Anticipating tomorrow’s world, today… …or, being ‘Future Ready’ Giles Perkins, Technical Director

Transport for the North’s Strategic Transport Plan “Thinking to the future is a key part of TfN’s work and so the possible impacts of social, technological, economic, political and environmental change will be considered. The Strategic Transport Plan should seek to deliver a transport system that is user-centric, smart, autonomous and integrated, as well as resilient and sustainable. Given the uncertainties around the changing needs of the economy, the policy measures and transport interventions proposed must be flexible.” Our strategy work in the East of England, home counties and in the North looking out to 2030, 2040 and beyond – top down approach to innovation and change – evidence led

“An epic struggle looms… it will transform daily life as profoundly as cars did in the 20th century: reinventing transport and reshaping cities…” The Economist, September 2016 What is the trajectory to change, solving today’s challenges but anticipating a different future and being agile to it

Global trends and challenges Demographic challenges: growing & ageing population, health, wellbeing & loneliness, net migration, urbanisation Social change: rise of the ‘sharing’ economy, expectation of ‘immediacy’, customer centricity Environmental focus: climate change, scarcity of resources, role of renewables Economic shift: rise of the ‘gig’ economy, development of ‘new’ business models Political landscape: devolution of decision making, globalisation and protectionism of markets Global top level trends that will influence transport

‘Transport’ disruptors Digital connectivity: movement of data between people, other people, vehicles, assets and systems Data, Artificial Intelligence: application of data-led, self- learning systems Automation and robotics: replacement of human tasks with technology Propulsion and energy: decarbonisation of energy consumption Collaborative consumption: sharing of services and assets vs. ownership Trends that influence transport, accessibility and connectivity

People, places and activities Individuals and businesses accessing opportunities and needs Social interactions Employment opportunities Educational attainment Healthcare needs Leisure and tourism Goods and services Raw materials, crops and products Fundamental economic activities But it’s all about the economy – every city, towns, communities – urban and rural

Achieving meaningful ‘future’ outcomes Customer / user centric experience Seamless access and connectivity Balancing choice, demand and supply Improving efficiency of assets and services Reducing congestion and pollution Maximising capacity, improving reliability and resilience Improving safety and security Facilitating sustainable development Enabling economic growth Not change for change’s sake, not technology for technologies sake – meaningful change

Being agile and ‘Future Ready’ Why think about change? What might change, and when, realistically? What do we really need to be worried about? How applicable and what are the risks? How can we improve our services and networks? Investment programmes? Business cases? Revenue requirements? Operational regimes? Horizon scanning to influence decisions // capitalising on opportunities // Sharing knowledge // Building partnerships // shaping and influencing

Thank you Giles Perkins, Technical Director giles.perkins@mouchel.com 07966 201401 www.wsp.com