1. Hoos going to win the NCAA Tournament? 5 minute persuasive talk By: Jim Boley www.sfgate.com

2. What is the NCAA Tournament? Top 64 college basketball teams Single-elimination bracket style tournament Teams entered into bracket by seed based on regular season performance Current status: 4 teams remaining Florida (1), Wisconsin (2), Uconn (7), Kentucky (8) www.espn.com

3. Metrics for evaluation 1.Quality of each team – Team statistics throughout the season 2.Seeding in the tournament – Compare against historical data of past champions

4. Statistics for Measuring Team Quality Defense- opponent’s points per game (PPG) Offense- number of points scored per game Average margin of victory- points scored – opponent’s points scored Rebounding margin- number of rebounds – opponent’s number of rebounds Turnover margin- % of possession resulting in turnover – opponents % of possession resulting in turnover Offensive rebounds per game

5. Evaluation of Statistical Metrics DefenseOffenseScoring MarginReb MarginTO MarginOff RebAverage Florida31957253312464.5 Kentucky8269392278679.33333 Wisconsin37892813460302108.3333 Uconn381254118074259119.5 Based on our statistical metrics, the tournament champion will be Florida and the runner-up will be Kentucky * Numbers represent national ranking in each category

6. Evaluation of Historical Evidence Final FoursTop 2 Finishes% Top 2Championships% Champions Florida (1)563257.142137.50 Kentucky (8)5360.00120.00 Wisconsin (2)301550.00516.67 Uconn (7)100.000 Over past 35 years, #1 seeds have won 60% of the NCAA tournaments Based on historical data, Kentucky as a #8 seed has the highest chance of making it to the championship (60%), but Florida has the highest chance of winning the championship (37.5%)

7. Conclusion Based on team quality and historical evidence, Florida has the best chance of winning the tournament and Kentucky has the best chance of finishing second