1. AGRICULTURE, CLIMATE CHANGE AND FOOD SECURITY Global Conference The Case of Pastoralism in the Horn of Africa SAFIA ABDI, TEZERA GETAHUN and PHILIP GALM GODANA Nov 3, 2010 Den Haag

2. Outline Our premise Understanding pastoralism Benefits of Pastoralism Impact of CC on Pastoralism Challenges Pastoralism and CC mitigation. Way forward Conclusion

3. Our premise Pastoralism is a way of life and the most viable and resilient production system in the arid and semi arid lands of the Horn of Africa. It provides food and livelihood for a large population.

4. Understanding Pastoralism Production system and way of life. Three pillars-people, natural resources and livestock Mobility/communal land ownership Herd management to manage risk Market access important-meet other basic needs Social support system-risk insurance Management of Grazing areas- provides ecosystem services

5. Pastoralists contribution to economy-Kenya Kenya is 80% Arid and semi-Arid Lands (ASAL) 25% (About10M) of Kenya’s population inhabits the ASAL. Most ASAL inhabited by pastoralists and few agro-pastoralist and small holder farmers. Pastoralist are minorities and indigenous. 80% of eco-tourist sites are in the ASAL-which contributes to about 12% of GDP. ASAL host 60% of countries livestock population. Agriculture contributes 16% to GDP Livestock contribute 50% to agri. GDP 75% of national herd are indigenous livestock.

6. Climate change Impacts on pastoral system  Changes in precipitation Increase in frequency, duration and intensity of drought Variability in space, time and amounts  Increase in mean temperatures  Increase in intensity and frequency of extreme weather events  Uncertainties- greater weather variability Hence- drought after every three years from 8/10 years, presence of new diseases e.g rift valley fever in arid zones, water scarcity, loss of livestock, increased vulnerability, increased conflict

7. Challenges to pastoralism The production system still seen by most policy makers and other stakeholders as backward-as a result: Loss of land to other competing systems sedentarisation policies Inappropriate service Less investment to support production system Political marginalization food aid -creating dependency

8. Pastoralism and climate change mitigation FAO study (2006), livestock contribute to 18% of GHG emissions Pastoralists keep large herds of ruminant animals, which produce methane ILRI Kenya: All africa’s Cattle and other ruminants contribute just 3 % of global livestock Methane emissions Dryland stores 36% of total carbon storage worldwide 59% of Africa’s carbon stock is in drylands BUT, Pastoralists inhabit vast rangeland/grassland which has great potential for soil carbon sinks

9. Challenges to mitigation Existing carbon market regime is in Voluntary market not compliance targets like CDM hence less demand. Information gap on sequestration potential of rangeland Information gap on economic feasibility Pastoral communal land tenure brings in institutional feasibility question Capacity and readiness for carbon finance in rangelands-limited understanding Opportunities: there is likelihood of increased financing for mitigation as there is global concern of CC

10. Way forward-some ideas Community Level Increase resilience through CMDRR and adaptation – Livelihood diversification – Water availability – Rangeland management – Restoration of indigenous management systems – Conflict resolution – Awareness on CC – -Contingency planning

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12. Way forward-some ideas National-policy and practices More incentives to enhance production and adaptation ensure mobility through communal land tenure Recognizing indigenous knowledge Development of framework for payment for ecosystem Services perception change Social protection-

13. Way forward-some ideas Other levels RESEARCH/Finance – Potential of rangeland in carbon sequestration/piloti ng. – Weather-based insurance to manage risks and uncertainties.

14. Conclusion Pastoralism is a way of life, production and livelihood system that is viable and resilient in arid and semiarid zones. It contributes immensely to the national economies. It provides ecosystem services. Rich indigenous knowledge Therefore There is need to invest more for poverty alleviation, optimizing production and food security, enhancing adaptation and mitigation. Develop framework that helps them to benefit from eco-system services/carbon finance Increase protection/harnessing of local adaptation and mitigation strategies and knowledge

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