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The Recent Increase in Atlantic Hurricane Activity: Causes and Implications by Stanley B. Goldenberg, Christopher W. Landsea, Alberto M. Mestas-Nuñez,

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Presentation on theme: "The Recent Increase in Atlantic Hurricane Activity: Causes and Implications by Stanley B. Goldenberg, Christopher W. Landsea, Alberto M. Mestas-Nuñez,"— Presentation transcript:

1 The Recent Increase in Atlantic Hurricane Activity: Causes and Implications by Stanley B. Goldenberg, Christopher W. Landsea, Alberto M. Mestas-Nuñez, and William M. Gray Science Volume 293(5529):474-479 July 20, 2001 Published by AAAS

2 Figure 1 Number of major hurricanes from 1944 through 2000 (32). Stanley B. Goldenberg et al. Science 2001;293:474-479 Published by AAAS

3 Figure 2 Atlantic sector of the first rotated EOF of non-ENSO global SST variability for 1870– 2000 referred to as the “Atlantic multidecadal mode” (38, 39). Stanley B. Goldenberg et al. Science 2001;293:474-479 Published by AAAS

4 Figure 3 Percentage of south-central portion (10°–14°N, 20°– 70°W) of the main development region (see Fig. 2A) where ∣ Vz ∣ < 6 m s−1 (values extremely conducive for tropical cyclone development) for ASO. Dashed curved line is 5-year running mean. Stanley B. Goldenberg et al. Science 2001;293:474-479 Published by AAAS

5 Figure 4 Contrast of Caribbean hurricanes between colder (A) and warmer (B) values of the Atlantic multidecadal mode. Stanley B. Goldenberg et al. Science 2001;293:474-479 Published by AAAS

6 Figure 5 Contrast of U.S. East Coast major hurricane landfalls between colder (A) and warmer (B) values of the Atlantic multidecadal mode. Stanley B. Goldenberg et al. Science 2001;293:474-479 Published by AAAS


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