1. Climate risk analysis in Mozambique Konstanze Kampfer Date: 16.12.2015

2. Contents 1.Climate hazards: floods, drought, cyclones 2.Impacts of and responses to climate change 3.Climate risk in Mozambique

3. Climate hazards in Mozambique Flood prone Cyclone prone Drought prone Source: http://www.worldatlas.com/ Source: http://www.clubofmozambique.com Source: https://pembaathol.files.wordpress.com/ Source: IRIN

4. Climate change in Mozambique: impacts Number of events in Mozambique (1956 – 2008). Source: Queface, 2009

5. Climate change in Mozambique: impacts Late start of the rainy season  impacts food security Crop season is shorter Changes in crop type Shifting in growing seasons from September-October to November-December Socio-economic impacts Poverty Migration Gender impacts Source: www.ipsnews.net Source: www.bpb.de

6. Climate change in Mozambique: responses National Institute of Disaster Management (INGC) studies: – Phase I: Study on the impact of climate change on disaster risk in Mozambique – Phase II: Responding to climate change in Mozambique – Phase III: Implementation of the identified solutions Phase I 2008 – 2009 Phase II 2009 – 2012 Phase III 2013 – onwards Source: Ana Cristina Manuel, INGC

7. Climate risk in Mozambique At national level: – FEWS-Net – UNDP: “Disaster Risk Assessment in Mozambique - A Comprehensive Country Situation Analysis” (2010) – GDFRR, World Bank – Among others Risk mapping and assessment  main institutions: CENOE, DARIDAS, DPM Hazard maps for Mozambique (flood, drought, cyclone). Source: INGC

8. Climate risk in Mozambique At community level: – Facilitator’s Manual (developed by GIZ in cooperation with INGC) – UNDP Methodology:  Hazard mapping with the communities with support from CL-GRC  Vulnerability assessment: identification of vulnerable elements (people, houses, schools, etc.)

9. Climate risk in Mozambique National workshop on climate risk analysis (Maputo, 12.-13.11.2015) Experts presented impacts and responses Main findings: climate change is not yet well included in the current risk analysis methodologies (at all levels) Working group  identification of more hazard and vulnerability indicators to analyze risk at community level, considering climate change

10. Climate risk in Mozambique Some proposed additional indicators: – Flood hazard: to include duration and frequency – Exposure: to determine if exposed crops or houses are located between the alert level (threshold) and the maximum level of the event – Vulnerability: to include “historical memory” to past extreme events

11. Climate risk in Mozambique Sub-objective 1 (FbF project)  to develop a methodology for climate risk analysis at local level, considering climate change (still in process) Approach: Literature review Identification of key institutions Compilation of existing methodologies Determination of main CC impacts at local level Definition of vulnerability and hazard indicators Proposal presentation (December 2015)

12. THANK YOU! DANKE SCHÖN! OBRIGADA!