Presentation on theme: "Collective Intelligence Key result of futures research methodology Key element in the next economics Key strategy for addressing the 15 Global Challenges."— Presentation transcript:
Collective Intelligence Key result of futures research methodology Key element in the next economics Key strategy for addressing the 15 Global Challenges It is an emergent property from synergies among data/info/knowledge software/hardware experts that continually learns from feedback to produce (nearly) just in time knowledge for better decisions than these elements acting alone.
How the 15 Global Challenges are updated Feedback from our own research – education, energy, collective intelligence, etc. Staff and Interns scanning the Internet Ask experts to review last year’s text The 15 Global Challenges are on-line for public input Regional input form Node Chairs Invite feedback via MP lists Monitoring conferences, seminars, publications Daily news reports from Interns International travel, conversions, audience feedback Then distill for patterns and double check
Some items from the 2009 State of the Future: There are more Internet users in China than people in the USA March 2009 an asteroid missed the Earth by 48,000 miles, 80% closer to the earth than the moon. None knew it was coming. US-China meetings on Global Climate Change collaboration (Apollo-like goal and NASA-line Energy-Climate Change Agency) China could pass US Economy by 2030, assuming it does not break up (water, income gaps, energy, separatist Muslim region). World pop – 6.78 billion (June 2009) and growing at 1.14% per year (1.16% last year); hi, mid, low projections for , 9.2, 8.0 billion, and than falls without longevity breakthroughs; Industrial countries fertility rates UP from 1.35 projected in 2006 to % annual growth in developing countries over past 5 years, to drop to 3% for 2009 – still more than 2 billion people living on $2 or less/day
Some more items from the 2009 State of the Future: World recession lowers State of the Future Index for 10 years US-China 10-year Apollo-like climate change goal with an energy R&D program to achieve it gaining interest (US/China Press Conf) Press freedoms are continuing to decline Half the world continues to be vulnerable to instability and violence World recession Rising prices of food and energy and fertilizer Scarcity of water and food Falling water tables, drying rivers Desertification Climate change Failing states Political, economic, and environmental migrations