1. www.floodrisk.org.uk EPSRC Grant: EP/FP202511/1 Visualising Uncertain Flood Inundation Maps David Leedal 1, Jeff Neal 2, Keith Beven 1,3 and Paul Bates 2. (1)Lancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster University, Lancaster, UK; (2)School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK; (3)Geocentrum, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden

2. www.floodrisk.org.uk EPSRC Grant: EP/FP202511/1 Visualising Uncertain Flood Inundation Maps Outline 1.Demonstrate the Google uncertain flood inundation map tool 2.Talk about why information visualisation is important in this context 3.Discuss the potential impact of ‘smart operations’ such as the visualisation tool within flood risk management

3. www.floodrisk.org.uk EPSRC Grant: EP/FP202511/1 Visualising Uncertain Flood Inundation Maps Visualisation tool components 1.JSON mechanism for loading data to JavaScript arrays 2.Python scripts for batch processing GIS data to JSON format and PNG images 3.Jquery sliders 4.Depth Exceedence selector 5.Point depth exceedence selector using Google charts

4. www.floodrisk.org.uk EPSRC Grant: EP/FP202511/1 Visualising Uncertain Flood Inundation Maps Visualisation tool components 1.JSON mechanism for loading data to JavaScript arrays 2.Python scripts for batch processing GIS data to JSON format and PNG images 3.Jquery sliders 4.Depth Exceedence selector 5.Point depth exceedence selector using Google charts Drag and drop marker with interactive depth exceedence graph Main control panel with intuitive user interface widgets The ‘show all’ probabilities option using a colour map to represent probability of exceediong the chosen depth.

5. www.floodrisk.org.uk EPSRC Grant: EP/FP202511/1 Visualising Uncertain Flood Inundation Maps Why is information visualisation important? Some useful definitions: The human/floodplain system ‘Objects’ or ‘blocks’ Operations Data > information > understanding Semiotic mechanism

6. www.floodrisk.org.uk EPSRC Grant: EP/FP202511/1 Visualising Uncertain Flood Inundation Maps Examples of Objects Human systems: Governance National Regional local Developer Environmental NGO (EA) Consultant Resident of floodplain

7. www.floodrisk.org.uk EPSRC Grant: EP/FP202511/1 Visualising Uncertain Flood Inundation Maps Examples of Objects Physical systems: A risk zone A residential property A factory Documents: Planning proposal Flood risk Assessment Risk map

8. www.floodrisk.org.uk EPSRC Grant: EP/FP202511/1 Visualising Uncertain Flood Inundation Maps Examples of Objects Each object: encapsulates its own data (which could be other objects) can perform operations on its data Can interact with other objects

9. www.floodrisk.org.uk EPSRC Grant: EP/FP202511/1 Visualising Uncertain Flood Inundation Maps Examples of Objects Objects represented by UML/SySML:

10. www.floodrisk.org.uk EPSRC Grant: EP/FP202511/1 Visualising Uncertain Flood Inundation Maps Examples of Objects When an actor in the human/floodplain system instigates a use-case: A series of interactions between objects is instigated. See for example the UK PPS25 document.

11. www.floodrisk.org.uk EPSRC Grant: EP/FP202511/1 Visualising Uncertain Flood Inundation Maps Data > understanding Data is not information Information is not understanding Information implies data in flow Understanding comes about through the decoding of information by a suitable semiotic system

12. www.floodrisk.org.uk EPSRC Grant: EP/FP202511/1 Visualising Uncertain Flood Inundation Maps Operations are high level Example: a ‘resident’ object may contain the operation: ‘Show me the estimated risk that my property will flood sometime in the next 100 years’ The operation must be designed to create understanding (combination of data and semiotic processes)

13. www.floodrisk.org.uk EPSRC Grant: EP/FP202511/1 Visualising Uncertain Flood Inundation Maps Complicated to Complex systems Well designed operations should aim to: Increase the degree of understanding that actors can extract from available information Increase the ease with which actors can access and exchange information Increase the capacity to archive information

14. www.floodrisk.org.uk EPSRC Grant: EP/FP202511/1 Visualising Uncertain Flood Inundation Maps Complicated to Complex systems medieval 1800 1890

15. www.floodrisk.org.uk EPSRC Grant: EP/FP202511/1 Visualising Uncertain Flood Inundation Maps Complicated to Complex systems Present (OS crown (c))

16. www.floodrisk.org.uk EPSRC Grant: EP/FP202511/1 Visualising Uncertain Flood Inundation Maps Complicated to Complex systems Present (OS crown (c))

17. www.floodrisk.org.uk EPSRC Grant: EP/FP202511/1 Visualising Uncertain Flood Inundation Maps Desirable properties of a complex human/floodplain system To redistribute and allocate land use types to achieve: Self adapting behaviour Robustness Decentralisation Optimal seeking

18. www.floodrisk.org.uk EPSRC Grant: EP/FP202511/1 Visualising Uncertain Flood Inundation Maps Summary The human/floodplain system is complicated but not Complex. If we can move towards a Complex system we may achieve robustness, self adaptation and efficient allocation of land use types Transition to self adaptation may be hastened by the design of effective operations Understanding Access Exchange Archive Probabilistic inundation mapping is key The google maps visualisation tool is an attempt to design such an operation

19. www.floodrisk.org.uk EPSRC Grant: EP/FP202511/1 Visualising Uncertain Flood Inundation Maps David Leedal 1, Jeff Neal 2, Keith Beven 1,3 and Paul Bates 2. Fig(d). Drag and drop marker with interactive depth exceedence graph Fig(a) Main control panel with intuitive user interface widgets Fig(b). The ‘show all’ probabilities option using a colour map to represent probability of exceediong the chosen depth. Fig(c). The web-tool for visualising uncertain flood inundation data. The figure shows the main components of the tool including a georeferenced overlay selectable by the user via slider controls, a point-specific marker showing depth against probability of exceedence, and text areas providing word-based summaries of the chosen overlay and key technical terms.