Petersen.

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Presentation transcript:

CLC land cover, land use accounts and agri-environment (policy) analysis Jan-Erik Petersen

Some general points Perspective of AE analyst What are the strengths of CLC? How far can we go with one data set? How far can we go with data integration? Levels of AE analysis?

A picture of reality(?) - Member State level Cubism/patterns of reality – EU level Abstract painting – data for outcome & Cost-benefit analysis (?)

Analytical boundaries Focus on output/environm. effectiveness: Is there farm management change? Is effort targeted on environmental problem areas? Are we successful in achieving policy or scheme objectives? Not addressed: cost effectiveness and monetary evaluation

Questions for agri-env. analysis Level of spending by country/region? Absolute and relative uptake figures? Which environm. issues addressed? What % of UAA / targeted habitat? Targeted on environmental resources at risk / on Natura 2000 sites? Positive environmental outcome?

Platform for Integrated Spatial Assessment of Land, Biodiversity & Water, based on Corine Land Cover

Example of spatial integration (1): Potential connectivity of Natura2000 sites Rivers (p.m. Wetlds, lakes) Landscape Natural Potential EEA/Land Accounts Project Provisional results (Nov. 2004) jean-louis.weber@eea.eu.int

Example of spatial integration (2) N2000 & Agriculture Portugal-Alentejo Farmland abandonment Spain - Huelva Spain – Huelva Natura 2000 sites Cultivation of marginal land Rivers (p.m. Wetlds, lakes) Landscape Natural Potential EEA/Land Accounts Project Provisional results (Nov. 2004)

Example of spatial integration: N2000 & Urban Sprawl over semi-natural land C. de Madrid Comunidad de Madrid Portugal-Algarve Algarve Total urban sprawl Landscape Natural Potential Natura 2000 sites Roads EEA/Land Accounts Project Provisional results (Nov. 2004) jean-louis.weber@eea.eu.int

Example of spatial integration: N2000 & Urban Sprawl Coastal perspective over semi-natural land Total urban sprawl Landscape Natural Potential Natura 2000 sites Roads Potential conflicts in land use: urban vs. conservation EEA/Land Accounts Project Provisional results (Nov. 2004)

Differentiation of landscape, agriculture NW Europe & New member countries Missing data by Nov. 2004 Intensification: conversions pasture to arable Important conversions arable to pasture & withdrawal of farming Fast agriculture restructuring Delayed process ? Landscape Natural Potential

Land cover accounts based on CLC2000 are used for IRENA 12 (below) & 24 IRENA12 “land use change” measures the use of farmland by urban and infrastructures development. Results are presented by NUTS3 Same results using the 3x3 km spatial grid of land accounts

From land to water: example of integration need: soil humidity Soil humidity can be efficiently measured by combining space and in situ monitoring and modelling. The parameter is used for measuring, modelling and assessing: evapo-transpiration water stress on ecosystems water stress on crops crops yields seasonal water deficits extension of irrigation desertification processes buffering capacity of soil risks of fire risks of flood

Questions for agri-env. analysis Level of spending by country/region? Absolute and relative uptake figures? Which environm. issues addressed? What % of UAA / targeted habitat? Targeted on environmental resources at risk / on Natura 2000 sites? Positive environmental outcome?

Some final thoughts.. How can we adjust analytical complexity to resources available? Prefer simple / robust solutions to complex ones Data, analytical integration may lead to more trouble than it is worth Sector perspective: if we are too far ahead of simple policy questions we may miss the target.