Political Beliefs and Behaviors American political ideology American Government

What’s your political belief? Survey given to year olds One day the President was driving his car to a meeting. Because he was late, he was driving very fast. The police stopped the car. (Finish the story) Different countries answer differently –England – Queen would be released –France – President would be excused –US – President would get a ticket like everyone else American Government

Types of Participation 2000 Election participation 82% watched the campaign on television 73% voted in the election 34% tried to influence others how to vote 10% put a sticker on their car 9% gave money to help a campaign 5% attended a political meeting 3% worked for a party or candidate Is this true? 73% of people vote? – No American Government

Who REALLY participates? Different factors can tell us who votes 1.Education – MOST IMPORTANT, more education=more voting 2.Religious involvement 3.Race and Ethnicity – Whites higher than minorities (might be economic based) 4.Age – is the lowest, and 45 and up is the highest American Government

Who REALLY participates? 5.Gender – men traditionally voted more, now it is more equal 6.Two-party competition – more competitive elections have higher turnout Cross-cutting cleavages – individuals influenced by many factors, it is important when testing for this that variables are controlled American Government

Voting Trend of low voter turnout 1964 – 69.3% (Voting Age Population %) 1980 – 41.3% 1984 – 60.9% 1988 – 40.5% 1992 – 55.2% 1996 – 49.1% 2000 – 51.3% 2004 – 55.3% ??? American Government

Expanding Suffrage 1.Lifting of property restrictions (1830) – “universal manhood suffrage” gave voting rights to all white males 2.Suffrage for African-Americans ( ) th Amendment – Voting Rights to all Brown v. Board – separate but equal is illegal, killed Jim Crow laws th Amendment – banned poll tax – Voting Rights Act of 1965 – federal law prohibited (no literacy tests, fair elections etc.) American Government

Expanding Suffrage 3.Women’s Suffrage (1920) – 19 th Amendment gave women the right to vote year-olds (1971) – 26 th Amendment, sparked by Vietnam American Government

Voter Turnout Registered Voter turnout Eligible Voter turnout Voter Registration – blamed as one of the causes of low turnout “Motor-Voter” (1993) – National Voter Registration Act – allowed people to register to vote while they get license American Government

Other reasons for low turnout Difficulty of Absentee Voting Number of Offices to Elect too high Weekday, non-holiday voting Weak political parties – less “get-out-the- vote campaigns American Government

Public Opinion The distribution of individual attitudes about a particular issue, candidate, political institution, etc. American Government

George Gallup Developed “Gallup Polls” Started in st “pollster” Since 1936, agency has picked one general election result incorrect American Government

Sampling Representative – must mirror population you want answer about Random – give everyone an equal possibility of being sampled Wording – questions can’t be leading Straw poll – poor polling technique American Government

Political Socialization Factors that influence a person’s opinion People in different social “groups” tend to share certain opinions: group identification American Government

Family #1 influence of political attitude Very strong correlation for Political Party support American Government

Gender Examples More men support military More women consider sexual harassment a serious problem Since ’60s, women vote Dem more than men, and vice versa Not as significant of an indicator as marriage (married vs. unmarried) American Government

Religion Example Protestants are more conservative on economic matters than Catholics or Jews Jews tend to be liberal on economic and social issues than Catholics or Protestants Catholics tend to be more liberal on economic issues than they are on social issues (Catholics becoming more conservative) American Government

Education Example Higher Education = more conservative or College education = liberal views Conflicting results, not always a correlation American Government

Social Class “Blue collar” (Laborer) typically Democrat “White collar” (Businessmen) typically Republican Relationship is becoming less clear American Government

Race and Ethnicity Examples African Americans – 90% Democrats Hispanic Americans – tend to affiliate with Democrats, but less likely than African Americans Asian Americans – less liberal than Hispanic Americans or African Americans, but still consistently vote Democrat White, more divided, fluctuates by election American Government

Geographic Region Example East and West Coasts – more liberal Mid-West – more conservative Urban - liberal South – s - Democrat “Solid South” but today they are primarily social conservatives White Southerner always less liberal American Government

Political Ideology Coherent set of values and beliefs about public policy Changes over time for all people Liberal and conservative mean different things at different time periods American Government

How ideological are Americans? 1950 study – “The American Voter” 4 basic types of voter 1.Ideologues – 12% of people connect their opinions to party lines 2.Group Benefits Voter – 42% of people connect their opinion to their “group”. (labor union, interest group, class, race) American Government

How ideological are Americans? 3. Nature of the times voter – 24% of the people linked good or bad times to the party in control and vote the opposite (usually based on economics). 4. No Issue Content – 22% of the people could give no reason American Government

Liberal vs. Conservative (see handout) American Government

“Neo-Cons” Neo-Conservatives 1.Low tax, pro-economic growth 2.Ordered approach to domestic issues –Traditional values – pro-life, against gay marriage, support death penalty 3.Expansive foreign policy Counter global terrorism – “war on terror” expensive American Government

Exit Polls Polling after voting Tommy Bradley effect American Government