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First Solar FuelSmart™: Powering Energy Security

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Presentation on theme: "First Solar FuelSmart™: Powering Energy Security"— Presentation transcript:

1 First Solar FuelSmart™: Powering Energy Security
Dr Raed Bkayrat, VP Business Development, Saudi Arabia First Solar began as a high-tech startup with a disruptive solar technology ideally suited for utility-scale power plants in hot, sunny environments and with unprecedented low costs Through determined innovation, we have since become the world leader in photovoltaic solar energy

2 First Solar at a Glance Over 8GW installed worldwide and over 3GW contracted pipeline Strongest Financial Stability & Bankability in the industry Facilitated approx. $9B USD worth of project financing Driving innovation across entire value chain and plant solution Cost competitive with conventional energy sources today Founded in 1999 and publicly traded on Nasdaq (FSLR) First Solar is a proven solar company with over 8GW installed worldwide and over 5GW of sales opportunities in our pipeline, with over 3GW under contract today Many people do not understand how dramatically solar costs have reduced over the years. First Solar provides solar energy that is cost competitive with conventional energy sources today With our proven track record and wide range of PV energy solutions, we are the partner of choice for leading utilities and global power buyers We drive innovation to improve every facet of the solar value chain and power plant solution First Solar is the most bankable solar company in the world. We have the strongest balance sheet and cash position in the industry and unparalleled use of our technology in debt financed projects around the world We were founded in 1999 and are publicly traded on the NASDAQ stock exchange under the ticker symbol FSLR

3 TOPAZ SOLAR FARM Largest investment grade renewable bond in history
site: San Luis Obispo, USA size: 550MW owners: MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company Largest investment grade renewable bond in history Topaz is one of two 550MW power plants we are currently constructing in California (550MW is roughly the nameplate capacity of a coal-fired power plant) Topaz represents the largest renewable bond in history and the first to be rated investment grade from all three credit rating agencies First Solar engineered and is constructing the plant and will operate and maintain it for MidAmerican, a Berkshire Hathaway company

4 The First Solar Advantage
Other PV Providers’ Model = More Cost & More Risk First Solar’s Model = More Value & Less Risk PV energy solutions with superior value and less risk Other PV providers rely on unaligned and fragmented approaches to the delivery of PV power plants, which simply cannot maximize value or minimize risk There is obvious margin stacking, bankability and financial credibility issues, lack of integration between companies to optimize power plant performance, and overall reliability concerns Who is going to stand behind the performance of the entire plant several years after installation? What happens if one of the technology companies goes bankrupt and there is a warranty issue? The best solution provider is the one who has demonstrated leadership in all aspects of solar and accepts responsibility for the entire plant solution As you are about to see, First Solar maximizes value and minimizes risk with our expertise across the entire solar value chain, which results in more reliable, dependable, and cost effective PV energy solutions for our customers and partners

5 Making the Case for Fuel Replacement

6 Solar is Less Expensive than Diesel
PV electricity prices have reduced over 50% Diesel prices remain highly volatile and have steadily increased Small PV System Median Installed Price 2003–2012 WTI Crude Oil Prices 2003–2013 PV prices have reduced by over 50% in the last few years. Meanwhile, oil prices have steadily increased and remain highly volatile. Our hybrid system solutions are designed to capitalize on the value of solar, reducing operational expenses and hedging against rising fuel prices while maintaining reliable operations. Sources: Diesel Pricing US Energy Information Administration; Solar Pricing: DOE, Lawrence Berkley National Laboratory

7 Solar is Cost Competitive with Conventional Energy Sources Today
Gas Combined Cycle b b c We deliver solar energy that is cost competitive with conventional energy sources today. We currently provide a LCOE of between $.07-$.15/kWh, depending on the region and other factors. On the screen you can see the LCOE of a wide range of conventional generation sources, including coal, nuclear, natural gas, and diesel. As you can see, our current energy costs are competitive with a wide range of conventional generation sources… And compared with peaking generation sources, LNG, and diesel… our cost competitiveness is substantial. Solar energy has a meaningful value proposition for anyone burning liquid fuel as their primary energy source. With fixed pricing and extremely low operating costs, our hybrid solutions reduce the risk of fuel price volatility while providing reliable and cost competitive solar electricity. Note: LCOE is a holistic view of the total cost of ownership over the plant’s life and includes factors such as development, financing, and maintenance costs. LCOE varies greatly depending on irradiance levels, interest rates, and development costs Sources: Coal and Nuclear: Bloomberg New Energy Finance LCOE Update: Q2 2013; Gas Combined Cycle, Gas Peaking, and Diesel: Lazard LCOE Sensitivity Analysis June 2013; First Solar: Internal data. (a) Does not include cost of carbon capture. (b) NG = natural gas. LNG = liquefied natural gas. Data assumes natural gas prices of $10 in Northern Europe and $18 in Japan (all in US$ per MMBTU). (c) Assumes diesel prices of $3.00 for India, $4.30 for Australia, and $7.00 for Northern Europe (all in US$ per gallon). Diesel assumes a high end capacity factor of 30% representing intermittent utilization and low end capacity factor of 95% representing base load utilization, O&M cost of $15 per KW/year, heat rate of 10,000 BTU/KWh and total capital costs of $500-$800 per KW of capacity.

8 PV is Highly Compatible with High Ambient Temperatures
Thermal energy output decreases when PV energy output increases It is commonly known that most open cycle gas turbines and reciprocating engines de-rate, or decrease their power output as temperature increases. PV is highly compatible with thermal engines in this regard. As temperatures rise throughout the day and thermal energy output decreases, PV energy output increases.

9 Solution: The PV Hybrid
Low Speed Engine Mid Speed Engine PV Hybrid Systems combine PV solar generation with a fossil fuel engine generator to reduce fuel consumption and save costs. Combustion Turbine High Speed Engine PV Hybrid systems combine PV solar generation with a fossil fuel engine generator to reduce fuel consumption and save costs. PV Hybrid Systems are compatible with any thermal engine technology. However, since lower efficiency machines result in higher fuel costs, maximum economic benefits are achieved with high to medium speed open circuit gas turbines and reciprocating engines. Compatible with any thermal engine technology

10 First Solar FuelSmart™ Hybrid Systems
Operate as a secondary power source Will not replace existing thermal infrastructure/fleet Are commercially viable due to operational fuel savings alone Think of solar as a source of fuel, not just additional capacity. Our FuelSmart™ Hybrid Systems operate as a secondary power source to your existing thermal infrastructure or greenfield project. The hybrid system will not replace your existing thermal fleet. With fixed pricing, solar hedges against rising fuel costs and reduces the risk of fuel price volatility while reducing your operational expenses. We think of solar as a source of fuel, not just additional capacity. This is a pure economic decision based on solar energy’s commercial viability due to fuel savings alone.

11 First Solar FuelSmart™ Benefits
Economic Operational Environmental Combining PV with thermal generation provides significant economic, operational, and environmental benefits.

12 First Solar FuelSmart™ Benefits
Reduces fuel consumption Saves fuel costs Mitigates fuel price volatility risk PV is highly scalable and repeatable Allows for phased implementation Reduces technical and financial risk Economic Operational Environmental The pure economic benefits associated with First Solar’s PV hybrid system include: Reducing fuel consumption: Saving fuel costs Mitigating the risk associated with fuel price volatility PV is highly scalability and repeatable: Allowing for phased implementation And reducing technical and financial project risks

13 First Solar FuelSmart™ Benefits
Reduces fuel consumption Reduces imports and increases energy independence Reduces fuel transportation and logistics Reduces thermal plant operation time Extends asset life Increases redundancy Reduces O&M Economic Operational Environmental From an operational perspective, First Solar’s hybrid system enables you to: Reduce fuel consumption Reducing fuel imports and increasing energy independence Also reducing fuel transportation and logistics This will also reduce the thermal plant operation time Which will extend your thermal asset life Increase redundancy (especially during peak loads occurring in the middle of the day) And reduce O&M

14 First Solar FuelSmart™ Benefits
Increases potential revenue via trading credits Reduces CO2 emissions and noise Contributes to positive community and PR potential Aids in overcoming regulatory boundaries for additional capacity for brownfield expansion Economic Operational Environmental From an environmental perspective, First Solar’s hybrid system provides the following benefits: Additional revenue potential via trading credits Reduces CO2 emissions and noise Reduces exposure to increased air quality and sound regulations Positive community contribution and PR potential Brownfield expansion aids in overcoming regulatory boundaries for additional capacity

15 How First Solar FuelSmart™ Works

16 How It Works – Typical Day
Let’s take a look at a typical day for a thermal fleet with 3 engine generators utilizing First Solar’s PV Hybrid System Let’s assume that without the hybrid system 2 of the generators run at about 75% and the third at 50% The PV production will generate a profile that looks like a bell curve which you can see along with load profile for this example When our hybrid system is not generating electricity (such as at night) the thermal plant (which is the primary power source) will behave exactly as it did before the hybrid system was installed. When solar energy production begins, the energy requirements of the thermal plant will be reduced, saving fuel and money. To the primary power source, this looks just like a reduction in load.

17 How It Works – Typical Day
As you can see on the far right, we have a load of 125kW There are 3 diesel generators; only one is producing power to achieve the 125kW Since it is night time, the PV plant is not producing power

18 How It Works – Typical Day
In the morning, the load has increased to 1,000 kW The PV plant has started to produce 250 kW 2 diesel generators are each producing 375kW to achieve the 1,000 kW load efficiently

19 How It Works – Typical Day
In the late morning we still have a 1,000 kW load The PV plant is producing 700kW Both diesel gensets have reduced to 150kW to balance the load

20 How It Works – Typical Day
With 2 gensets only producing 150 kW each, an alert is triggered The lead controller switches to only 1 genset running at 300 kW to be more efficient This puts too much emphasis on the PV (i.e. insufficient spinning reserves in case of unplanned PV curtailment/clouds) so the PV set point is lowered

21 How It Works – Typical Day
With the reduced set point, PV is producing 525 kW The diesel genset now ramps to 475 kW to fill the remaining load 1 diesel genset provides insufficient spinning reserve Thus, lead control system engages 2nd diesel genset to ramp

22 How It Works – Typical Day
We still have a 1,000 kW load The PV plant is producing 525 kW of solar The diesel gensets are running at 238 and 237 kW

23 How It Works – Typical Day
The cloud passes and the PV plant resumes output of 525 kW The diesel gensets decrease output and spin at 238 and 237 kW

24 How It Works – Typical Day
At the end of the day the load is still at 1,000 kW The PV plant has reduced to 150 kW All three gensets increase output and are spinning at 350 kW each

25 How It Works – Typical Day
At night, the max load is 1250 kW The sun has set and the PV plant is not producing any power All 3 gensets increase their output to 412, 412, and 426 kW The gensets behave just as they did without the PV system with no impact on reliability

26 Key Takeaways Solar is cheaper than diesel. With fixed pricing and no fuel- price volatility, solar represents a meaningful value proposition for anyone burning liquid fuel as their primary energy source. Think of solar as a source of fuel, not just additional generation capacity. PV hybrid systems are designed to operate as a secondary power source to reduce fuel consumption and are not intended to replace the existing thermal infrastructure. First Solar’s FuelSmart™ solutions effectively combine photovoltaic (PV) solar generation with a fossil fuel engine generator to reduce fuel consumption and save costs. PV is cost competitive with conventional energy sources today, and provides significant cost savings compared to diesel generation. Hybrid systems, which combine PV with fossil fuel generation such as diesel, provide significant fuel and cost savings for anyone burning liquid fuel as their primary energy source. With expertise in grid integration for utility-scale PV systems, we can integrate the right PV control system with the master diesel control system to provide maximize fuel savings while maintaining system reliability – which is crucial to dependable operations.

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