Climate Prediction: Products, Research, Outreach Briefing for NOAA’s Science Advisory Board March 19, 2002 National Weather Service Climate Prediction.

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

North American Monsoon Experiment (NAME) Personal Briefing Page Scott C. Handel NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC.

Advertisements

An Overview of CPC’s Development Branch Arun Kumar Chief, Development Branch Climate Prediction Center.

Class #16 Monday, October 4, 2010 Class #16: Monday, October 4 Chapter 8 Oceanography and El Niño/La Niña/ENSO 1.

Climate Variability and Irrigation Water Use Joel O. Paz Extension Agrometeorologist Biological and Agricultural Engineering Department The University.

Matt Masek NWS Meteorologist, WFO North Platte, NE May 25, 2011.

Discussion Session Lisha M. Roubert University of Wisconsin-Madison Department of Atmospheric & Oceanic Sciences.

Overview of CPC and The Winter Outlook Mike Halpert, Deputy Director Climate Prediction Center / NCEP November, 2010.

Hazardous Weather Ahead and Outlook for Winter Dave Reynolds -MTR Dan Keeton - STO Meteorologists in Charge weather.gov/SanFrancisco or /Sacramento.

Review of Northern Winter 2010/11

Climate Recap and Outlook for Winter Eric Salathé JISAO Climate Impacts Group University of Washington.

Overview Northern hemisphere extra-tropics El Niño Seasonal Climate – Winter Mike Blackburn Seasonal Climate Discussion, 14 April 2010.

Objects Basic Research (Hypotheses and Understanding) Applied Research (Applications and Tools) Joint effects of ENSO and SST anomalies in different ocean.

El Nino and La Nina An important atmospheric variation that has an average period of three to seven years. Goes between El Nino, Neutral, and La Nina (ENSO.

Climate Prediction Center (CPC) Services, Products, Partnerships, Potential for the PRIDE Alaska Coastal Climatologies Wind/Wave Workshop Jim Laver August.

Climate and Food Security Thank you to the Yaqui Valley and Indonesian Food Security Teams at Stanford 1.Seasonal Climate Forecasts 2.Natural cycles of.

Protecting our Health from Climate Change: a Training Course for Public Health Professionals Chapter 2: Weather, Climate, Climate Variability, and Climate.

Climate Prediction Center Research Interests/Needs 1.

Products and Services for Disaster Mitigation and Economic Enhancement Edward O’Lenic, Chief Climate Operations Branch NOAA-NWS-Climate Prediction Center.

Lesson 11: El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Physical Oceanography

Extreme Events and Climate Variability. Issues: Scientists are telling us that global warming means more extreme weather. Every year we seem to experience.

SIO 210: ENSO conclusion Dec. 2, 2004 Interannual variability (end of this lecture + next) –Tropical Pacific: El Nino/Southern Oscillation –Southern Ocean.

Question and Answer Session Related to the Weather photo: D. Martin Douglas K. Miller Professor and Chair Atmospheric Sciences Department UNC Asheville.

Are Exceptionally Cold Vermont Winters Returning? Dr. Jay Shafer July 1, 2015 Lyndon State College 1.

CPC Forecasts: Current and Future Methods and Requirements Ed O’Lenic NOAA-NWS-Climate Prediction Center Camp Springs, Maryland ,

CHAPTER 14 WEATHER FORECASTING CHAPTER 14 WEATHER FORECASTING.

International CLIVAR Working Group for Seasonal-to- Interannual Prediction (WGSIP) Ben Kirtman (Co-Chair WGSIP) George Mason University Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere.

0 OCEAN LITERACY Essential Principles & Fundamental Concepts of Ocean Science PRINCIPLE 3.

Dynamic Climate An overview of Climate Oscillations.

By Anthony R. Lupo Department of Soil, Environmental, and Atmospheric Science 302 E ABNR Building University of Missouri Columbia, MO

CDC Cover. NOAA Lab roles in CCSP Strategic Plan for the U.S. Climate Change Science Program: Research Elements Element 3. Atmospheric Composition Aeronomy.

Water Year Outlook. Long Range Weather Forecast Use a combination of long term predictors –Phase of Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) –Phase of Atlantic.

Climate Services Clearinghouse: A Comprehensive Guide to Climate Services and Products on the Web. Genevieve Maricle and Roger Pielke Jr. March 9, 2004.

Teleconnections Current Weather Current Weather Finish ENSO Finish ENSO North Atlantic and Arctic Oscillations North Atlantic and Arctic Oscillations Pacific.

CLIMATE SERVICE DIVISION / NWS / NOAA National Weather Service Climate Services Marina Livezey (Timofeyeva) OFCM 2nd Mini-Workshop on Hydrometeorological.

Climate Prediction Center An Overview Dr. Wayne Higgins Director Climate Prediction Center / NCEP Briefing to Dan Walker Chief, CASD CPO November 12, 2009.

© 2005 Accurate Environmental Forecasting Climate and Hurricane Risk Dr. Dail Rowe Accurate Environmental Forecasting

NOAA Research Overview: Climate Variability NOAA Climate Research: Climate Variability Drought in Great Plains, ca California floods during 1998.

Seasonal Outlook Long Range Forecast

La Niña and The U. S. Winter Outlook Mike Halpert, Deputy Director Climate Prediction Center / NCEP December, 2011.

NORTH AMERICAN MONSOON EXPERIMENT (NAME) An internationally coordinated, joint US-Mexico process study aimed at improving warm season precipitation prediction.

1 Arun Kumar Climate Prediction Center 27 October 2010 Ocean Observations and Seasonal-to-Interannual Prediction Arun Kumar Climate Prediction Center NCEP.

1 Proposal for a Climate-Weather Hydromet Test Bed “Where America’s Climate and Weather Services Begin” Louis W. Uccellini Director, NCEP NAME Forecaster.

Climate Science Research in Support of the Wind Power Industry Wind resource availability Seasonal prediction Impacts of climate change Environmental impacts.

1 An Overview of NOAA Climate Prediction Center Briefing for NWA, St. Cloud, MN March 9, 2010 Anthony Artusa Meteorologist, Operations Branch NOAA-NWS-Climate.

The MJO and Arctic Air Temperatures Gabriel A. Vecchi and Nicholas A. Bond JISAO, University of Washington and NOAA/Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory.

Transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations Short-term Prediction Research and Transition (SPoRT) Project Future Directions.

Winter Outlook for the Pacific Northwest: Winter 06/07 14 November 2006 Kirby Cook. NOAA/National Weather Service Acknowledgement: Climate Prediction Center.

MICHAEL A. ALEXANDER, ILEANA BLADE, MATTHEW NEWMAN, JOHN R. LANZANTE AND NGAR-CHEUNG LAU, JAMES D. SCOTT Mike Groenke (Atmospheric Sciences Major)

Climate Section 1 Section 1: Factors That Affect Climate Preview Key Ideas Temperature and Precipitation Latitude Heat Absorption and Release Topography.

Ag Talk 30 Jan What the Weather Will Bring or Agricultural Weather in Wisconsin Wisconsin Agri-Service Association 9 th Annual Trade Show 30 January.

Climate Prediction Center Monitoring Products Dr. Gerald Bell Climate Prediction Center/ NOAA/ NWS National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP)

NAME SWG th Annual NOAA Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop State College, Pennsylvania Oct. 28, 2005.

Teleconnections Current Weather Current Weather Finish ENSO Finish ENSO North Atlantic and Arctic Oscillations North Atlantic and Arctic Oscillations Pacific.

El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Huanghe Using the ENSO index, and river water and sediment discharge to understand changing climate, and human.

U N I T E D S T A T E S D E P A R T M E N T O F C O M M E R C E N A T I O N A L O C E A N I C A N D A T M O S P H E R I C A D M I N I S T R A T I O N CPC.

1 An Overview of NOAA Climate Prediction Center Briefing for Rita Colwell November 20, 2007 Mike Halpert, Deputy Director

Climate Prediction Center People, Partnerships, Plans The 29 th Workshop – Madison, WI Jim Laver Jim Laver Oct 20, 2004.

Chapter 4 Ecosystems and the Physical Environment.

Challenges of Seasonal Forecasting: El Niño, La Niña, and La Nada

ENSO Impacts in Central Andes

El Nino and La Nina An important atmospheric variation that has an average period of three to seven years. Goes between El Nino, Neutral, and La Nina (ENSO.

Edwin Gerber (New York University)

An overview of Climate Oscillations

Climate Science Research

Central American collaborative interests in NAME

Bellwork 4/13 Describe the weather associated with cyclones and anticyclones. What are the winds called between the Equatorial Low and the Subtropical.

An Overview of CPC Climate Service Activities

Chris Funk, USGS/UCSB Climate Hazards Group

Changes in surface climate of the tropical Pacific

CLIMATE VARIABILITY IN EASTERN AFRICA; Its causes and relationship to ENSO By Z.K.K. Atheru AND C. Mutai Drought Monitoring Centre, Nairobi (DMCN) April.

Presentation transcript:

Climate Prediction: Products, Research, Outreach Briefing for NOAA’s Science Advisory Board March 19, 2002 National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center Jim Laver, Director x7500,

Climate Prediction Center Overview Product Suite –Outlooks: Week 2 through Seasons –Monitoring: Global, Regional –Assessments: Threats, Diagnostics Bulletin, Annual, … Product Development and Improvement -- Research Areas Needed Outreach -- Products released via AWIPS, Weather Wire, Web, Media, Global Channels, Special Briefings to Government Agencies

Climate Monitoring Global Climate Conditions –El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Cycle –Temperature and Precipitation –Atmospheric winds and pressure –Oceanic Temperatures and Currents –Stratospheric Temperatures and Ozone Regional Climate Conditions –U.S. Precipitation (Drought, Soil Moisture) –U.S. Temperature

Climate Assessments Climate Diagnostics Bulletin (monthly) ENSO Diagnostic Discussion United States Assessments –Weather/Climate Hazards –Drought –Degree Days –Seasonal Atlantic Hurricane Activity Stratosphere Annual global climate

Product Research, Development, and Improvement Partners Within NOAA - National Climatic Data Center - Climate Diagnostics Center - Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory - National Ocean Service - Tropical Prediction Center - Environmental Modeling Center - NWS Regional Headquarters - NWS Forecast Offices (WFO) Outside NOAA - International Research Institute for - Applied Research Centers Climate Prediction - US Dept. of Agriculture (USDA) - Scripps Institution of Oceanography- Center of Ocean Land and Atmosphere - Federal Emergency Management - University of Maryland - National Drought Mitigation Center- NASA - US Air Force- US Aid for International Development

Connections to Research Weather and Climate links North American Monsoon Experiment (NAME)

Weather and Climate Links El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Madden-Julian Oscillations (MJO) Arctic Oscillation (AO) Trends Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO)

ARCTIC OSCILLATION (AO/NAO) Major source of winter intraseasonal variability over U. S., Atlantic and Europe Modulates the circulation pattern over the middle and high latitudes Regulates number and intensity of significant weather events affecting the U.S.

NORTH AMERICAN MONSOON EXPERIMENT (NAME) YEAR (2000+) Planning | Preparations | Data Collection | Principal Research | Data Management | HYPOTHESIS The NAMS provides a physical basis for determining the degree of predictability of warm season precipitation over the region. Intraseasonal Variability Boundary Forcing? Topographic and Sea-Land Influence OBJECTIVES: Better understanding and simulation of: monsoon evolution and variability. response of warm season circulation and precipitation to slowly varying boundary conditions (e.g. SST, soil moisture). diurnal heating cycle and its relation to seasonally varying mean climate. Intraseasonal variability of the monsoon.

Outreach National --AWIPS, NOAA Weather Wire, Web, Media, Special Briefing to Agencies State & Local Weather Forecast Offices (WFOs) brief media, emergency managers and elected officials American Red Cross, FEMA, DoS/USAID, USDA Joint Agricultural Weather Facility, African Desk, other International Centers

Summary CPC produces outlooks on time scales from week 2 through seasons Monitoring and assessment efforts support forecast operations Product R & D and improvement needed with research partners on all time scales Outreach -- with partners through NOAA and International Systems, Web, Media, and Special Briefings to Agencies