1. Applications, effects, and architectures
ULTRA
THE HIGH SPEED INTERNET
Applications, effects, and architectures
David Kitzinger – Principal Advisory Services, LLC
Allied Telesis - Technology & Consulting Director

2. Agenda:
What is Ultra High Speed Interent (UHSI)?
Potential Applications over UHSI
Can you monetize the applications?
How does UHSI affect today’s Service Providers?
What architecture do you need to support UHSI?
Summary?

3. What is Ultra High Speed Internet (UHSI)?
A SERVICE that requires a “Direct” fiber connection
Copper, WiMAX and 4G LTE can’t support this
A PLATFORM for new residential and business apps
Running on the same network
Requiring QoS capability and SLA
A VERSION of the Internet measured in Gb/s
Dependent more on speed than bandwidth
More than100 times faster than today’s average speeds

4. How does speed affect our lives?
When the Internet was 56 Kb/s, these applications did not exist:
If 56 Kb/s was still the best Internet speed today, these companies would not exist as you know them:
DSL and Cable changed all of that — because of SPEED.
IPTV
VoIP
Movie downloads
E-commerce
Social Networking
Cloud Computing

5. New USA Technologies will likely be an “Enabler” to UHSI
The big picture?
New USA Technologies will likely be an “Enabler” to UHSI
Enable lower cost manufacturing
3D Printers
3D Scanners
The promise of putting USA manufacturing on par with China’s costs
Bandwidth and optical transport should become more cost efficient
Graphene
Strongest building material known to man
Has the potential to be the next generation of video screens and next generation of HDTVs
-Solar Panels

6. What new applications will run on the UHSI?
True IPTV
Today’s telcos are really running a broadcast, cable TV business
Tomorrow’s telcos will be running True IPTV
HDTV, 4K, 8K Ultra HDTV, 3D, and other high-bandwidth formats become the norm (OTT) Video
No such thing as a “static” channel line-up
Channel selections made by Personal Intelligent Channel Search Engine or “PICSE”
Next applications… gaming, home business/office, education, etc.
Most content will come from servers
Reduced dependence on Satellite-based systems and encoders will no longer be necessary
Advertising shifts from broadcast TV model to Internet Search model

7. More applications … True Home Office
Video conference calls using V2oIP
Instant uploads and downloads of data
Data servers can be located at residences
“Managed Home” network services is born
Universal Data Cloud-Based Services
Individuals storing software, music/video content, etc.
Small businesses storing software and sensitive retail data, etc.
Large businesses can enjoy multiple Gb/s speeds to move data off premise
Cost effective for Business – reduced software fees and hardware expenses

8. More applications … Software Defined Networks (SDN)
The farm industry is moving toward “Precision Agriculture: farming based on (2) acre grids with data bases of soil type/moisture/humous - controlling on-the-go seed variety, fertilizer applications, and pesticide/rootworm concentrations
Baby diaper monitoring sensor:
Tweets parent when diaper is wet
Detection of Urine factors/acidity level – tweet parents that the baby may be coming down with a virus or illness
Wearable Personal Medical Monitoring Systems
Automatically sends data to Cloud for medical records

9. How does the UHSI affect today’s Servioce Providers?
Cable
Satellite
Telecom
VERY NEGATIVE
Unlikely to abandon Hybrid Fiber Coax (HFC) architecture
Xfinity and other Internet offerings will be no match for UHSI
Video on Demand (VoD) business is gone
VoIP will be replaced with V2oIP
UHSI-based IPTV application will slowly displace standard broadcast TV
NEGATIVE to NEUTRAL
UHSI will negate impact of their new Mb/s Internet offering
Continue to be strong for broadcast content (ex. Sports)
VERY POSITIVE
Likely to expand fiber architectures
UHSI will dominate Internet, Gaming, TV and Movies
Complexity of home network will give rise to “Managed Home” service

10. Affect on market share over the next 25 years
Services:
Cable
Satellite
Telecom
Internet
Phone
Broadcast TV
Unicast TV
VoD
Managed Home
Significant Decrease
No Significant Change
Significant Increase

11. What architecture do you need to support UHSI? Continued
Most new Fiber Plant designs are based on all Home-Run-Fibers
Typically, on a new FTTH deployment the Fiber Installation cost is the majority of the money. The FTTH equipment is typically amounts to 5% to 8% of the cost.
Today’s Actvie Architecture offers on average 18 times more bandwidth than
GPON Passive:
Do the math GPON offers 76 Mbps downstream & 38 Mbps upsgtream;
averaging 57 Mbps. 1 Gb divided by 56 Mbps = 18 times
10 Gb GPON compared to 1 Gb Ethernet Active is not a like comparison:
10 Gb GPON should be compared to 10 Gb Active which still offers more bandwidth
A good cost evaluation may be best based upon cost per Mb
Multi-Dwelling

12. What architecture do you need to support UHSI?
The Smart Connected Home
Layer 3+ indoor wireless ONT with indoor wireless hubs
Layer 3+ ONT the network “router” for the home; connections for Video & Internet MAC’s become automatic and do not require separate VLANs for Video and Internet; thus, saving operational expense and simplifies the Connected Home
1 MAC/IP supporting a growing number of wireless devices (iPhone, iPad, laptop, etc.)
Trend is toward the Indoor wireless ONT to avoid wiring issues
Wireless hubs for ubiquitous coverage throughout the home
Hub
Hub
Broadband
Video
POTS
ONT
One Network
NEW WAY
ONT
OLD WAY

13. What architecture do you need to support UHSI?
Central Office
Apartment
The Office and Feeder…
WDM-based
Minimize fibers and impact of fiber cuts and repairs in the feeder
Maximize bandwidth to each RT
100G capable to average RT
Plan for NO concentration for a Gigabit per premise
Needs to be symmetrical all the way to the premise
UHSI will require large “upstream” capability to support new applications
Needs to support both residential and business traffic
DON’T build two networks
House
fiber
fiber
Cell Site
fiber
Business
fiber
Multi-Dwelling

14. Summary:
The Tier 3 Telcos attitudes and offerings were likely influenced by the FCC USF tax which has provided NECA subsidies to your company over many years.
However, the USF NECA subsidies as we know them will finish in 2018.
FCC has released statements and intentions of Connect America Funds:
CAF (1) was based on USF taxes still collected on Wireline and wireless voice circuits; contained limits on Administration/Overhead and maxed out at $ per access line.
CAF (2) was announced and FCC stated their biggest concern was over the Tier 1 & Tier 2 rural exchanges that had no internet offering or could not meet the 4x1 guidelines. FCC stated that their rural exchanges should be treated as greenfield with plans to convert them to FTTH. CAF (2) was to be based on Broadband taxes.
Due to Telco Associations filing concerns with FCC as to their breach of (7) year funding and future funding promises for which Telcos based their loans for FTTH;
FCC agreed to keep funding for (5) years at the level the telco received in 2011.
Note: It was agreed upon years ago not to tax the internet. Many States have asked the internet to provide the Sales Tax due to each state but have failed. Congress does not seem to have the fortitude to tax the internet. Thus, does FCC really have a plan?
Multi-Dwelling

15. Summary: FCC suggested Gb Communities for each State in 2013
Today 80% + of the internet traffic is Video:
Streaming OTT Video /HDTV will migrate to higher bandwidth, the baby boomers may keep CATV alive but as their generation declines – Streaming Video is in. Internet ready TVs with PISCE may bring the baby boomers into the modern times.
Data Bandwidth will grow as Business & Residential consumers migrate to Cloud computing. Does your company have a Cloud Computing Partner to recommend to your Access customers and can you monetize the application?
Considering Precision Farming, does your company view farmers as business accounts and will you offer brackets of service levels or charge by Gb of usage?
Do you offer a Home Security System directly or through a partner?
Many new UHSI Applications will be created once the bandwidth is available!
In light of todays economy and FCC policies; has your Telephone Company really considered the value of the services they offer?
It is time for the Communication Industry to Retool with FTTH?
Multi-Dwelling

16. Technology & Consulting Director
Any Questions
Thank You
David Kitzinger
Technology & Consulting Director
Cell
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