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CF 473.32 6 Winter 2014. Discounted Cash Flow Valuation ch 6.

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Presentation on theme: "CF 473.32 6 Winter 2014. Discounted Cash Flow Valuation ch 6."— Presentation transcript:

1 CF 473.32 6 Winter 2014

2 Discounted Cash Flow Valuation ch 6

3 Multiple Cash Flows  FV you have:  bank account that earns 8% interest  $7,000 in bank now you:  deposit $4,000 at end of each of next 3 years How much at the end of 3 years?

4 Multiple Cash Flows  FV -7,000.00-4,000.00 ? FV 0 +FV 1 +FV 2 +FV 3 PV 0 = -7,000.00 PV 1 = -4,000.00 PV 2 = -4,000.00 PV 3 = -4,000.00 t 0 = t 1 = t 2 = t 3 = 3 2 1 0

5 Multiple Cash Flows  FV -7,000.00-4,000.00 FV PV 0 = -7,000.00 PV 1 = -4,000.00 PV 2 = -4,000.00 PV 3 = -4,000.00 t 0 = t 1 = t 2 = t 3 = 3 2 1 0

6 Multiple Cash Flows  FV you have:  mutual fund that earns 9% interest  invest $500 now  another $600 in 1 year How much at the end of 2 years? What if you leave it in for 5 years?

7 -500.00 Multiple Cash Flows  FV PV 0 012 FV How much at the end of 2 years? -600.00 PV 1

8 -500.00 Multiple Cash Flows  FV PV 0 012345 FV -600.00 PV 1 How much at the end of 5 years? FV

9 Multiple Cash Flows  FV you have:  account the earns 8% interest  invest $100 at year 1  another $300 at year 3 How much at the end of 5 years?

10 -100.00 Multiple Cash Flows  FV PV 0 012345 -300.00 PV 1 r =.08 FV

11 Multiple Cash Flows  PV you are offered an investment that pays  $200 at year 1  another $400 at year 2  another $600 at year 3  another $800 at year 4 you can earn 12% on similar investments How much is this investment worth today?

12 Multiple Cash Flows  PV 01234 r =.12 $200.00 FV 1 $400.00 FV 2 $600.00 FV 3 $800.00 FV 4 PV 0

13 Multiple Cash Flows  PV You are considering an investment that pays  $1,000 at year 1  another $2,000 at year 2  another $3,000 at year 3 If you want to earn 10% on your money, how much should you be willing to pay?

14 Multiple Cash Flows  PV 0123 r =.10 $1,000.00 FV 1 $2,000.00 FV 2 $3,000.00 FV 3 PV 0

15 Multiple Cash Flows  PV  you’re CEO of small printing company  you want to make profits at least 10%.  your staff tell you if you buy a used printing machine for $5,000 it will make profits of:  $1,000 at the end of year 1  another $2,000 at the end of year 2  another $3,000 at the end of year 3  machine will be worthless after year 3 Should you buy the machine?

16 Multiple Cash Flows  PV 0123 r =.10 $1,000.00 FV 1 $2,000.00 FV 2 $3,000.00 FV 3 PV 0 $5,000?

17 Multiple Cash Flows  PV your staff have a new idea:  buy a machine for $100,000  will make $40,000 profit at the end of year 1 $75,000 profit at the end of year 2  after year 2 again, machine value = $0  this is a lot of money, so you want 15% return

18 Multiple Cash Flows  PV 012 r =.15 $40,000.00 FV 1 $75,000.00 FV 2 PV 0 $100,000?

19 Fri

20 Saving For Retirement you are offered opportunity to put some money away for retirement  you will receive 5 annual payments $25,000 each beginning in 40 years How much would you be willing to invest today if you desired an interest rate of 12%? simplify

21 Saving For Retirement  5 annual payments $25,000.00 each beginning in 40 years interest rate of 12% how much willing to invest? simplify chart

22 Saving for Retirement PV 0 25,000.00 FV 40 25,000.00 FV 41 25,000.00 FV 42 25,000.00 FV 43 25,000.00 FV 44 chart r =.12

23 Perpetuities & Annuities payments at regular intervals  Annuity a finite series  ordinary annuity »payment at end of each period  annuity due »payment at beginning of each period  Perpetuity an infinite series

24 Perpetuity  PV What?Co.  preferred stock $500.00 dividend every year  interest rate of comparable investment 8.00% PV =present price=? c =dividend every period=500.00 r =interest=.0800

25 Perpetuity  PV What?Co.  wants to issue preferred stock  desired price $100.00  dividend of ? Why?Co.  has a preferred stock  current price $40.00 dividend of $1.00 every quarter r = 2.50%/quarter c = $2.50/quarter

26 Growing Perpetuity  PV What?Co.  preferred stock $500.00 dividend every year  dividend grows every year 6.00%  comparable interest 8.00%

27 Annuities Future Value annuity factor Present Value annuity factor

28 Annuity  PV 500.00 FV 1 PV 500.00 FV 2 500.00 FV 3 r = 10% PV = $1,243.43

29 Annuity  PV Cadillac Escalade  loan payments $632.00/month  bank terms 1%/month 48 months  How much can you borrow? PV = $23,999.54

30 Annuity  PV Publishers Clearinghouse  $10 million prize  paid 30 equal annual installments $333,333.33 each  if PC can borrow money at 5% how much does it actually cost them? PV = $5,124,150.29

31 Annuity  c Finding the Payment  want to borrow $20,000  8% per year compounded monthly  4-year loan c = -$488.26

32 Annuity  t borrow  $2,000.00  at 5.00% annual payments  $734.42  How long before you pay off the loan? solving for t t = 3.00

33 Annuities  FV Saving for retirement  $2,000.00/year  7.50% interest rate  How much will you have in 40 years?

34 Growing Annuity  PV

35 $50,000-a-year job  increase by 5.00%/year  retire in 40 years  8.00% interest rate  What is the present value of this job?

36 EAR Effective Annual Rate  Which savings account is better? 15.0%  compounded daily 15.5%  compounded quarterly 16.00%  compounded annually m = # times interest compounded during the year

37 APR

38 CorpFi Applications Annuities  capital spending “rational” price lease or buy Printing machine  $1,000.00 profit/year for 10 years What should we pay?

39 CorpFi Applications Annuities  capital spending “rational” price lease or buy Printing machine  which is better buy for $6,000.00? lease for $800.00/year?

40 CorpFi Applications Growing Annuities  What should my company be worth? “rational” price Profit this year made  $16,000 growing at 3%/year  alternative: 7.5%/year

41 CorpFi Applications Annuities  “rational” price stock  common  preferred bonds


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