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Validation Plot for the ECMWF Nino3.4 Forecast. Validation Plot for 2008 Forecast (All Cool ENSO composite) Modified Flow (cfs)

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Presentation on theme: "Validation Plot for the ECMWF Nino3.4 Forecast. Validation Plot for 2008 Forecast (All Cool ENSO composite) Modified Flow (cfs)"— Presentation transcript:

1 Validation Plot for the ECMWF Nino3.4 Forecast

2 Validation Plot for 2008 Forecast (All Cool ENSO composite) Modified Flow (cfs)

3 WY 2007WY 2008 Potential Implications of ENSO Transition States

4 19041.47 19071.00 19211.00 19250.49 19320.39 19430.88 19650.90 19711.55 19742.22 19840.58 1989-0.40 19960.93 19990.89 Historic Dalles Apr-Sept streamflow anomalies for water years with previous winter warm ENSO, current winter cool ENSO Stats: 12 of 13 above 0.39 11 of 13 above 0.49 9 of 13 above 0.88

5 Modified Flow (cfs) Validation Plot for 2008 Forecast (All Warm to Cool ENSO composite)

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