MONITORING FRAMEWORK Jobs in Operations WASHINGTON, DC Siv TOKLE April 18, 2016

DEFINITION & GOALS*  The Jobs Group M&E Team is developing a package of guidance and support to World Bank Group staff to use in operations and investments.  Goals: To support… … more operations addressing jobs agenda … clearer articulation of jobs outcomes … better measurement of jobs results in operations *Worksteam not supported by Let’s Work or the MDTF.

WBG PORTFOLIO SNAPSHOT How do we: Improve synergies among ongoing operations at country level? Mainstream job dimensions and outcomes in sector- specific operation? Develop innovative multi- sectoral operations explicitly targeting job outcomes? Figure: Share of Jobs-flagged operations 2

JOBS CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK (work-in-progress) 3 Legend: Ratings: Show the conceptual link between intervention and outcomes, i.e. the potential contribution of intervention to an outcome. The intersections (‘’cell”) between interventions and outcomes denote the potential for an intervention to contribute to a specific outcome. Not Applicable; not likely to contribute to the outcome LowLow potential for intervention to contribute to the outcome HighHigh potential for intervention to contribute to the outcome

SELECT INTERVENTIONS AND OUTCOMES Jobs Conceptual Framework – Simplified version 4 Interventions Macro: Public administration Tax / Fiscal Policy Trade & Investment Policy Meso: Business Environment Labor policies Business regulations Infrastructure & spatial Micro: Firms Access to land, finance MSME/Entrepreneurship Direct Investment Micro: Individuals Labor programs Community development Skills and training Intermediate outcomes More jobsBetter jobs Access to product markets Firm performance and investment Increased labor force participation Improved Human capital Improved working of labor market [+sector-specific outcomes] Job creation Firm entry Entrepreneurship/ self-employed  Worker productivity  Working conditions and benefits  Earnings / livelihoods  Social benefits of jobs Inclusive jobs Scope to target vulnerable groups for equitable access to more and/or better for: Women Youth Bottom 40/ Poor Fragile groups Lagging regions

SAMPLE INDICATORS (work-in progress) I= Individuals; F=Firms; U=User 5 Jobs OutcomesSample key indicators I FU More More Jobs/ Employment Net full-time equivalent (FTE) jobs created (by beneficiary existing firms) Employment rate of target group/population/beneficiaries xx Firm entry Number of new firms registered Number of jobs generated by newly registered firms x(x) Self employed Number of beneficiaries becoming self-employed % change in number of self-employed (of supported beneficiaries/target groups) x Better Worker productivity Total output per worker Value added per worker x Working conditions Number (or %) of workers covered by [social security/ pension/ health insurance] Number (or %) of workers reporting satisfaction with job xx Earnings/Livelihoods Earnings/income of beneficiaries (households; smallholders/farmers, unskilled workers, youth X months after completing training, etc.) (specific value or average or %) Wage bill (real wage adjusted for inflation) of beneficiary firm xx Inclusive Youth Change in employment rate of target beneficiaries compared to change in regional (or national) employment rate for same target group Use indicators above disaggregated by target group, especially relevant are changes in: Employment rate Number of hours worked Earnings level xx Gender Bottom 40/poor

NEXT STEPS IN DEVELOPING GUIDANCE  Indicators for the key jobs ‘outcomes’ - guidance/definitions ‘Menu of options for additional indicators? Linkages to WBG Corporate Scorecard  Measurement approaches/systems for indicator data collection to fill indicator data through project administrative systems, for: Beneficiaries Firms Users (e.g. of infrastructure, regulatory reforms or other support indirectly reaching beneficiaries or firms)  Pilot testing and validation Using indicators and data collection in range of lending operations Revising and learning 6