1. Gresham College Lecture 22 nd October, 2010 "Youth transitions: from predictable to precarious pathways" John Bynner Institute of Education, London

2. Figure 1

3. Figure 2 Unemployed young people as percentage of the age group, 16-19 year olds and 20-24 year olds, 1977 to 2000 Young Men 1997

4. Figure 3 Unemployed young people as percentage of the age group, 16-19 year olds and 20-24 year olds, 1977 to 2000 Young women 1997 1999

5. Figure 4 Unemployment rates by age

6. Figure 5 The British Birth Cohort studies NCDS 1958 (n = 17,000) BCS70 1970 (n = 17,000) MCS 2000 (n = 19,000) NSHD 1946 (n = 5,000) 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 19401950196019701980199020002010 Child Data Age Year Child Data ALSPAC 1992 (n = 15,000). NCS 2012 (n= 30,000) NCS= New cohort study

7. Figure 6 Percent with university or college degree (by family social class)

8. Figure 7 Predicting NEET – odds ratios Not including highest qualification obtained by 16

9. Figure 8 Predicting NEET – odds ratios Including highest qualification achieved by 16

10. Figure 9 Predicting the outcomes of NEET at age 21 – odds ratios