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CAITLIN GARRABRANT KATERINA MAMAY The Effect of Debt Forgiveness on Transparency Prof. VreelandOctober 14, 2014.

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Presentation on theme: "CAITLIN GARRABRANT KATERINA MAMAY The Effect of Debt Forgiveness on Transparency Prof. VreelandOctober 14, 2014."— Presentation transcript:

1 CAITLIN GARRABRANT KATERINA MAMAY The Effect of Debt Forgiveness on Transparency Prof. VreelandOctober 14, 2014

2 Research Question and Hypothesis Debt forgiveness Transparency

3 What is Transparency? HRV Index- How is it measured? Conditionality and Debt Forgiveness Robin Theobald and Conditionality in Africa

4 Literature Review Eric Neumayer’s research Nicholas Chauvin and Aart Kraay How is our research different?

5 Data 125 countries (1980-2010) Observations: 2103 Debt forgiveness mean: - 419.53 million constant 2005 United States dollars -WDI Transparency mean: - 1.18 (HRV index)

6 Method Control Variables: -Political Regime -GDP per capita -Country and year fixed effects Controlling for total central government debt

7 Regression Results Very slight positive correlation between debt forgiveness and transparency. Statistical significance at different income thresholds Correlations of control variables

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10 Before, During, and After Variables

11 Case Studies Benin: - HIPC 1998-2003 Zambia - HIPC 2000-2004 *Both countries increased transparency before and during participation in the HIPC Initiative. *Transparency levels dropped after completion.

12 So What?

13 Implications Does reform last? Are debt relief programs effective policy tools?

14 Thank you


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