MODULE 17 Aggregate Demand: Introduction and Determinants

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MODULE 17 Aggregate Demand: Introduction and Determinants Krugman/Wells

How the aggregate demand curve illustrates the relationship between the aggregate price level and the quantity of aggregate output demanded in the economy How the wealth effect and interest rate effect explain the aggregate demand curve’s negative slope What factors can shift the aggregate demand curve

Aggregate Demand The aggregate demand curve shows the relationship between the aggregate price level and the quantity of aggregate output demanded by households, businesses, the government and the rest of the world.

The Aggregate Demand Curve Aggregate price level (GDP deflator, 2005 = 100) A movement down the AD curve leads to a lower aggregate price level and higher aggregate output. 1933 7.9 5.0 Figure Caption: Figure 17.1: The Aggregate Demand Curve The aggregate demand curve shows the relationship between the aggregate price level and the quantity of aggregate output demanded. The curve is downward-sloping due to the wealth effect of a change in the aggregate price level and the interest rate effect of a change in the aggregate price level. Corresponding to the actual 1933 data, here the total quantity of goods and services demanded at an aggregate price level of 7.9 is $716 billion in 2005 dollars. According to our hypothetical curve, however, if the aggregate price level had been only 5.0, the quantity of aggregate output demanded would have risen to $950 billion. Aggregate demand curve, AD $716 950 Real GDP (billions of 2005 dollars)

Why Is the Aggregate Demand Curve Downward Sloping? When considering the aggregate demand curve, we consider a simultaneous change in the prices of all final goods and services. It is downward-sloping for two reasons: The first is the wealth effect of a change in the aggregate price level—a higher aggregate price level reduces the purchasing power of households’ wealth and reduces consumer spending. The second is the interest rate effect of a change in aggregate the price level—a higher aggregate price level reduces the purchasing power of households’ money holdings, leading to a rise in interest rates and a fall in investment spending and consumer spending.

Shifts of the Aggregate Demand Curve The aggregate demand curve shifts because of: changes in expectations wealth the stock of physical capital government policies fiscal policy monetary policy

Shifts of the Aggregate Demand Curve (a) Rightward Shift (b) Leftward Shift Decrease in aggregate demand Aggregate price level Aggregate price level Increase in aggregate demand Figure Caption: Figure 17.2: Shifts of the Aggregate Demand Curve Panel (a) shows the effect of events that increase the quantity of aggregate output demanded at any given aggregate price level, such as improvements in business and consumer expectations or increased government spending. Such changes shift the aggregate demand curve to the right, from AD1 to AD2. Panel (b) shows the effect of events that decrease the quantity of aggregate output demanded at any given price level, such as a fall in wealth caused by a stock market decline. This shifts the aggregate demand curve leftward from AD1 to AD2. AD AD AD AD 1 2 2 1 Real GDP Real GDP

Factors that Shifts the Aggregate Demand Curve Changes in expectations If consumers and firms become more optimistic If consumers and firms become more pessimistic Aggregate demand increases Aggregate demand decreases Changes in wealth If the real value of household assets rises If the real value of household assets falls Size of the existing stock of physical capital If the existing stock of physical capital is relatively small If the existing stock of physical capital is relatively large Fiscal policy If the government increases spending or cuts taxes If the government reduces spending or raises taxes Monetary policy If the central bank increases the quantity of money If the central bank reduces the quantity of money

The aggregate demand curve shows the relationship between the aggregate price level and the quantity of aggregate output demanded. The aggregate demand curve is downward sloping for two reasons: the wealth effect of a change in the aggregate price level and the interest rate effect of a change in the aggregate price level. The aggregate demand curve shifts because of changes in expectations, changes in wealth not due to changes in the aggregate price level, and the effect of the size of the existing stock of physical capital. Policy makers can use fiscal policy and monetary policy to shift the aggregate demand curve.