1. QUICKScan A Participatory Spatial Analysis Tool to Facilitate Policy Assessments Peter Verweij, Michiel van Eupen Geospatial world forum – policy/research Rotterdam, 16 May 2013

2. Policy makers wish Easy to handle research tool Fast, simple and transparent, also in terms of needed data Can be carried out in a multi- actor as well as a multi-level setting Helping to produce credible policy proposals

3. Why QUICKScan?  Different tools to do EC policy assessments, e.g.: ● Expert groups : short time frame, dialogue, transparent ● Complex models : quantities, regional differences, visualisations  Wish to use available data during explorative dialogue

4. Contents QUICKScan in Integrated Assessment (IA) process What is QUICKScan ? PPT-Demo Advantages & disadvantages Applications and planned developments

5. What is QUICKScan? Software tool Spatial (and spatio-statistical) analysis tool to link available spatial data to knowledge rules Used in participatory process To support exploratory dialogue in a facilitated workshop

6. How use QUICKScan ? Given a (policy) objective: 1.Evidence gathering: study policy documents and interview policy makers and experts  Identify potential policy alternatives  Identify data needs 2.Gather data or find proxies (originating from EU datacentres, research, others)  Classified remote sensing data (e.g. CORINE land cover, or HANTS phenology/land use)  Model results from preceding runs (e.g. CAPRI, agriculture, CLUE land demands, ENSEMBLES climate projections)  Statistical data (e.g. EUROSTAT, ESPON, FAO, GMES urban atlas)  Plans (e.g. planned roads) 3.Organise workshop with policy makers and experts  Jointly define alternatives and indicators to measure the impact  Relate alternatives and indicators to available data via expert knowledge  Iterate (re-define) and Conclude

7. When apply QUICKScan in IA process? Source: Milieu et.al., EU science policy interface, EC technical report 59, 2012

8. When apply QUICKScan in IA process? Source: Milieu et.al., EU science policy interface, EC technical report 59, 2012 Generic policy cycle

9. When apply QUICKScan in IA process? Source: Milieu et.al., EU science policy interface, EC technical report 59, 2012 Where is the problem? How big/severe is it? Who is affected? need to intervene? Where is the problem? How big/severe is it? Who is affected? need to intervene? Impact Assessment guidelines: 1.Policy problem identification and analyses 2.Definition of policy objectives 3.Develop policy options 4.Impact analysis 5.Compare impacts of options 6.Indicator recommendations, monitoring, ex post evaluation Impact Assessment guidelines: 1.Policy problem identification and analyses 2.Definition of policy objectives 3.Develop policy options 4.Impact analysis 5.Compare impacts of options 6.Indicator recommendations, monitoring, ex post evaluation Gather data Identify gaps Gather data Identify gaps Explore options Find effects Explore options Find effects

10. Tool demo Illustrated by case:  Accessibility from urban areas to green areas

11. Tool (1/9) – screen setup 2. Component library (maps, expert rules, etc.) 1. Tabs to navigate between main screens: ‘Workflows’ – define model by using components from library ‘Results’ – compare results from different workflows 3. ‘Workflows’ canvas Drag components here to relate them together and define new knowledge rules

12. Tool (2/9) – explore background maps Drag component onto canvas and view its map

13. Tool (2/9) – look at components for Green areas

14. Tool (3/9) – Define knowledge matrix

15. Tool (3/9) – add and link matrix 1. Matrix is added to the library 2. Drag matrix onto canvas 3. Link to data

16. Tool (3/9) – apply matrix and view map

17. Tool (4/9) – zoom and show causal chain

19. Tool (5/9) – create matrix: accessible green

20. Tool (5/9) – link accessible green

21. Tool (6/9) – view linked maps Choose indicators of interest

22. Tool (7/9) – Create another alternative

23. Add High Nature Value farmland

24. Tool (7/9) – Create another alternative

25. Tool (7/9) – and include Green Accessibility Add same Green accessibility definition

26. Tool (8/9) – Difference map 1. Choose indicator of interest 2. Select alternative A and B

27. Tool (9/9) – Compare alternatives (EU) 1. Choose indicator of interest 2. Choose alternatives of interest 3. Choose summary area(s)

28. Tool (9/9) – Compare alternatives (environmental regions)

29. Tool (9/9) – Compare alternatives

30. Applications Applications developed ● Green Infrastructure (incl. role of climate change in Natura2000) ● EU land use changes and Ecosystem Services ● Yellow River delta (China), wetland conservation (under pressure by oil fields, acquaculture, urban expansion) ● Darfur, resettlement of displaced persons

31. Applications  Applications developed ● Green Infrastructure (incl. role of climate change in Natura2000) ● EU land use changes and Ecosystem Services ● Yellow River delta (China), wetland conservation (under pressure by oil fields, acquaculture, urban expansion) ● Darfur, resettlement of displaced persons  Ongoing ● Market Based Instruments for biodiversity and ecosystem services ● South america, role of biodiversity in climate mitigation  Planned ● EU: High Nature Value forests ● Dutch region, TEEB ● EU: Urban expansion (urban morphological zones, night light and suitability for urbanisation) Potential QUICKScan case study locations

32. Summary (1/2) : What is needed to do a QUICKScan? People Policy-/decision makers Experts for topic at stake Experienced QS modeller (to help formulate typologies and knowledge rules) Discussion facilitator Process Facilitated workshop (in which all ‘people’ are present) Open dialogue Technology Spatial (GIS-) data and statistical data Software tool

33. Summary (2/2): Advantages / disadvantages Advantages ● Fast and transparent ● Supports reaching consensus between different views (quick iterative exchange of stakeholder views) ● Broad applicability ●.... Disadvantages ● Limited to spatial explicit issues ● No system dynamics, no feedback loops ●....

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