1. The Television Will Be Revolutionized The iPad, Internet TV, and Web 3.0 (The Metaverse) TED x  Del Mar, CA Jun 2010 John Smart, President, Acceleration Studies Foundation johnsmart@accelerating.org Slides: accelerating.org/slides.html

2. Los Angeles New York Palo Alto Acceleration Studies Foundation A 501 (c)(3) Nonprofit © 2010 Accelerating.org Acceleration Studies Foundation: What We Do ▪We practice evolutionary developmental (“evo devo”) foresight, a model of change that proposes the universe contains both: 1. Contingent and unpredictable evolutionary choices that we use to create unique, informationally valuable, and creative paths (most of which will fail) and a small set of 2. Convergent and predictable developmental constraints (initial conditions, constancies) which direct certain aspects of our long-range future. ▪Some developmental trends that may be intrinsic to the future of complex systems on Earth include: – Accelerating intelligence, interdependence and immunity in our global sociotechnological systems – Increasing technological autonomy, and – Increasing intimacy of the human-machine and physical- digital interface.

3. Los Angeles New York Palo Alto Acceleration Studies Foundation A 501 (c)(3) Nonprofit © 2009 Accelerating.org Great Intro Book on “The Post-Network Era” (250 pp) The Television Will Be Revolutionized, Amanda Lotz, 2007 Prof. of Comm. Studies, U. Michigan

4. Los Angeles New York Palo Alto Acceleration Studies Foundation A 501 (c)(3) Nonprofit © 2010 Accelerating.org My White Paper on The Future of Internet TV (47 pp) How the Television Will Be Revolutionized, J. Smart, 2010 Prof. of Emerging Tech, U. Advancing Tech http://accelerating.org/downloads/SmartJ-2010-HowTVwillbeRevolutionized.pdf

5. Los Angeles New York Palo Alto Acceleration Studies Foundation A 501 (c)(3) Nonprofit Web 3.0 (The 3D/Video Web) is On the Horizon © 2010 Accelerating.org

6. Los Angeles New York Palo Alto Acceleration Studies Foundation A 501 (c)(3) Nonprofit Five Generic Steps in Web Development Web 1.0Read Mainly - Graphical UI Web 2.0Read/Write/Participatory - Social UI Web 3.03D/Video (iTV, VW, MW, AR,) - Metaverse UI Web 4.0Semantic (Valuecosm) - Conversational UI Web 5.0Intelligent (Planetization, Global Brain, Tech and Social ‘Singularity’) - Cognitive UI We are climbing the hierarchies of the web, via design, use, feedback. Edge platforms include search (Google, Bing, Wolfram Alpha), telephony (iPhone, Android, Google Voice), static and mobile social networking (Facebook, Foursquare), microblogging (Twitter), conferencing and collaboration environments (Skype, Wave, WebEx, Wikis), video (YouTube, Boxee, P2PTV), games and virtual worlds (XBox Live, Second Life), mirror worlds (Google Earth), avatars (Miis, MyCyberTwin), lifelogging (MyLifeBits), augmented reality (QR codes, Wikitude, Layar). Collectively, these are today more a story of intelligence amplification (IA, ‘Sociotech’) than of artificial intelligence (AI, ‘Infotech’). This is, by far, the largest and most meaningful complexity construction process society has ever engaged in. Smart, John et. al. 2007. Metaverse Roadmap (to 2025). Metaverseroadmap.orgMetaverse Roadmap (to 2025) Web Metaverse Metahumanity Metaverseroadmap.org © 2010 Accelerating.org

7. Los Angeles New York Palo Alto Acceleration Studies Foundation A 501 (c)(3) Nonprofit Fifty Years of Vast Wasteland FCC chairman Newton N. Minow, 1961: "When television is good, nothing — not the theater, not the magazines or newspapers — nothing is better. But when television is bad, nothing is worse. I invite each of you to sit down in front of your own television set when your station goes on the air and stay there, for a day, without a book, without a magazine, without a newspaper, without a profit and loss sheet or a rating book to distract you. Keep your eyes glued to that set until the station signs off. I can assure you that what you will observe is a vast wasteland. You will see a procession of game shows, formula comedies about totally unbelievable families, blood and thunder, mayhem, violence, sadism, murder, western bad men, western good men, private eyes, gangsters, more violence, and cartoons. And endless commercials — many screaming, cajoling, and offending. And most of all, boredom. True, you'll see a few things you will enjoy. But they will be very, very few. And if you think I exaggerate, I only ask you to try it." © 2009 Accelerating.org

8. Los Angeles New York Palo Alto Acceleration Studies Foundation A 501 (c)(3) Nonprofit The Tablet Remote – Web 3.0’s Killer App © 2010 Accelerating.org What are the most exciting developmental uses for a tablet? #1 iTV & Video, #2 Social, #3 eReading, #4 Games, #5 Clipboard, #6 Apps  There are about 2.3 billion TVs in the world. 20,000+ streamable TV channels. Thousands more sit on the web, waiting for bandwidth. May be hundreds of thousands by 2015.  25% of US TVs sold in Jan 2010 were connected by consumers to the internet (internally or via a set top box, game console, DVD player), 40% of these were internally-enabled.  Tablet TV Remote: Voice enabled, collaborative filtering of thousands of channels, 2ndary screen, social viewing (chat, teamspeak), P2PTV, true internet television. Lenovo Ideapad U1: Best multiuse design. June 2010 Will Google get this done? A perfect YouTube front end. Apple iPad: No Apple TV. Too little, too closed.

9. Los Angeles New York Palo Alto Acceleration Studies Foundation A 501 (c)(3) Nonprofit Web 3.0 Needs Open Video Standards and Technology © 2009 Accelerating.org

10. Los Angeles New York Palo Alto Acceleration Studies Foundation A 501 (c)(3) Nonprofit Web 3.0 (Internet) TV and OVML – The Vision Media center and touch tablet navigation. Control 20,000+ channels from your lap. Quickly. Voice searches on our tablet, laptop, and smartphone remotes Collaborative rating and filtering systems, like Netflix’s recommendation engine. Netflix’s Social viewing, social networks, and realtime chat. What are my friends watching? Realtime captions. Secondary info streams. Micropayments, Controllable Commercials, and Per-Click Ads. New ways to monetize our video. An open video markup language (OVML). Bringing video into the hypertext world. User annotation. Simple DRM. Sharing, editing, remixing fees. © 2009 Accelerating.org

11. Los Angeles New York Palo Alto Acceleration Studies Foundation A 501 (c)(3) Nonprofit Web 3.0 TV Ads – Personalized and Unobtrusive © 2009 Accelerating.org Automuting (full or half mute, with our without captions) of all commercial breaks. Can “like” and “dislike” both video and ads with a tap on the tablet or a voice command. Can block or unblock video and ads for a preset period (month, a year) a user set period, or forever. Can email the video or ad maker (via contact tag in OVML) your opinion on video or ad. Anonymously published to the cloud unless you opt out.

12. Los Angeles New York Palo Alto Acceleration Studies Foundation A 501 (c)(3) Nonprofit Web 3.0 – A More Democratized Media, A Stronger Democracy

13. Los Angeles New York Palo Alto Acceleration Studies Foundation A 501 (c)(3) Nonprofit A Democratic Challenge: America’s Income Inequality © 2009 Accelerating.org In the U.S. the top 0.1% (300,000 people) made as much in 2008 as the bottom 50% (150 million people) Income and wealth differentials of 50-100X are healthy, fair, and incentivize innnovation. (Germany) Differentials of 300X or more cause corruption, anticompetitiveness, and middle class decay. (US)

14. Los Angeles New York Palo Alto Acceleration Studies Foundation A 501 (c)(3) Nonprofit Inequality Dynamics: Kuznets Curves and Great U-Turns © 2009 Accelerating.org

15. Los Angeles New York Palo Alto Acceleration Studies Foundation A 501 (c)(3) Nonprofit We’re Not Going to Take It Anymore © 2009 Accelerating.org Howard Beale, Network, 1976 The Gadsden Flag, 1775. Symbol of American Patriotism and Disagreement with the Govt.

16. Los Angeles New York Palo Alto Acceleration Studies Foundation A 501 (c)(3) Nonprofit A Few Things You Can Do 1. Use Netflix Watch Instantly and RedBox (reserve online) instead of DVD rental places.Netflix Watch Instantly RedBox (reserve online) 2. Buy a TV (HD or standard) with an HDMI video input. Perhaps a Sony Internet TV.Sony Internet TV 3. Watch the 2 minute Google TV video. Buy a Google TV box or a D-Link Boxee Box this Fall.Google TV video Google TV box D-Link Boxee Box 4. Cancel your cable and satellite TV. Use the web. Hulu, Blip.tv, TED, YouTube, DocuWiki… Explore! HuluBlip.tvTEDYouTubeDocuWiki 5. Install BitTorrent, and download and seed rare or interesting creative commons licensed video.BitTorrent 6. Install the free Kaltura Open Source Video Platform on your website, if you use video.Kaltura © 2009 Accelerating.org

17. Discussion