1. Science, Security and Resilience THE Global Uncertainties (GU) Programme Talk to the Emergency Planning College, 10 June 2014 Tristram Riley-Smith External Champion to the GU Programme

2. RCUK’s Partnership for Conflict, Crime & Security Research A national research programme examining causes of insecurity and how security risks & threats can be predicted, prevented and managed. Some facts: Runs from 2008-2018. Over 1,200 projects to date. Grants awarded amount to over £400m. Themes focus mainly on man-made threats. WHAT IS THE GU PROGRAMME ?

3. THE SIX GU THEMES CBRN Proliferation Cyber-Security Transnational Org’d Crime Ideologies & Beliefs Terrorism Threats to Infrastructure

4. CONFLICT The Seventh Theme?

5. “Everyone has a right to life, liberty, and security of person.” UN Universal Declaration of Human Rights 1948 … But the security of millions is threatened every day, locally or globally. WHY DOES THE PROGRAMME MATTER ?

6. My role is to help researchers deliver impact from the GU Programme. I can, for instance … – highlight end-user requirements that are currently unfulfilled; – identify existing projects most likely to deliver value to end-users. The External Champion

7. Map out the stakeholder community Identify new or unvoiced requirements Undertake Knowledge Exchange exercises: – Fellowship Schemes – Placements and Calls – Policy and Impact Seminars – Enhanced Impact Clinics and RISC Market-Place. “WORK WITH STAKEHOLDERS”

8. ICSSR GU Private Sector Third Sector Public Sector Home Office FCO CPNI MoD OCSIA SOCA DfT DFID HMGCC NCA WEF Selex Finmec’a MI5 GO Science BBC Media Action British Telecom Northrop Grumman Hakluyt ACPO Stakeholder Contacts April ‘13 -March‘14 RISC ADS Airbus Defence & Space IRM Lutra BlueLights Works Co-op Ireland NSSI Group GCHQ CCS Europol German Embassy TSB US DoD US DHS US Embassy White House OSTP All Party Parl’try Group on GU Start-up Boot-Camp Global Security Challenge IBM GDS MPS LCCP PHIA College of Policing NABIS DCLG Imperial War Museum DEIT India Emergency Planning College

9. Complex and pressing need to address man-made threats to security and well-being. The National Security Strategy – National Security through Technology – The Strategic Defence and Security Review 2015 The Security Export Strategy – Security/Cyber Growth Partnerships. Resilience/Civil Protection Stakeholder Requirements

10. Resilience/Civil Protection Build Resilience: – in society, cities, systems (including the critical national infrastructure) to deal with the consequences of threats when they are realised. Examples: help is needed … – to understand how people respond to public announcements in a crisis – To optimise the delivery of messages to save lives – To map interdependencies within and between critical infrastructures (transport, power, energy, telecommunications, water, food supply, banking etc); – To design and deploy tools to sense, measure and counter hazards. Stakeholder Requirements “A strong scientific research base is crucial to the resilience of our nation: the Cabinet Office is currently working on its priorities here.” Rt. Hon. Oliver Letwin, Minister for Government Policy

11. Example: Security Export Strategy Global Market: £410bn (2012) > £571bn (2016) Goal: increase UK’s share of security exports from 4% to 8% by 2020 UK Strengths: – History and Experience – Unique international position and perspective – Quality, Reliability and Standards – Innovation and Expertise – (inc The GU Programme) Stakeholder Requirements

12. Understand the GU research portfolio Facilitate collaborative new research Support the delivery of impact from research: – Policy and Impact Seminars – Enhanced Impact Clinics & the RISC Market-Place. “WORK WITH RESEARCHERS”

13. USNSF USNA University of Cambridge University of Oxford Sheffield Queen's Belfast Hull The Open University University of Bournemouth University of Nottingham University of Kent Brunel University Cardiff University University of York Newcastle University IET RUSI PURE UEL GU Exeter RCUK Stimson Centre US University of Bath Edinburgh START (Maryland) Sussex University of Westminster Imperial University of Durham Saint Andrews Sandia National Labs University of Amsterdam Anglia Ruskin University of Warwick UCL Research Contacts Apr 2013 - Mar2014 Glasgow Strathclyde Abertay Dundee University of Bristol University of Birmingham

14. GU Projects: examples of interest to emergency planners? Emergency Communications Professor John Preston, University of East London – Mass population response to critical infrastructure collapse (ends 2015) – Adaptive networks for smart evacuations (ended 2012) Infrastructure Protection: Mapping Prof David Arrowsmith, Queen Mary University Resilience, Adaptability and Vulnerability of Complex Energy Networks (ended 2013) Prof R.J. Dawson, Newcastle University Resource implications of adaptation of infrastructure to global change (ends 2015)

15. Sensors Dr Ian Fallis, University of Cardiff (ended 2009) Easy-to-use Test Kits for Toxic Chemical Identification Dr Martin Castell, University of Oxford Ultra-sensitive molecular detection (ended 2012) Dr H.C. Boston, University of Liverpool “Imaging & detection of radioactive material – portable gamma ray imaging spectrometer (PGRIS)” (ends 2015) GU Projects: examples of interest to emergency planners?

16. Community Resilience Professor Lindsey McEwen, University of the West of England Sustainable flood memories &the development of community resilience to future flood risk: a comparative study of three recently flooded communities. (ended 2013) GU Projects: examples of interest to emergency planners?

17. Substantial and relevant research capacity needs help to understand and connect with Global Uncertainties stakeholders. Researcher Requirements

18. THANK YOU http://www.globaluncertainties.org.uk/ Dr Tristram Riley-Smith tr356@cam.ac.uk External Champion for RCUK’s Global Uncertainties Programme