SCUDD Margaret Farragher Head of Policy and Qualifications

The UCAS perspective 2016 End of Cycle data Early insight into 2017 Qualifications reform Widening Participation

522,000 2016 undergraduate demand Scotland and Wales 33% 48% Northern Ireland 37% England 522,000 Acceptances:

Entry rate by qualification

Entry rate by ethnic group

Entry rates by sex and areas

Applicants to W3/4/5: Applicants to W3: Music, W4: Drama, W5: Dance (2016 End of Cycle)

Applicants to W3/4/5: 2015-16 Applicants to W3: Music, W4: Drama, W5: Dance End of cycle percentage difference from 2015

Applicants to W3/4/5: EU & international EU and international domiciled applicants to W3: Music, W4: Drama, W5: Dance 2016 End of Cycle

Applicants to W3/4/5: EU & international EU and International domiciled applicants to W3: Music, W4: Drama, W5: Dance End of Cycle percentage difference from 2015

Applicants to W3 by sex UK domiciled applicants to W3: Music by sex: 2016 End of Cycle

Applicants to W4 by sex UK domiciled Applicants to W4 Drama by sex: 2016 End of Cycle

Applicants to W5 by sex UK domiciled applicants to W5 Dance by sex: 2016 End of Cycle

Applicants to W3 by POLAR3 18 year old UK domiciled applicants to W3: Music by POLAR3 quintile: 2016 End of Cycle

Applicants to W4 by POLAR3 18 year old UK domiciled applicants to W4: Drama by POLAR3 quintile: 2016 End of Cycle

Applicants to W5 by POLAR3 18 year old UK domiciled applicants to W5: Dance by POLAR3 quintile: 2016 End of Cycle

Acceptances for W3/4/5 UK domiciled Accepted Applicants to W3: Music, W4: Drama, W5: Dance 2016 End of Cycle

Acceptances for W3/4/5 UK domiciled Accepted Applicants to W3: Music, W4: Drama, W5: Dance End of cycle percentage difference from 2015

Acceptances for W3 by sex UK domiciled Accepted Applicants to W3: Music by sex: 2016 End of Cycle

Acceptances for W4 by sex UK domiciled Accepted Applicants to W4: Drama by sex: 2016 End of Cycle

Acceptances for W5 by sex UK domiciled Accepted Applicants to W5: Dance by sex: 2016 End of Cycle

Acceptances for W3 by POLAR3 18 year old UK domiciled Accepted Applicants to W3: Music by POLAR3 quintile: 2016 End of Cycle

Acceptances for W4 by POLAR3 18 year old UK domiciled Accepted Applicants to W4: Drama by POLAR3 quintile: 2016 End of Cycle

Acceptances for W5 by POLAR3 18 year old UK domiciled Accepted Applicants to W5: Dance by POLAR3 quintile: 2016 End of Cycle

2017 – January deadline EU applicants down 9% (-620 people) to 6,240, ending a trend of annual increases over recent years.

2017 Applicants to W3/4/5 UK domiciled Applicants W3: Music, W4: Drama, W5: Dance - January 15th deadline 2017

Applicants to W3/4/5:UK UK domiciled Applicants to W3: Music, W4: Drama, W5: Dance - January 15th deadline 2017 - percentage difference from 2016

Applicants to W3/4/5: EU & international EU and International domiciled Applicants to W3: Music, W4: Drama, W5: Dance - January 15th deadline 2017

Qualifications reform Reformed A levels across the UK Reformed GCSEs (9-1) Reformed VQs

UCAS qualification provision school survey Broader than previous AS and A level surveys – now includes GCSE and vocational qualifications. Will be an annual survey to help inform schools, colleges and universities about future patterns of provision 2018 version will be encapsulate UK wide provision Embedded within our wider Qualification Information Service

Have you changed your AS provision since the 2015/16 academic year?

From the 2016/17 academic year, we are: n = 226

GCSE Reform 9-1 A- G Wales 9-1 and A- C*- G

HEP GCSE requirements

Vocational qualification reform Started with the Wolf review now driven by school performance measures Specific qualifications criteria: Applied General and Tech Level More focus quality and rigour

VQ reform update Started with Wolf review. Applied General and Tech level reform: Qualifications significant different – synoptic assessment, external assessment and larger core; Pearson warning of changes to grade distribution. Continued push on apprenticeships at all levels. Sainsbury review, Post-16 Skills Plan and Industrial Strategy.

The Panel’s view of how the academic and technical options fit together * Where a student does both, the traineeship will follow the transition year. Students doing both the transition year and a traineeship may progress directly to employment. ** Some students will move directly from A levels and/or applied general qualifications to degree and higher apprenticeships.

Schools - sufficient information?

Qualifications info – next steps Creating a continuous service to ensure schools, colleges and universities aware of changing provision. Lessons learned roundtable at the end of the cycle to assess how the 2017 entry cycle went. Outcomes of this exercise will inform future approaches to sharing of information related to qualifications and qualification reform.

Widening Participation Earlier this year (2015), the Prime Minister stated a commitment to doubling the university entry rate for learners from disadvantaged backgrounds by 2020 compared with 2009 levels. The government also wishes to see a 20% increase in the number of BME students going to university by 2020. “We have made strong progress to open up access to higher education but I’m still concerned about low participation rates for disadvantaged white boys and we must do more to raise outcomes for those from black and minority ethnic communities.” Universities Minister Jo Johnson MP

Who are WP learners? WP focuses on learners who are disadvantaged and/or under represented in HE: Both men and women in relation to specific subjects Carers Learners from low income households Learners with chronic illnesses Learners from certain ethnic groups Older learners Learners with disabilities Care leavers Refugees

Widening participation slows +1.4% Entry rates for non-FSM pupils increased five times faster than FSM pupils in 2016. +0.3%

Entry rate by background In 2006, this entry rate ratio was 6.0, meaning the most advantaged 18 year olds. The ratio decreased in each of the subsequent eight years to reach 3.8 in 2014, meaning that entry rates between the most advantaged and disadvantaged areas became more equal on this measure. The ratio remained at 3.8 in 2015 (the first time it had not fallen since 2006) and again in 2016.

Sex divide grows 37,000 fewer 18 year old men entered higher education in 2016 than would be the case if men had the same entry rate as women.

Supporting Contextual Admissions Admissions and WP Admissions Impartial I&A Data and analysis Supporting Contextual Admissions

How UCAS can support you

Thank you m.Farragher@ucas.ac.uk