1. Forecasting Dust in Sahelian countries
Mariane DIOP KANE
Senegal National Meteorological Agency
ANAMS
2nd training course on WMO SDS-WAS, Antalya, Nov. 2011

2. 2nd training course on WMO SDS-WAS, Antalya, 21-25 Nov. 2011
Outline
Brief Introduction
Forecasting systems
Example
Convlusions & recommendations
2nd training course on WMO SDS-WAS, Antalya, Nov. 2011

3. 2nd training course on WMO SDS-WAS, Antalya, 21-25 Nov. 2011

4. 2nd training course on WMO SDS-WAS, Antalya, 21-25 Nov. 2011
Dust occurs mainly during the dry season, either locally or transported, with a peak between February and May
main sources are from Mauritania/ Algeria and the Bodele depression
impacts on transport through reduced visibility
impacts on health (meningitis, respiratory diseases, flu, eye infections)
impacts on agriculture through land degradation
2nd training course on WMO SDS-WAS, Antalya, Nov. 2011

5. 2nd training course on WMO SDS-WAS, Antalya, 21-25 Nov. 2011
Short term forecasting of dust
Observations
Global and LAM forecast model outputs: winds, MSLP, RH
Satellite images: visible, RGB dust
Dust forecast
now
+ Dust model outputs
2nd training course on WMO SDS-WAS, Antalya, Nov. 2011

6. 2nd training course on WMO SDS-WAS, Antalya, 21-25 Nov. 2011
Data and Forecasting systems
Data from GTS are received trough the RETIM-SYNERGIE System and MSG PUMA-AMESD stations
ECMWF, Meteo-France, UKMO model outputs, surface, upper air observations and satellite data are received
2nd training course on WMO SDS-WAS, Antalya, Nov. 2011

7. 2nd training course on WMO SDS-WAS, Antalya, 21-25 Nov. 2011
ECMWF MSLP 12/11/11 at 00Z H forecast
2nd training course on WMO SDS-WAS, Antalya, Nov. 2011

8. 2nd training course on WMO SDS-WAS, Antalya, 21-25 Nov. 2011
12/11/11 at 0900Z /11/11 at 09Z
2nd training course on WMO SDS-WAS, Antalya, Nov. 2011

9. 2nd training course on WMO SDS-WAS, Antalya, 21-25 Nov. 2011
Recommandations
Observing stations in the sahelian regions
Dust model evaluation
Model intercomparison
Dust Ensemble forecast model
2nd training course on WMO SDS-WAS, Antalya, Nov. 2011