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Demographic Characteristics and Trends in Texas North and East Texas Press Association Convention April 10, 2015 Denton,

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Presentation on theme: "Demographic Characteristics and Trends in Texas North and East Texas Press Association Convention April 10, 2015 Denton,"— Presentation transcript:

1 Demographic Characteristics and Trends in Texas North and East Texas Press Association Convention April 10, 2015 Denton, Texas @TexasDemography

2 Y ear* Population Numeric Change Annual Percent Change 19507,711,194-- 19609,579,6771,868,4832.4 197011,196,7301,617,0531.7 198014,229,1913,032,4612.7 199016,986,5102,757,3192.0 200020,851,8203,865,3102.3 201025,145,5614,293,7412.1 201226,060,796 915,2351.8 201326,448,193387,397 1.4 201426,895,688447,495 1.7 * All values for the decennial dates are for April 1 st of the indicated census year. Values for 2012-2014 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. Total Population and Components of Population Change in Texas, 1950-2014 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census Counts and Population Estimates

3 Population Growth, Texas, 1950-2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses

4 1950 19601970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Historic Population, Texas Counties, 1950- 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, decennial censuses

5 Total Estimated Population, Texas Counties, 2014 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2014 Vintage Population Estimates

6 Estimated Population Change, Texas Counties, 2010 to 2014 6 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2014 Vintage. 102 counties lost population over the four year period.

7 Estimated Percent Population Change, Texas Counties, 2010 to 2014 7 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2014 Vintage.

8 Percent Components of Population Change in Texas, 1950-2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates

9 U.S. Rank Population Change Population Change Percent of Change from Natural Increase Percent Change from Migration Percent of Migration that is international Harris1 88,61848.6%51.4%54.0% Bexar6 33,71242.8%57.2%23.2% Dallas8 32,55569.6%30.4%116.3%* Tarrant10 31,41750.8%49.2%38.5% Fort Bend11 30,78419.4%80.6%17.3% Travis12 28,39738.2%61.8%29.7% Collin14 26,53026.1%73.8%20.1% Denton16 24,21127.2%72.8%14.0% Montgomery27 19,12917.9%82.1%10.4% Williamson31 18,02523.2%76.8%7.8% *Dallas had net out domestic migration over this period. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2014 Vintage Population Estimates Top Counties for Numeric Growth in Texas, 2013-2014

10 Top Counties for Percent Growth* in Texas, 2013-2014 U.S. Rank 2013-2014 Percent Population Change Percent Change from Migration Percent of Migration that is International Hays54.8%83.89%2.62% Fort Bend64.7%80.6%17.27% Comal94.0%90.1%3.04% Andrews124.0%62.8%3.57% Montgomery133.8%82.1%10.39% Williamson143.8%76.8%7.84% Kendall153.8%98.0%5.02% Ward213.4%72.0%1.49% Denton233.3%72.8%14.2% Collin313.1%73.9%20.1% Aransas323.1%110.8%4.3% Rockwall353.0%78.3%7.8% Waller362.9%77.2%5.3% Ector372.9%59.9%2.0% Guadalupe422.8%78.6%4.9% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2014 Vintage Population Estimates *Among Counties with 10,000 or more population in 2013

11 Estimated Number of Net Migrants, Texas Counties, 2013 to 2014 11 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2014 Vintage.

12 Percent of 2013-2014 Population Change from Net Migration 12 Midland Dallas Houston Austin San Antonio Ft. Worth Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2014 Vintage.

13 Texas Leads U.S. Job Growth, 2004-2014

14 29% 11% 7% 4% Texas California New York North Carolina Washington 4% Percentage of Total U.S. Job Gains Attributable to each State All Others

15 Number of Non-Citizen Immigrants by World Area of Birth in the Top 5 Immigration Receiving States, 2007-2011 Source: 5-Year ACS PUMS 2007-2011

16 Shares of Recent Non-Citizen Immigrants to Texas from Mexico, India, China, and All Other Countries, 2005-2012 Source: 1-Year ACS PUMS 2005-2012 17.9% 6.1%

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20 Texas Racial and Ethnic Composition, 2000 and 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census count

21 Texas White (non-Hispanic) and Hispanic Populations by Age, 2010 21 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

22 22 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

23 23 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

24 24 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

25 Percent of the Population that is of Hispanic Descent, Texas Counties, 2009-2013 25 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample

26 Percent of the Population that is of Asian Descent, Texas Counties, 2009-2013 26 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample

27 Percent of the Population that is Non-Hispanic Black, Texas Counties, 2009-2013 27 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample

28 Percent of the Population Born in Texas, Texas Counties, 2009-2013 28 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample

29 Percent of the Adult Population Aged 25 Year and Older with Bachelor’s Degree or Greater Educational Attainment, Texas Counties, 2009-2013 29 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample

30 Percent of Households with Income of $150,000 or More, Texas Counties, 2009-2013 30 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample

31 Mean Travel Time to Work, Texas Counties, 2009-2013 31 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample

32 Median Age, Texas Counties, 2009-2013 32 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample

33 Projected Population Growth in Texas, 2010-2050 33 Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections

34 Projected Population Change, Texas Counties, 2010-2050 Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections. 2000-2010 Migration Scenario

35 Projected Percent Population Change, Texas Counties, 2010-2050 Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections. 2000-2010 Migration Scenario

36 Texas Population Change by Age Group, 2010-2030 Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections

37 Projected Racial and Ethnic Percent, Texas, 2010-2050 37 Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections, 2000-2010 Migration Scenario

38 Trends in Educational Attainment of Persons in the Labor Force (25-64 Years of Age) in Texas by Race/Ethnicity – High School Graduates and Above Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, Public Use Micro Sample, 2001-2011

39 Percent of the Civilian Labor Force (ages 25-64) by Educational Attainment for 2011, 2030 Using Constant Rates, Texas 39 These should be going DOWNThese should be going UP Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-Year PUMS. Texas State Data Center, 2012 Vintage Population Projections, 0.5 Migration Scenario

40 Percent of the Civilian Labor Force (ages 25-64) by Educational Attainment for 2011, and 2030 Using Trended Rates, Texas 40 These should be going DOWNThese should be going UP Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-Year PUMS. Texas State Data Center, 2012 Vintage Population Projections, 0.5 Migration Scenario

41 Demographics and Destiny 41

42 Contact Office: (512) 463-8390 or (210) 458-6530 Email: Lloyd.Potter@osd.state.tx.usLloyd.Potter@osd.state.tx.us Internet: http://osd.state.tx.ushttp://osd.state.tx.us Twitter: @TexasDemography Lloyd Potter, Ph.D. 42


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