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Water Year 2013: Current Conditions and Early Season Outlook in the Colorado River Basin CRFS November 14, 2012.

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Presentation on theme: "Water Year 2013: Current Conditions and Early Season Outlook in the Colorado River Basin CRFS November 14, 2012."— Presentation transcript:

1 Water Year 2013: Current Conditions and Early Season Outlook in the Colorado River Basin CRFS November 14, 2012

2 Water Year 2013: Entering the Season (what we know now): Coming off one of worst runoff years - Soil Moisture (not good) - Baseflow (not good) ENSO Neutral Conditions (no help) October: Another dry month - Upper Green River Basin near normal November: Not great so far…

3 CBRFC Model Soil Moisture 11/1/12 USGS Monthly Average Streamflow October 2012 (includes regulated flows)

4 Base flows East River at Almont, CO Animas River at Durango, CO Yampa River at Steamboat Springs, CO Green at Warren Bridge, WY

5 Regulated Flows Forecast Volumes

6 ENSO Neutral Sources: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov and iri.columbia.edu/climate/ENSO

7 CPC Forecasts (10/18)

8

9 Nov. 13, Day Precipitation Total Gage/Radar Mosaic Nov. 13, Day Precipitation Percent Normal

10 November 13, 2012

11 % Current Average % Seasonal Peak Upper Green727 Yampa/White587 Duchesne11315 Upper Colorado547 Gunnison588 Dolores637 San Juan7010

12 November Precipitation Forecasts

13 Early Season ESP

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