1. Hume Regional Workforce Plan Summary of key findings April 2013 FINAL DRAFT

2. Our Approach and Key Data Sources 2 | DEWR Industry Outlook IBIS World Industry Skills Council Scans ABS 2006 and 2011 Census Monash COPS Projections Skills Victoria VET Enrolments Deloitte Access Economics Skills Vic Report Hume Strategic Plan Annual Reports Aust Workplace Productivity Agency Reports DEEWR Skills Shortages reports Industry Associations State Government Department Websites Annual Reports ABS Community Profiles ABS Industry/Occupation report Key data sources used in the industry labour market snapshots

3. Regional Employment Status Profile of the employment status by LGA 3 | In 2011 the Labour Force participation rates varied from a low of 55% to a high of 65%. Between 2006 and 2011, eight LGAs experienced a drop in their labour force participation rates. In 2011 unemployment rates varied between a low of 2.9% and a high of 5.6%. Between 2006 and 2011 five LGAs experienced an increase in their unemployment rates. Source: ABS Census Data 2006 (Community profiles, Time Series) RegionPopulationGrowthParticipationUnemployment 200620112006201120062011 Alpine13,18312,71260%58%4.2%4.4% Benalla13,25613,25259%57%5.8%5.0% Greater Shepparton56,11559,64862%60%6.1%5.6% Indigo14,35814,79063% 3.6%4.0% Mansfield7,7398,34360%61%4.6%2.9% Mitchell30,62834,40563% 4.7%4.2% Moira26,53527,74657%55%4.7%4.9% Murrindindi13,38312,71660%59%4.2%4.5% Strathbogie9,0499,16056%55%4.5%4.2% Towong5,7745,65160% 3.7%4.1% Wangaratta26,07226,48562%61%4.7% Wodonga32,88535,36667%65%5.2%4.7%

4. Change in Employment by Industry: A snapshot 4 | Industry20062011% Change Health & Community Services12,47714,97520% up Manufacturing15,44414,4297% down Retail13,44713,2771.5% down Agriculture11,4399,94413% down Education & Training8,0708,8409.5% up Government (Public Admin & Safety)7,7118,56111% up Accommodation & Food7,3608,0039% Change in employment by industry in Hume from 2006 to 2011 Between 2006 and 2011 nine industries or industry segments, for which snapshots were completed, experienced employment growth in the Hume region. The Health & Community sector was the fastest growing industry in the region and has now replaced Manufacturing as the largest contributor to employment in the Hume Region. Employment in this industry increased by a reported 20% between 2006 and 2011.

5. Change in Employment by Industry: A snapshot Change in employment by industry in Hume from 2006 to 2011 5 | Industry20062011% Change Transport & Logistics4,9685,4379% up Finance and Insurance1,9491,9042.3% down Utilities - all1,2241,41916% up Arts & Recreation1,1131,28716% up Rental/Hiring/Real Estate,1,26312402% down Industry segments Food Manufacturing522650922.5% down Utilities - Water60368513.6% up Equine2792893.5% Two of the smallest industries, Utilities and Arts & Recreation showed the strongest growth in employment after Health & Community Services. The Agriculture and Manufacturing sectors experienced the largest decline in jobs. For the other industries showing decline the reduction was much smaller, i.e. less than 2.5%.

6. Sector decline but segment growth Overall decline masks segment growth and increased efficiencies in industries 6 | Between 2006 and 2011 six industries or industry segments covered by the industry labour market snapshots experienced a decline in total employment in the Hume region. The two industries in the region experiencing the sharpest decline were Agriculture and Manufacturing. However both these industries remain significant contributors to employment in the region. Also, a decline in employment growth can occur simultaneously with increased efficiency and therefore profitability, so it should not be viewed in isolation. Growth Segments in Manufacturing While overall employment declined in manufacturing, there were multiple industry segments where the number of people employed increased between 2006 and 2011. Many of these segments were the smaller segments within the manufacturing industry. Manufacturing SegmentEmployment 2006 Employment 2011 Manufacturing SegmentEmployment 2006 Employment 2011 Meat and Meat product696709Fertiliser and Pesticide2239 Bakery Product686756Professional and Scientific 40343 Other Food Product653784Computer and Electronic5687 Textile294308Electrical Equipment213258 ‘Other Wood Product’564625Domestic Appliance5068 Basic Chemical2646Pump Compressor69107 ‘Other Basic Chemical Product 198236 Source: ABS Census of Population and Housing using Table Builder

7. The Data Story- key findings Combining all the three data sources suggests employment growth areas and opportunities 7 |. IndustryEmployment 2006 to 2011 Growth segments 2006 to 2011 Projected Growth for Hume (CoPS) Occupations in demand Health & Community Services 1 Up 20%Hospitals Pathology/diagnostic imaging Allied Health Residential Care Child care ‘Other social assistance’ Employment increases until 2011-12 and then plateaus until 2015-16 Nurses (H) Occupational Therapists Most Allied health professionals (H) Welfare Workers Social Workers (H) Div 2 Nurses ManufacturingDown 7%Baking Products Meat and Meat Product Textile ‘Other Wood products’ ‘Basic chemical’ and ‘Other basic chemical’ ‘Fertilisers and Pesticides’ ‘Professional and scientific’ Employment rises until 2011-12 then declines to 2015-16 Welder (H) Cheesemaker (H) Meat Lumper (H) RetailDown 1.5%Electrical/electronic goods Clothing/footwear Accessories Furniture/Floor/House wares Employment will decline between 2012 and 2017 Sales (H) 1. ABS figure based on ‘Health and Social Assistance’ industry This table indicates the segments that have experienced growth in each industry, a comment on projected growth and the occupations in demand. Those occupations with an (H) were identified in the on-line survey of Hume employers as being hard-to-fill.

8. The Data Story - Key Findings Combining all the three data sources indicates areas of employment growth areas 8 |. IndustryEmployment 2006 to 2011 Growth segments 2006 to 2011 Projected Growth for Hume (CoPS) Occupations in demand Agriculture 2 Down 13%Mushroom and vegetable growing Agriculture and Fishing Support Services Employment rises until 2014-15 and then levels out* Agricultural scientists Agricultural technicians Pickers (H) Packers (H) Education and Training Up 9.5%Pre-schools School Tertiary education Adult, Community and Other Educations Outdoor education Employment shows a decline between 2012 and 2015-16 and then rises and plateau in 2016- 17. Outdoor education guides Early childhood teachers Tutors Primary/secondary (pockets) VET – teachers for disengaged learners GovernmentUp 11%State government Local government Public order and Safety Between 2012 and 2017 Public Administration and Safety Services employment is expected experience a small decline. Child protection workers Social Workers and community workers Transport & Logistics 3 Up 9%Road freight Transport Road passenger transport Rail Passenger Transport Air transport Postal/ couriers/pick up and delivery Warehousing and storage Other transport support services Employment rises to 2011-12, levels out to 2016. Truck drivers (H) Transport/Logistics Manager/supervisor (H) Scheduler Bus driver Warehouse Manager Store person (H) 2. Includes Forestry & Fishing 3. Includes Transport, Postal and Warehousing

9. The Data Story – Key Findings Combining all the three data sources indicates areas of employment growth areas 9 |. IndustryEmployment 2006 to 2011 Growth segments 2006 to 2011 Projected Growth for Hume (CoPS) Occupations in demand Rental/Hiring/Real Estate, Up 16%Non-residential property operators Other goods and equipment rental/ hiring Employment plateaus in 20113/14 and then slowly declines None reported in survey Finance and Insurance Down 2.3%Depository Financial intermediation Superannuation funds Auxiliary Insurance services Employment declines until 2015, plateaus and then rises in 2016/17. None reported in survey Utilties (Water)Down 2%Electricity Dist, On selling, Electricity and Electricity market Operation Gas supply Water supply, sewerage and drainage Waste treatment, disposal Employment shows a decline between 2012/13 and 2016/17 Engineers* Environmental Scientist* Hydrologist* Accommodation and Food Up 9%Take away food ServicesEmployment rises until 2011-2012, then declines, but is still higher than 2010-11 level. Waiters (H), Chefs(H) Bar staff (H)

10. Data Story - Summary The combined data story points to opportunities 10 | Employment Opportunities – Industries The data story shows where employment growth occurred in the Hume Region between 2006 and 2011. The strongest employment growth has been in the Health and Social Assistance industry. This growth is expected to continue. Nine other industries showed growth in employment between this same timeframe including: Education and Training, Government, Arts and Recreation, Utilities, Accommodation & Food and Transport & Logistics. The data story also shows that while an industry may experience overall decline in employment, individual segments can be experiencing employment growth. The manufacturing industry in Hume is one such example. Several segments experienced strong growth between 2006 and 2011. Employment opportunities – Occupations Many of the employment opportunities in VET occupations mirror the skills in demand at a state or national level. This includes such occupations as: chefs, waiters, child care co-ordinators, trades teachers/trainers, heavy vehicle truck drivers, pickers, and welders. At the professional level it is a similar story, with occupations that are difficult to fill in Hume being difficult to fill more widely. This includes specialist engineering roles, specialist managers roles (e.g. OH&S ), Allied Health Professionals, nurses and outdoor education guides. The on-line employer survey found more than 38% of employers were expecting to hire in the next year, but that employability skills is a factor contributing to people being hired in difficult to fill roles. Implications for the Action Plan Many employment opportunities in Hume, particularly in the Health sector are at the professional level which highlights the needs to build local pathways for people to move from VET level roles to professional roles. Many roles identified as difficult to fill were in areas that people perceive opportunities are drying up or are in decline, e.g. in Manufacturing and Agriculture. This points to the need to identify and raise awareness of opportunities available in a range of industries, and not just focus on the growth industries.

11. Contact Us: Workforce Planning Australia GPO Box 381 MELBOURNE VIC 3000 (03) 9206 8000 Purpose and Confidentiality This document is prepared solely for the use of the Hume Regional Development Australia Committee by Workforce Planning Australia. This document is not to be used for any other purpose and is not to be copied or transmitted in any way except in connection with the purpose. It is not for publication, distribution or sighting by other than the officers of Hume Regional Development Australia Committee and is to be held confidential always. 11