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June 16-18, 2014 Violent Tornado Outbreak Meteorologist Quincy Vagell.

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Presentation on theme: "June 16-18, 2014 Violent Tornado Outbreak Meteorologist Quincy Vagell."— Presentation transcript:

1 June 16-18, 2014 Violent Tornado Outbreak Meteorologist Quincy Vagell

2 Tornado Outbreak Ingredients

3 June 1 st, 2011

4 Storm Chasing Terrain

5 June 16-18, 2014 Tornado Reports 82 Reports* 82 Reports* 53 Confirmed** 53 Confirmed** 5 EF-4 Tornadoes 5 EF-4 Tornadoes

6 Monday, June 16th

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9 CAPE C onvective C onvective A vailable A vailable P otential P otential E nergy E nergy

10 Courtesy: University of California, Santa Barbara

11 Courtesy: SPC

12 Significant Tornado Parameter Instability Instability Updraft Rotation Updraft Rotation Wind Shear Wind Shear Lifted Condensation Level Lifted Condensation Level Convective Inhibition Convective Inhibition Courtesy: SPC

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14 MUCAPE = 5,765 J/kg! Sig Tor 13+!

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32 “Practically Perfect Forecast” Tornado Probabilities

33 Tuesday, June 17th

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53 “Practically Perfect Forecast” Tornado Probabilities

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55 Wednesday, June 18th

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68 “Practically Perfect Forecast” Tornado Probabilities

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70 *Reports via CIPS http://www.eas.slu.edu/CIPS/ **From Wikipedia citing SPC storm reports


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