Census 2016 Counting Ireland’s Housing Stock

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Presentation transcript:

Census 2016 Counting Ireland’s Housing Stock Brendan Murphy, CSO

Census Timeline Census night – 24 April 2016 End of field campaign – May 2016 Preliminary Results – 14 July 2016 Processing complete – December 2016 First final results – April 2017 All results published – End 2017

Overview of Field Operation GeoDirectory First used for Census 2011 The National address database (owned by An Post and OSi) The postal address of most address points (approx 2.2 million) in the State The co-ordinates and geographical position of each building (accurate to 1m, building centre) Whether a building is commercial, residential or mixed residential/commercial Whether a building has single or multiple addresses Almost 2,050,000 dwellings identified from most recent GeoDirectory (Oct 2015) for enumeration in Census 2016

Overview of Field Operation GeoDirectory is hugely beneficial, however Over 40,000 additional dwellings found in 2011; One-off houses New housing estates Apartments in converted buildings Buildings with incorrect coordinates Addresses marked as residential but found by enumerators to be commercial Addresses which do not exist Enumerators informed of these issues and instructed to perform full visual enumeration of their area

Overview of Field Operation Each GeoDirectory address point selected for enumeration is given a unique number (Called D No) within each Enumeration Area This number is labelled on the enumerator map and in the Enumerator Record Book (ERB) The Enumerator Record Book Key document used in Field Contains D Nos, Addresses and Eircodes for dwellings on GeoDirectory Enumerator marks the status of the dwelling Blank spaces for new dwellings

Occupied Housing Use the map to arrive at a dwelling Find the details associated with the dwelling in the ERB If Occupied Transfer address, Eircode and geography codes (County, EA, SA and D. No) from the ERB to the front panel of the Census Form before handing over to the householder

Unoccupied Housing If Not Occupied Complete a reconciliation form Decide on the dwelling status Used for statistical purposes: Temporarily absent Vacant Holiday home

Determining the dwelling status Temporarily absent For dwellings where the entire household is away on Census Night. In cases where the householder indicates that the household will be abroad, they must sign a declaration to that effect. A check should be made after Census Night to ensure that there was no change of plans.

Determining the dwelling status Vacant dwellings House is fit for habitation (has roof, walls, windows installed) Shows no sign of habitation e.g. no cars outside, junk mail accumulating, overgrown garden etc. Consult with neighbours At least 3 visits required

Determining the dwelling status Holiday home Dwelling is used on part-time basis, weekends, etc. May be located in area likely to be popular among holiday makers Neighbours must be consulted in order to confirm that dwelling is a holiday home Must be revisited after Census night to verify that nobody spent Census Night in the dwelling. Can be in a city - city weekend flat.

Accounting for Every Dwelling If Not Occupied Complete a reconciliation form Decide on the dwelling status Used for statistical purposes: Temporarily absent Vacant Holiday home Used for administrative purposes: Under construction Derelict Commercial only Does not exist

Determining the dwelling status Under construction In the process of being built Missing either walls, roof, doors or windows. Any dwellings or estates under construction not listed in the ERB (.i.e. not on the GeoDirectory) are not to be enumerated

Determining the dwelling status Derelict Likely to be an older building Looks dilapidated, garden may be overgrown, may be boarded up, windows may be missing. Any derelict dwellings or estates not listed in the ERB are not to be enumerated

Determining the dwelling status Commercial only Entries in the ERB may include buildings classified by the GeoDirectory as both commercial and residential. Some may not have a dwelling attached. Enumerator confirms with the person in charge that no one lives at the building before marking it as ‘Commercial only’.

Determining the dwelling status Does not exist Building that has recently been demolished Former multi unit building converted in to single dwelling

Census 2016 Preliminary Results Table A - Change in population 2011-2016 Census Year Population Actual change % change 2011 4,588,252 348,404 8.2 2016 4,757,976 169,724 3.7

Population - % change by county, 2011 - 2016 County change

Net migration by county -6,731 +7,257 +4,380

Housing Housing Table F - Housing Stock 2011-2016 State totals 2011 Actual change % change Housing stock 2,003,914 2,022,895 18,981 0.9 Occupied households 1,669,180 1,718,465 49,285 3 Temporarily absent 45,283 44,868 -415 -0.9 Vacant holiday homes 59,395 61,204 1,809 Other vacant dwellings 230,056 198,358 -31,698 -13.8

Households and Population

Vacancy rates 2016 Vacancy rates 2016

Vacant dwellings - % change by county, 2011 - 2016

Vacant housing by ED Vacant housing by ED All vacant dwellings excl. holiday homes

Census 2016 data Housing release in April 2017 - prioritised Type, year built, occupancy status, rent, heating, water, sewerage Household type, size, occupancy - e.g. primary school children in rental accommodation One year movers and nature of occupancy All at detailed geography

Vacant properties 2011 2016 - New data Geography, holiday home, other Type of dwelling - detached, terraced, apartment, etc. Vacant in 2011 Type of building - mixed commercial / residential Cluster analysis Distance to nearest settlement Reasons why dwellings are vacant - caveat - only for about 50% of dwellings

Combining Census and RPPI data Housing Turnover, 12 months to July 2010/2011 2015/2016 State: 1.2% State: 2.5%

Combining Census and RPPI data Change in Vacant Dwellings 2011 – 2016 and Change in Average House Price 2011 - 2015 by County

Available Census Housing Data Profile 4 – The Roof over our Heads Small area populations statistics (SAPS and SAPMAP) AIRO – All-Island Census Atlas Census 2016 Census Preliminary Results – Housing AIRO – Preliminary Results mapping tool

Thank you Questions? Brendan Murphy Statistician, Census Dissemination & Enquiries Brendan.Murphy@CSO.ie 01-8951329