1. TRGOVANJE S PRIHODNOSTJO SPORAZUM TTIP ALI KAKO NAM KORPORACIJE POSKUŠAJO UGRABITI PRIHODNOST. DRŽAVNI SVET, 13. 2. 2015.

2. NTB: ZA „MEJO“ ALI ZA NAS? NON TARIF BARRIER ALI NECARINSKA OVIRA TRGOVINI - NASTANE ZARADI RAZLIK V ZAKONIH EU IN ZDA CILJ POGAJANJ JE REGULATORNA SKLADNOST: OBSTOJEČE ZAKONE EU IN ZDA NAREDITI ČIM BOLJ „PODOBNE“. 80% PREDVIDENE RASTI ZARADI ODPRAVE NTB TEŽAVA: -RAZLIKE V ZAKONIH PREVELIKE, -POSKUSI KORPORACIJ ZA DEREGULACIJO, -VPRAŠANJE „DIRKE PROTI DNU“

3. O ČEM TEČEJO POGAJANJA ZRAČNI PROMET Most important US to EU NTMs and regulatory divergence in trade and investment 43 RankNTM or Diverging RegulationTrendSector orSources of Cross-cutting Information 44 Trade measures 1Government support for AirbusConstantSector specificExpert & survey 2Government support for Airbus SuppliersIncreasingSector specificExpert & survey 3Government support for Aircraft EnginesConstantSector specificExpert & survey producers 4Prior authorisation for sensitive productConstantCross-cuttingSurvey categories 5Trade measures due to technical specificationsConstantCross-cuttingSurvey 6Double certification need caused by TheDecreasingCross-cuttingSurvey European Union’s Authorized Economic Operator (AEO) program and the US Customs- Trade Partnership against Terrorism (C-TPAT) 7EU Patent SystemConstantCross-cuttingSurvey Investment measures 1Limits to investment due to national security andIncreasingSector-specificSurvey strategic considerations

4. Most important US to EU NTMs and regulatory divergence in trade and investment 56 RankNTM or diverging regulationTrendSector orSources of Cross-cutting information 57 Trade measures 1EU/international product standards (UNECE) differ from USConstantSector-specificExpert & standards (FMVSS). survey 2Trade measures due to numerous technical specifications.IncreasingCross-cuttingSurvey & literature 3REACH regulationDecreasingCross-cuttingSurvey 4Safety and health measuresConstantCross-cuttingSurvey 5Different cetane levels in diesel fuel between EU and US –ConstantCross-cuttingExpert leading to costs to tune engines to these different levels 6Patent systemConstantCross-cuttingSurvey 7Double certification need caused by the European Union’sDecreasingCross-cuttingSurvey Authorized Economic Operator (AEO) program and the US Customs-Trade Partnership against Terrorism (C-TPAT) 8Customs administration differences between EU MemberDecreasingCross-cuttingSurvey States Investment measures 1EU/international product standards (UNECE) differ from USDecreasingSector-specificExpert & AVTOMOBILSKA INDUSTRIJA

5. Most important US to EU NTMs and regulatory divergence in trade and investment 69 RankNTM or diverging regulationTrendSector or Cross-Sources of cutting information 70 Trade measures 1Divergence in risk assessment requirementsConstantSectorSurvey & expert between REACH and TSCA 2Classification of chemicals under the DangerousDecreasingSectorExpert Substances Directive 3RoHS and restrictions on hazardous substancesConstant -Cross-cuttingExpert increasing 4Product Labelling requirements (including eco-ConstantSectorExpert & survey labelling) 5Testing requirements / Risk assessment for plantConstantCross-cuttingSurvey & Expert protection and biocidal products 6Double certification need caused by the EuropeanDecreaseCross-cuttingSurvey Union’s Authorised Economic Operator (AEO) program and the US Customs-Trade Partnership against Terrorism (C-TPAT) 7Different Member State legislation on chemicalsConstantSectorSurvey security 8Customs administration differences between EUConstantCross-cuttingSurvey Member States 9Pre-shipment inspectionsIncreasingCross-cuttingSurvey Investment measures 1EU Intellectual property rights definition which is lessConstantCross-cuttingSurvey & broad than the US ones literature KEMIKALIJE

6. Most important US to EU NTMs and regulatory divergence 83 RankNTM or diverging regulationTrendSector or Cross-Sources of cutting information 84 Trade measures 1Animal testing: a ban on animal testing of cosmeticIncreasingSectorSurvey & expert & products and on products containing ingredients literature tested on animals 2Product notifications differ from Member State toConstantSectorSurvey Member State 3Notification: Compulsory in EU, not in USConstantSectorExpert & literature 4Evaluation by SCCPIncreasingSectorExpert 5Access to information – different requirements inIncreasingSectorExpert US 6Use of CMR substancesConstantSectorExpert & literature 7Differing requirements for labelling productsIncreasingSectorExpert & literature 8US non-retail products exempt from certainConstantSector-specificExpert labelling requirements but not in the EU Investment measures 1A ban on animal testing of cosmetic products andIncreasingSectorSurvey & literature on products containing ingredients tested on animals 2Product notifications differ from Member State toIncreasingCross-cuttingSurvey & literature Member State. KOZMETIKA

7. Most important US to EU NTMs and regulatory divergence in trade and investment 96 RankNTM or diverging regulationTrendSector or Cross-Sources of cutting information 97 Trade measures 1Restriction on Hazardous SubstancesConstantSectorExpert & literature (RoHS) Directive 2WEEEDecreasingSectorExpert & survey & literature 3REACH regulationConstantCross-cuttingExpert 4Several directives for energy efficiency, e.g.IncreasingSectorExpert & survey & Framework for Energy-using Products, Low literature Voltage Directive 5EU standards in the field of informationDecreasingSectorExpert & survey & technology and telecommunications literature 5Differences in testing standards andDecreasingSectorExpert certification procedures 6Customs and border protection/controlsDecreasingCross-cuttingSurvey & literature 7European patent systemConstantCross-cuttingSurvey & literature 8Pre-shipment inspectionsIncreaseCross-cuttingSurvey Investment measures 1EU Data Protection Directive (1995/46)ConstantCross-cuttingExperts 2European patent systemConstantCross-cuttingSurvey & literature 3Local licensing requirementsConstantSectorSurvey 4Requirement for professional qualificationsDecreasingCross-cuttingSurvey for foreign firms ELEKTROINDUSTRIJA

8. Most important US to EU NTMs and regulatory divergence in trade and investment 120 RankNTM or Diverging RegulationTrendSector/Cross-Information cutting sources 121 Trade measures 1Waste electric and electronic equipment directiveDecreasingSectorExpert & survey 2Other technical measuresDecreasingCross-cuttingExpert & survey & literature 3Customs and border protectionDecreasingCross-cuttingSurvey 4EU standards in the field of information technology andDecreasingSectorExpert & survey telecommunications 5European patent systemConstantCross-cuttingSurvey & literature 6Transfer delays, slow custom procedures Cross-cuttingSurvey 7Council Decision 93/465/EEC concerning the modulesConstantSectorExpert & literature for the various phases of the conformity assessment procedures 8EU Electromagnetic Compatibility requirementsConstantSectorExpert & literature Investment measures 1Waste electric and electronic equipment directiveDecreasingSectorExpert & survey 2EU Member States to adopt DVB-H as the mainIncreasingSectorExpert technology for networks 3Other technical measuresDecreasingCross-cuttingSurvey 4European patent systemConstantCross-cuttingSurvey & literature 5Local licensing requirementsConstantSectorSurvey & expert PISARNIŠKA IN IKT OPREMA

9. Table 12.2 Most important US to EU NTMs and regulatory divergence in trade and investment 130 RankNTM or Diverging RegulationTrendSector orSources of Cross-cutting information 131 Trade measures 1EU pricing policy – Member State differencesIncreasingSectorSurvey & expert 2Health technology assessment differencesIncreasingSectorSurvey & expert 3Different rules in various Member States concerningConstantSectorSurvey & expert authorization of pharmaceuticals 4International reference pricingConstantSectorExpert 5Therapeutic reference pricingConstantSectorExpert 6Differences in the enforcement of the unifiedDecreasingCross-cuttingSurvey & expert customs system across EU Member States 7Parallel trade allowanceConstant-SectorSurvey & expert Decreasing 8Restrictions concerning information distribution toConstantSectorSurvey & expert patients Investment measures 1Export restraint arrangementsIncreasingCross-cuttingSurvey & experts 2Different rules in different Member StatesDecreasing –Sector specificExpert concerning authorization of pharmaceuticalsConstant 3Prohibitions against investment by foreignIncreasingCross-cuttingSurvey companies (e.g. security, sensitive products, etc.) ZDRAVILA

10. OSTALA PODROČJA TELEKOMUNIKACIJSKE STORITVE FINANČNE STORITVE BIOTEHNOLOGIJA JAVNA NAROČILA INTELEKTUALNE PRAVICE ZAVAROVALNIŠTVO TRANSPORTNE STORITVE TURISTIČNE STORITVE GRADBENIŠTVO OSTALE POSLOVNE STORITVE OSEBNE, KULTURNE IN REKREACIJSKE STORITVE TEKSTIL, OBLAČILA IN OBUTVE LES, PAPIR, BLAGO IZ LESA IN PAPIRJA

11. NTB: OVIRA TRGOVINI ALI POTREBEN NADZOR?

12. ZAKAJ JE POMEMBNO (ZA NAS?)

13. „STANDARDI NE BODO NIŽJI“ ALI DODD FRANK ACT

14. KAM VODI TTIP?

15. ZAKONODAJNO SODELOVANJE ALI RCC

16. MEHANIZEM ISDS

17. KAJ PRIDOBI NAŠE GOSPODARSTVO? MemberExports to TradeSummaryTariff onOverall stateUS as Substitu-Comple-measuretop 10score share of tionality (S)mentarity (C)(trade Sexports(0-10) totalGDP (%)(0-1) minustrade- exports (%) trade C)weighted average (%) Estonia3.472.590.3150.3390.025.1910 Denmark5.21.740.3790.4110.032.429 Portugal4.221.210.3180.3550.044.629 Germany8.083.240.530.519-0.011.658 Italy6.961.730.4280.4380.012.128 Lithuania2.791.980.3190.3370.025.688 Netherlands3.882.770.5010.453-0.053.498 Spain3.710.850.4030.4210.023.478 UK11.462.490.5270.505-0.021.998 Finland6.071.760.3280.279-0.052.467 Ireland21.1611.210.2320.2-0.031.487 Sweden5.821.740.4470.423-0.021.647 Belgium5.145.170.4670.417-0.051.766 Cyprus3.580.350.1680.1970.032.096 Hungary3.042.520.3890.4060.021.16 Slovakia1.811.610.3320.4030.072.456 Austria5.362.140.4190.407-0.011.025 Bulgaria1.370.760.280.2980.0211.15 Czech Rep.2.171.760.4050.4380.031.165 Poland2.240.870.380.3980.022.225 Croatia2.750.570.2840.273-0.012.234 France6.311.310.4850.444-0.040.694 Greece3.420.510.2880.219-0.074.744 Malta4.342.340.210.152-0.060.994 Romania1.670.580.3080.3450.041.574 Latvia1.180.510.3140.31601.313 Luxembourg3.410.780.2190.196-0.020.282 Slovenia1.691.040.3460.321-0.030.662

18. SKORAJ NIČ! Scenarij 1 100% eliminacija carin in izvoznih davkov EU z ZDA Scenarij 2 100% eliminacija carin in izvoznih davkov, 25% eliminacija necarinskih ovir Scenarij 3 100% eliminacija carin in izvoznih davkov, 50% eliminacija necarinskih ovir Scenarij 4 100% eliminacija carin in izvoznih davkov, 50% elim. necar. ovir, 10% rast kapitalskih tokov Skupen izvoz -0.067 -0.220 -0.421-1.855 Izvoz v ZDA 9.600 20.625 35.78031.148 Izvoz v EU -0.279 -0.567 -1.811-2.322 Izvoz v tretje države -0.359-0.2771.738-2.535 Skupen uvoz -0.054 -0.235 -0.455-0.129 Uvoz iz ZDA 8.060 22.407 38.96939.791 Uvoz iz EU -0.407 -1.050 -1.782-1.222 Uvoz iz tretjih držav 0.4330.9721.554-0.065 BDP -0.024 -0.010 0.0150.270

19. SODOBEN SPORAZUM?

20. KAJ SLEDI