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GLAMMR GLeon Ad hoc Mendota Modeling Researchers Tim Kratz, Paul Hanson, David Hamilton, Matt Hipsey, Evelyn Gaiser, Trina McMahon, David Motta Marques,

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Presentation on theme: "GLAMMR GLeon Ad hoc Mendota Modeling Researchers Tim Kratz, Paul Hanson, David Hamilton, Matt Hipsey, Evelyn Gaiser, Trina McMahon, David Motta Marques,"— Presentation transcript:

1 GLAMMR GLeon Ad hoc Mendota Modeling Researchers Tim Kratz, Paul Hanson, David Hamilton, Matt Hipsey, Evelyn Gaiser, Trina McMahon, David Motta Marques, Stefan Bertilsson, Chin Wu, Todd Miller, Kevin Rose, Yvonne Hseih, Emily Kara, Lucas Beversdorf, Luke Winslow, Cayelan Carey

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3 Timeline July 2009: Diverse group of modelers, physical limnologists, ecologists, and microbiologists descend on Trout Lake Station for one week 5 days later…. Mendota is modeled Fall 2009: calibrate, validate, and explore science questions

4 DYRESM CAEDYM ELCOM CAEDYM DYRESM (1D) or ELCOM (3D) with CAEDYM 2008 GLEON meteorological and water quality driver data NTL LTER chemical and biological data USGS

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6 Science Questions What are the primary controls on cyanobacterial bloom dynamics? Which features of model output can inform our understanding of microbial community dynamics? Emergent properties of the model?

7 More Questions… Lake-wide responses to long-term climate change How will trophic cascade respond to fluctuations in climate? Are lakes Ahrrenius? Metabolic theory of ecology? System level feedbacks might make the ecosystem behave differently than we expect? Toxin genes related to stoichiometry Toxin genes related to toxin concentration

8 DYRESM Simulations

9 Model Output Simulated Observed Temperature

10 Simulated Observed Dissolved Oxygen (mg/L)

11 Observed Simulated Chlorophyll-a

12 Simulated Phytoplankton Succession

13 ELCOM Simulations

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18 A different way of doing science

19 Future aims: setting up DYRESM CAEDYM for other GLEON lakes


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