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Solar PV as an Investment Grade Asset

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Presentation on theme: "Solar PV as an Investment Grade Asset"— Presentation transcript:

1 Solar PV as an Investment Grade Asset
Increase IRR and reduce risk in large scale PV plants Solar PV as an Investment Grade Asset Thomas Götz PV Plant Conference 2014 – Istanbul, 9th April 2014

2 Disclaimer IMPORTANT LEGAL NOTICE This presentation does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer or invitation to subscribe for, underwrite or otherwise acquire, any securities of SMA Solar Technology AG (the "Company") or any present or future subsidiary of the Company (together with the Company, the "SMA Group") nor should it or any part of it form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract to purchase or subscribe for any securities in the Company or any member of the SMA Group or commitment whatsoever. All information contained herein has been carefully prepared. Nevertheless, we do not guarantee its accuracy or completeness and nothing herein shall be construed to be a representation of such guarantee. The information contained in this presentation is subject to amendment, revision and updating. Certain statements contained in this presentation may be statements of future expectations and other forward-looking statements that are based on the management's current views and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties. Actual results, performance or events may differ materially from those in such statements as a result of, among others, factors, changing business or other market conditions and the prospects for growth anticipated by the management of the Company. These and other factors could adversely affect the outcome and financial effects of the plans and events described herein. The Company does not undertake any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements which speak only as of the date of this presentation. This presentation is for information purposes only and may not be further distributed or passed on to any party which is not the addressee of this presentation. No part of this presentation must be copied, reproduced or cited by the addressees hereof other than for the purpose for which it has been provided to the addressee. This document is not an offer of securities for sale in the United States of America. Securities may not be offered or sold in the United States of America absent registration or an exemption from registration under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933 as amended.

3 1 2 3 Agenda Overview SMA What makes an „Investment Grade“ PV project
Main factors determining the financial success of a large PV Asset 3

4 Comprehensive Product Range All performance ranges
SMA Facts & Figures Facts & Figures Founded: 1981 Sales 2012: EUR 1.5 billion Installed global capacity : > 35 GW Employees: worldwide R&D Professionals: >1.000 Invest R&D 2012: > € 100 Mio. Comprehensive Product Range On-grid Residential 2 – 30 kW Industrial > 1 MW Backup Off-grid < 2 kW Commercial 30 – 500 kW All PV applications All performance ranges Global Presence Canada Chile USA Germany Belgium Czech Republic France Greece Italy Poland Portugal Spain United Kingdom Australia China India Japan South Korea Thailand United Arab Emirates South Africa 21 Subsidiaries Worldwide SMA is the global market and technology leader for solar inverters

5 1 2 3 Agenda Overview SMA What makes an „Investment Grade“ PV project
Main factors determining the financial success of a large PV Asset 5

6 Example of an Investment Grade PV Project Many are bankable,… SMA is INVESTMENT GRADE!
Equity $ 850 Mio. (BBB-) First Investment Grade PV-Plant in history

7 What makes a Solar Project „Investment Grade“? Example Fitch
Completion Risk: Probability to achieve commercial operation date Experienced Contractor Completion Risk: Probability to achieve commercial operation date Experienced Contractor Operation Risk: Stability and adequacy of plant performance Qualified operator comprehensive maintenance reliable technology Operation Risk: Stability and adequacy of plant performance Qualified operator comprehensive maintenance reliable technology Solar Resource: Scope, Quality and reliability of project‘s energy production forecast Revenue Risk: Strength, duration and flexibilty of power purchase agreement. Stability of regulatory framework. Debt Service: Free Cashflow to pay debt Debt Structure: Terms and conditions of debt payment Debt Service: Free Cashflow to pay debt

8 1 2 3 Agenda Overview SMA What makes an „Investment Grade“ PV project
Main factors determining the financial success of a large PV Asset 8

9 The „brain“ of a PV Plant Difference between great and a distressed asset
RELEVANT CATEGORIES Experience Quality Service Technology Grid Mgmt. Inverter = only 10% of Project Value … PERFORMANCE & RELIABILITY INCREASE THE CASHFLOW LOWER INVESTMENT RISK … BUT MOST VITAL ! 9

10 Experience: how much. / how big. /where
Experience: how much? / how big? /where? Real life Experience is a vital selection criteria Germany [38 MW] United Arab Emirates [10 MW] USA [16 MW] Italy [85 MW] Solar PV ist still a comparatively young technology Vendors go through learning curves A large installed base and experience with large projects lead to higher availability and less risk Total installed capacity >> +25GW installed wordlwide Experience in large scale projects? >> +6GW installed worldwide Years of large scale experience? >> +10years PPS & +30y MPS Experience in different climate? >> From Alaska to dessert

11 Quality - increased availability + long life -> higher cashflow + reduced risk
Routine Tests Endurance Tests Optical inspection / Wiring test Protective conductor inspection High-voltage test / Function test 1000-h endurance test at max. temperature and full power Powercycle: 1000 cycles “start-operation-stop” Advanced Tests Seismic Humidity Electromagnetic Climate Dust Lightning

12 Quality - Small details make a huge difference
Dangerous Condensation Fall-Down-Test Detailed Measurements (> 120 sensors) Fuses need to last 20Years or more Tests beyond „Standard“ >50C (Standard 25C) 60C over 3h (50C – 3h) Several fuses (1 fuse)

13 Service - increased cash flow – reduced risk
1. Longterm spare parts strategy: Optimal quantity Right quality Fixed price 2. Predictive Maintenance Remote Monitoring Comprehensive Data Collection Data Analysis (complex Algorisms/Experience) Planned Maintenance possible (e.g. at night) Full Warranty & Full Service

14 Technology - Efficiency and Selfconsumption
Topic: Inverters with similar performance (efficiency) show strong difference in self consumption. Problem: Higher Costs Higher thermal strain on components = shorter life !! Comparable product of a competitor

15 cheaper can be more expensive !
Technology and Money cheaper can be more expensive ! 15

16 Financial simulation: Higher efficiency
16

17 Financial simulation: Lower self consumption
Self consumption W Efficiency 98,4% 17

18 Financial simulation: Higher availabilty
Availability 99,3% Efficiency 98,4% Self consumption W 18

19 Grid Stability / Grid Management - reduced risk + potentially new revenue streams
PV poses huge threat to grid stability -> big challenges to utilities Growing PV penetration -> “tougher” regulations In new markets frequent changes and introduction of new requirements Important to “understand” utilities Grid Stability = highest priority Potential for additional revenue streams Reactive Power at night (optional !!) “Utility supporting” services “Future proof” Projects “Investment Grade” inverters possess comprehensive grid management functions Easy Software upgrades possible if required

20 Summary - Selection Criteria Inverter
-> Project Size -> “Harsh” Conditions Experience Quality Service Technology Grid Mgmt. -> Relevant Certificates -> Modern Test Equipment -> Local Footprint / Experience -> Spare Parts Supply (longterm !) -> Predictive Maintenance INCREASE THE CASHFLOW LOWER INVESTMENT RISK -> Efficiency -> Self consumption -> Temperature Behaviour -> Grid Code Compliance -> Future Proof 20

21 1. Inverter = „brain“ of a PV Installation
Thank You 1. Inverter = „brain“ of a PV Installation 2. Determines performance and risk 3. Difference between great and distressed 4. Just converting DC to AC is not enough DISTRESSED Asset GREAT Asset Thomas Götz Vice President Sales Power Plant Solutions Tel Mob 21


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