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MAKING CAPITAL INVESTMENT DECISIONS Chapter 10. Relevant Cash Flows A change in the firm’s overall future cash flow that comes about as a direct consequence.

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Presentation on theme: "MAKING CAPITAL INVESTMENT DECISIONS Chapter 10. Relevant Cash Flows A change in the firm’s overall future cash flow that comes about as a direct consequence."— Presentation transcript:


2 Relevant Cash Flows A change in the firm’s overall future cash flow that comes about as a direct consequence of the decision to take that project. These cash flows are called incremental cash flows Incremental cash flows: the difference between a firm’s future cash flows with a project and those without the project Irrelevant cash flows

3 The stand-alone principle The stand-alone principle allows us to analyze each project in isolation from the firm simply by focusing on incremental cash flows

4 Asking the Right Question You should always ask yourself “Will this cash flow occur ONLY if we accept the project?”  If the answer is “yes,” it should be included in the analysis because it is incremental  If the answer is “no,” it should not be included in the analysis because it will occur anyway  If the answer is “part of it,” then we should include the part that occurs because of the project

5 Sunk cost: a cost that has already been incurred and can’t be removed. Opportunity cost: the cost of giving up a valuable alternative if a particular investment is undertaken. Side effects: a) negative impact on the cash flows of an existing product from the introduction of a new product (erosion) b) Positive impact Common Types of Cash Flows

6 Net working capital: Financing costs: Common Types of Cash Flows

7 Notes Financial manager is interested in: 1. Cash flows 2. When these cash flows actually occurs 3. After-tax cash flows Note that Incremental cash flows are after-tax cash flows Differentiate between: after-tax cash flows, accounting profit and net income

8 Financial statements projecting future years’ operations Capital budgeting relies heavily on pro forma accounting statements, particularly income statements Computing cash flows – refresher  Operating Cash Flow (OCF) = EBIT + depreciation – taxes  OCF = Net income + depreciation (when there is no interest expense)  Cash Flow From Assets (CFFA) = OCF – net capital spending (NCS) – changes in NWC Pro Forma Statements and Cash Flow

9 Example If Pepsi can sell 50,000 cans per year of a new product line for 4$ per can. It costs 2.5$ per can, this product line has three- year life with a required rate of return of 20%. There will be 12,000$ fixed costs per year, Pepsi will need to invest a total of 90,000$ in manufacturing equipment which will be 100 percent depreciated. In addition the project will require an initial 20,000$ investment in networking capital, and the tax rate is 34 percent Prepare a pro forma income statement Calculate the total investment for each year Calculate the total project cash flows Calculate the NPV

10 Ex 1 Page 327 Parker & stone Inc., is looking at setting up a new manufacturing plant in south park to produce garden tools. The company bought some land six years ago for 6$ million in anticipation of using it as a warehouse and distribution site, but the company has since decided to rent these facilities from a competitor instead. If the land were sold today, the company would net 6.4$ million. The company wants to build its manufacturing plant on this land; the plant will cost 14.2$ million to build, and the site requires 890,000$ worth of grading before its suitable for construction. What is the proper cash flow amount to use as the initial investment in fixed assets when evaluating the project? Why?

11 Ex 3 Page 328 A proposed new investment has projected sales of 830,000$. Variable costs are 60 percent of sales, and fixed costs are 181,000$; depreciation is 77,000$. Prepare a pro forma income statement assuming a tax rate of 35 percent. What is the projected net income?

12 Ex 4 Page 328 Consider the following income statement: 824,500sales 538,900costs 126,500Depreciation ?EBIT ?Taxes(34%) ?Net income Fill in the missing numbers and then calculate the OCF. What is the depreciation tax shield?

13 Ex 9,10 Page 328 Summer Tyme, Inc., is considering a new three-year expansion project that requires an initial fixed asst investment of 3.9$ million. That fixed asset will be depreciated straight-line to zero over the three-year tax life. After which time it will be worthless. the project is estimated to generate 2,650,000$ in annual sales, with the cost of 840,000$. If the tax rate is 35 percent, what is the OCF for this project? Suppose that the required rate of return is 12 percent, what is the NPV?

14 More on NWC Why do we have to consider changes in NWC separately?  GAAP requires that sales be recorded on the income statement when made, not when cash is received  GAAP also requires that we record cost of goods sold when the corresponding sales are made, whether we have actually paid our suppliers yet  Finally, we have to buy inventory to support sales, although we haven’t collected cash yet

15 Example Suppose that during a particular year of a project we have the following simplified income statement Depreciation and taxes are zero, no fixed assets are purchased during the year. Also assume that the only components of networking capital are account receivables and payable. The beginning and ending amount for these accounts are as follows 500Sales 310Costs 190Net income changeEnding of yearBeginning of year 30910880AR 55605550AP -25305330NWC

16 Depreciation Depreciation itself is a non-cash expense; consequently, it is only relevant because it affects taxes Depreciation tax shield = DT  D = depreciation expense  T = marginal tax rate

17 Computing Depreciation Straight-line depreciation  D = (Initial cost – salvage) / number of years  Very few assets are depreciated straight-line for tax purposes MACRS  Need to know which asset class is appropriate for tax purposes  Multiply percentage given in table by the initial cost

18 Example Consider an automobile costing 12,000$. What is the depreciation using the MACRS method? examplesclass Equipments used in researchThree-year Autos, computersFive-year Most industrial industriesSeven-year Property class Seven-yearFive-yearThree-yearyear 14.29%20.00%33.33%1 24.493244.452 17.4919.2014.813 12.4911.527.414 8.9311.525 8.925.766 8.937 4.468

19 If the salvage value is different from the book value of the asset, then there is a tax effect Book value = initial cost – accumulated depreciation After-tax salvage = salvage – T(salvage – book value) After-tax Salvage

20 MARCS Book values Ending book valuedepreciationBeginning book valueYear 9,6002,40012,0001 2 3 4 5 6

21 Example: Depreciation and After-tax Salvage You purchase equipment for $100,000, and it costs $10,000 to have it delivered and installed. Based on past information, you believe that you can sell the equipment for $17,000 when you are done with it in 6 years. The company’s marginal tax rate is 40%. What is the depreciation expense each year and the after-tax salvage in year 6 for each of the following situations? Suppose the appropriate depreciation schedule is straight-line What is the depreciation using the MACRS method (three years)? What is the end-year book value? What is the after-tax salvage? What is the depreciation using the MACRS method (seven years)? What is the end-year book value? What is the after-tax salvage?

22 Ex 6 Page 328 A piece of newly purchased industrial equipment costs 1,080,000$ and its classified as seven-year property under MARCS. Calculate the annual depreciation allowance and end-of-the year book values for this equipment

23 Book value versus Market value The book value of an asset can differ substantially from its actual market value The difference between book and market value will affect taxes

24 The Majestic Mulch and Compost Company (Example) the company is investigating the feasibility of a new line of power mulching tools. MMCC projects unit sales as follows: Unit salesyear 3,0001 5,0002 6,0003 6,5004 6,0005 5,0006 4,0007 3,0008

25 The new Mulcher will sell for 120$ per unit to start. After three years MMCC anticipates that the price will drop to 110$ due to competition. The company will require 20,000$ networking capital at the start. After that the networking capital will be about 15 percent of sales for that year. The variable cost per unit is 60$, and the total fixed costs are 25,000$ per year. It will cost about 800,000$ to buy the equipment and it will be worth about 20 percent of its cost in eight years. The relevant tax rate is 34 percent ant the required return is 15 percent. Based on this information, should MMCC proceed? The Majestic Mulch and Compost Company (Example)

26 Calculation of sales = unit price * number of units The Majestic Mulch and Compost Company (Example) RevenuesUnit salesUnit priceyear 360,000$3,000120$1 600,0005,0001202 720,0006,0001203 715,0006,5001104 660,0006,0001105 550,0005,0001106 440,0004,0001107 330,0003,0001108

27 Ending book valuedepreciationMARCS percentageyear 685,680114,320 14.29% 1 489,760195,920 24.49 2 349,840139,920 17.49 3 249,92099,920 12.49 4 178,48071,440 8.93 5 107,12071,360 8.92 6 35,68071,440 8.93 7 035,680 4.46 8 The Majestic Mulch and Compost Company (Example) Calculation of depreciation= MARCS percentage * initial cost

28 year 87654321 330,000440,000550,000660,000715,000720,000600,00036,000revenues 180,000240,000300,000360,000390,000360,000300,000180,000VC 25,000 FC 35,68071,44071,36071,44099,920139,920195,920114,320Dep 89,320103,560153,640203,560200,080195,08079,08040,680EBIT 30,36935,21052,23869,21068,02766,32726,88713,831Tax(34%) 58,95168,350101,402134,350132,053128,75352,19326,849NI The Majestic Mulch and Compost Company (Example)

29 Calculation of OCF = EBIT + Dep - Tax The Majestic Mulch and Compost Company (Example) year 87654321 89,320103,560153,640203,560200,080195,08079,08040,680EBIT 35,68071,44071,36071,44099,920139,920195,920114,320Dep 30,36935,21052,23869,21068,02766,32726,88713,831Tax(34%) 94,631139,790172,762205,790231,973268,673248,113141,169OCF

30 Calculation of NWC for each year= sales * 0.15 Change in NWC= ending NWC – Beg NWC The Majestic Mulch and Compost Company (Example) Cash flowNWCRevenuesyear 20,0000 360,000$1 600,0002 720,0003 715,0004 660,0005 550,0006 440,0007 330,0008

31 year 87654321 0 -20,000Initial NWC Change in NWC NWC recovery Total change in NWC The Majestic Mulch and Compost Company (Example)

32 year 876543210 - 800,000 Initial cost After-tax salvage Capital spending The Majestic Mulch and Compost Company (Example) Calculation of salvage = 0.2 * initial cost After-tax salvage = salvage – T (salvage – BV)

33 Calculation of total CF= OCF – change in NWC- NCS The Majestic Mulch and Compost Company (Example) year 876543210 OCF Change in NWC NCS Total CF Cumulat ive CF Pv of CF

34 If you have the following information: Sales = 1,500$ Costs = 700$ Depreciation = 600$ Tax rate = 34% No interest Calculate the OCF Other Methods for Computing OCF

35 Bottom-Up Approach  Works only when there is no interest expense  OCF = NI + depreciation Top-Down Approach  OCF = Sales – Costs – Taxes  Don’t subtract non-cash deductions Tax Shield Approach  OCF = (Sales – Costs)(1 – T) + Depreciation*T Other Methods for Computing OCF

36 Depreciation tax shield The tax saving that results from the depreciation deduction Depreciation * tax rate

37 Ex 8 Page 328 An asset used in a four-year project falls in the five-year MARCS class for tax purpose. The asset has an acquisition cost of 7,900,000$ and will be sold for 1,400,000$ at the end of the project. If the tax rate is 35 percent. What is the after tax salvage value of the asset?

38 Ex 32 Page 332 Aguilera Acoustics, Inc. (AAI), projects unit sales for a new seven-octave voice emulation implant as follows Unit salesyear 93,0001 105,0002 128,0003 134,0004 87,0005

39 Production of the implants will require 1,800,000$ in networking capital to start and additional networking capital investments each year equal to 15 percent of the projected sales increase for the following year. Total fixed costs are 1,200,000$ per year, variable production costs are 265$ per unit, and the units priced at 380$ each. The equipment needed to begin production has an installed cost of 24,000,000$.becasue the implants are intended for professional singers, this equipment is considered industrial machinery and thus qualified as seven-year MARCS property. In five years, this equipment can be sold about 20 percent of its acquisition cost.AAI is in the 35 percent marginal tax and has a required return on all its projects of 18 percent. Based on these estimates, what is the NPV? Ex 32 Page 332

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