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Ag Investment Opportunities in Africa By Yohannes Assefa, J.D. Director, Stalwart Management Consultancy.

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Presentation on theme: "Ag Investment Opportunities in Africa By Yohannes Assefa, J.D. Director, Stalwart Management Consultancy."— Presentation transcript:

1 Ag Investment Opportunities in Africa By Yohannes Assefa, J.D. Director, Stalwart Management Consultancy

2 Africa - In Perspective

3 Africa, an improving brand May 2000 Dec 2011March 2013

4 Africa - Today and Tomorrow $2.01 trillion - Africa’s collective GDP in 2012, higher than India; $860 billion - Africa’s combined consumer spending in 2008 650 million - the number of mobile phone subscribers in Africa, 16.5 million in 2000 60% - Africa’s share of the world’s total amount of uncultivated, arable land 52 - the number of African cities with more than 1 million people each 20 - the number of African countries with revenues of at least $3 billion $2.6 trillion - Africa’s collective GDP in 2020 $1.4 trillion - Africa’s consumer spending by 2020 1.1 billion - number of African households with discretionary income in 2020 50% - the portions of Africans living in cities by 2030 Today Tomorrow Source: Mckinsey ‘s Africa Report; E&Y Africa report

5 Africa’s Growth Story The Economist’s Top Growers 2001-2010 The Economist’s Top Growers 2010-2015 Source: Economist and IMF forecast

6 Where is the growth? Sector Estimated Annual Revenue by 2020 (billion$) Growth - 2008-2020 (billion $) Consumer1380520 Resources540110 Agricultrue500220 Infrastructure200130 Rising commodity prices; Improved macro-economic stability; Capital inflows from India, China, Turkey; Sizeable infrastructure development investment; Remittances as a capital provider; improvement of regional trade; emergence of organized markets Emergence of “African multinationals” (MTN, Dangote) Increasing African consumer spending Source: Mckinsey ‘s Africa Report

7 Key Sectors for Investment Agriculture Areas of Agriculture Investing Up streamMid SteamDown Stream FertilizersHorticulture Vegetable & fruit processing PesticidesCereals Cereals processing SeedCash Crops Lives stock processing EquipmentLive stockBio fuels Other processing African food market Africa’s food import $313 billion now Expected to grow to 1 trillion by 2030 Nigeria -Population – 168.8 million -GDP – 405 billion -Per capital income - $2,800 (PPP) -Food import - $12 billion per year

8 Issues, myths and realities around the hype of land grabbing

9 A look at few countries Ethiopia – Population of Ethiopia – 99 million – 76 million ha arable land available – 13.9 million ha cultivated – 3.6 million ha given to investors Mozambique – Population – 25.2 million – 37 million ha arable land available – 5.6 million ha under cultivation – 1.3 million ha given to investors Tanzania – Population - 45 million – 44 million ha arable land available – 9.1 million ha under cultivation – 80,000 ha given to investors

10 Final Words Yohannes Assefa, J.D. abadefar1@gmail.com Have we explored the opportunities sufficiently?


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