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2016-07-021 ROAD MAP TO THE E-REVOLUTION. 2016-07-022 IT-fueled Change 3500 BC - Written Language 에 의한 상업과 정부출현 1500s 초 - 인쇄기술에 의한 중세의 르네상스 1800s 후반 -

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Presentation on theme: "2016-07-021 ROAD MAP TO THE E-REVOLUTION. 2016-07-022 IT-fueled Change 3500 BC - Written Language 에 의한 상업과 정부출현 1500s 초 - 인쇄기술에 의한 중세의 르네상스 1800s 후반 -"— Presentation transcript:

1 2016-07-021 ROAD MAP TO THE E-REVOLUTION

2 2016-07-022 IT-fueled Change 3500 BC - Written Language 에 의한 상업과 정부출현 1500s 초 - 인쇄기술에 의한 중세의 르네상스 1800s 후반 - 전신 / 전화 / 철도에 의한 미국기업의 출현 및 national brand 1990s 후반 - NW 에 의한 기업, 고객, 공급자간의 연계 2000s - Electronic Commerce, Distant Learning, Telework 에 의한 산업 및 기업구조의 변화

3 2016-07-023 Road Map via Three Step Process Step1 - Information System Function chain Step2 - Mapping Megawave Step3 - Envisioning and Engaging

4 2016-07-024 Step1: Framing The Functionality : taxonomy of a system Food Chain Hierarchy of Human Needs (Maslow) Information System Function Chain: Higher level information Function require the source of Lower level information functions From clay tablet to IBM’s Deep Blue

5 2016-07-025 Exhibit 1. The Taxonomy of a System Chain Self Actualization Esteem Social/Affiliation Safety/Security Physiological carnivores Herbivores Plants/Algae Bacteria/Protists Organic Molecules/ Energy/Water Intelligence Application/ Content Infrastructure Processing Storage/Physical The Ecosystem Food Chain The Human System Needs Chain The Information System Function Chain EvolveEvolveEvolve RequireRequireRequire

6 2016-07-026 Exhibit 2. The Information System Function Chain Function Chart Reasoning, Inference, Learning, Creativity ApplicationData/Media External Interfaces Human Interface Intrastructure (Operating System, etc.) Computation/ Logic Power Materials Higher Order Functions Lower Order Functions: User Extrastructure (Network, etc.) 1. Storage/ Physical 2. Processing 3. Infra- structure 4. Application/ Content 5. Intelligence Storage Evolve Require

7 2016-07-027 Info. System function Chain Level1 : Storage/Physical Storage - Clay tablets, papyrus, paper, punch card, magnetic tape, optical disc Power - Electricity, Battery Material - Semiconductor, aluminum, plastic

8 2016-07-028 Info. System function Chain Level 2 : Processing - engine of IS. Processing power have huge impact on function (voice recognition, AI, molecular design, animation etc.) Computation - calculation, symbol manipulation Logic - Boolean logic, and, or

9 2016-07-029 Info. System function Chain Level 3 : Infrastructure - Providing control and connectivity that glue the many elements together Human interface - connecting system and user-GUI, keyboard, mouse Intrastructure - control, schedule, connect elements internal to system-OS, DBMS, API External interface - connecting system to the external environment-bar code reader, connection to the NW, cameras Extrastructure - NW, other system and server

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11 2016-07-0211 Info. System Function Chain Level 4 : Application/Content Actual work of IS accomplished in level 4 and 5 Application operates on data or media to produce a result Data/Media - structured data: business data - semi structured data: documents - unstructured data: image, audio

12 2016-07-0212 Info. System Function Chain Level 5: Intelligence Reasoning, inferencing, learning and Creativity Previous attempts at creating AI have failed (e.g., Fifth Generation Project, Expert system)

13 2016-07-0213 Mapping The Megawaves Principles of developmental process 1. Evolution from bottom to top 2. Many small waves 3. A few Megawaves 4. Dominant Function 5. Acceleration - 문자에서 인쇄 (5000 년 ), 인쇄에서 컴퓨터 (500 년 ), 컴퓨터에서 인터넷 (20 년 )

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15 2016-07-0215 Overview of Megawaves Stage1 – Documentation (BC3500-1452) Length5000yrs Enabling techWritten language Initiating eventClay tablet killer applicationTaxes, laws, accounting ImpactRise of civilization & commerce

16 2016-07-0216 Digital hypermedia Books Games Audio Photos/Images Papers/Magazine Memos Letters Software Video Money Exhibit 5. The Three Levels of Digital Convergence Digital Appliances Copier Equipment Telephone Camera Word Processor Computer Pager Answering Machine TV Stereo Digital Infrastructure Paging Wired Office Home Car Data Voice Image Video Wireless Timeless Function: 1. Storage/ Physical 2. Processing 3. Infrastructure 4. Application/ Content 5. Intelligence

17 2016-07-0217 Overview of Megawaves Stage 2 – Mass Publication (1452-1946) Length500yrs Enabling techmetal type/printing press Initiating eventGutenberg Bible killer applicationDemand for Bible, texts ImpactRise of Reformation and age of enlightenment

18 2016-07-0218 Overview of Megawaves Stage 3 – Automation (1946-1978) Length 32yrs Enabling tech Electronic power, switching technologies (vacuum tubes and then transistors) Initiating event ENIAC computer (used vacuum-tube technology) killer application Artillery trajectories and cipher breaking in World War 2; business accounting (including the U.S. Census) and scientific number crunching Impact Rise of the “ Information Age ”

19 2016-07-0219 Overview of Megawaves Stage 4 – Mass Interaction (1978-1985) Length 7yrs Enabling tech Microprocessor, personal computer Initiating event Apple2 personal computer killer application Electronic spreadsheet, word processing, desktop publishing Impact The Information Age breaks out of the glass- encased computer center and into offices and homes

20 2016-07-0220 Overview of Megawaves Stage 5 – Infrastructuralization (1985-1993) Length 8yrs Enabling tech Graphical user interface, local and wide area networks Initiating event Macintosh personal computer plus enterprise networks killer application Corporate e-mail and networked enterprise applications (e.g., enterprise resource planning applications from PeopleSoft, SAP, Oracle, and others) Impact Rise of the “ Real-time Enterprise ”

21 2016-07-0221 Overview of Megawaves Stage 6 – Mass Communitization (1993-2005) Length Approximately 12yrs Enabling tech World Wide Web, Java Initiating event Mosaic Browser plus World Wide Web killer application Mass information access and interaction (e-mail, chat, auctions, purchasing) Impact Rise of the “ Global Community ”

22 2016-07-0222 Overview of Megawaves Stage 7 – Virtualization (2005-2015) Length Approximately 10yrs Enabling tech Widespread video content and conferencing of reasonable quality Initiating event Offering of full-blown distance learning degree programs by leading universities killer application Collaboration, conferencing, interactive multimedia Impact Rise of the “ Virtual Age, ” with dramatic “ dematerialization ” of entertainment, education, consulting, and the corporation

23 2016-07-0223 Overview of Megawaves Stage 8 – Mass Actualization (2015-2025) Length Approximately 10yrs Enabling tech Advanced/smart hypermedia authoring tools Initiating event PC-created entertainment offerings impact Disney earnings killer application Entertainment/arts, education, marketing/advertising, design Impact Focus of many jobs moves from operations to creation and leisure time from spectatorship to creation

24 2016-07-0224 Overview of Megawaves Stage 9 – Agentization (2025-2040) Length Approximately 15yrs Enabling tech Advanced neural networks, expert systems, others Initiating event Computers consistently pass the Turing Test killer application Decision support agents (Shopping, investing, hiring) and robots with visual processing (driving, machine operating) Impact Elimination of most blue collar, pink collar, and some white collar work

25 2016-07-0225 Overview of Megawaves Stage 10 – Mass Re-creation (2040-2060) Length Approximately 20yrs Enabling tech Inference engine, others Initiating event Synthetic person wins Time ’ s “ Man of the Year ” award killer application Synthetic executives, synthetic actors, synthetic athletes, and the like Impact Transformation of the nature of work

26 2016-07-0226 Exhibit 6. Analog Content Converges to Digital Hypermedia Hyper-media Digital Audio/ Voice Audio/ Voice Modeling Animation Video (Films) News/ Refer’ Info’n Image/ Photo Musical/ Score Book/ Text Document Manual Routine Catalog Money Video- game Virtual Reality E-cash Infobase Desktop Publish’ Software Applic’n Elec’ Mail Digital Video Digital/ Synth’d images Hypertext Synthe- sized Music Outer Ring : Traditional analog information products Inner Ring : Converging digital Information products

27 2016-07-0227 Exhibit 7. Mapping the Landscape of the Fourth Megawave Creating Online Communities Relating Electronic Commerce Distance Learning Interactive/ New Media Knowledge Management Distance Teaming Edutain- ment Insight DesignResearch Information Marketplace


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