1. “Prospects for Pay and Industrial Relations in the Irish Economy” Overview of Presentation Kieran Mulvey Chief Executive The Labour Relations Commission Friday 31 st January 2014 Environmental Scan Global Trends Public / Semi-State Development Private Sector Pay Challenges Collective Bargaining post Social Partnership Emerging Pay Round? Possible Future Agenda

2. Influencing Factors - Macro National budgetary policy Public Sector pay policy Public Sector Reform Policy Enterprise Share Value – monthly, quarterly, yearly profits Competitive pricing – internationally / externally Labour costs – nationally / internationally – competitiveness Human Resource policies – in public, semi-State and private sectors

3. Croke Park / Haddington Road Agreements Reduced pay costs Reduced pension costs (apart from Pension Levy) Reduced numbers – voluntary exits* Commitment to Reform in all sectors Extra working hours Work practice changes Binding Arbitration Industrial peace

4. Semi - States Public Transport: The CIE Group – Irish Rail, Bus Eireann, Dublin Bus Aviation: Aer Lingus (25% State owned) / DAA / IAA Natural Resources: Coillte / Teagasc Energy: Bord Gais Eireann / ESB Ports / Airports Local Authorities – Environmental and Waste Management Services

5. Possible Agenda for Social Dialogue Wage inflation and employment strategies Tax wedges, the USC and monopoly service costs / Stealth Taxes The competitiveness agenda (productivity and ongoing change) Restructuring in the Semi-States Future pension funding rules – for both D.B. and D.C. Utilisation of Dispute Resolution Bodies – accepting outcomes The “Better Business” agenda in workplaces and Training Industrial peace Future arrangements for Collective Bargaining