1. 1 1/30/2016 NWS S&T Committee September 18, 2002 NWS S&T Committee September 18, 2002 David Helms Science and Technology Infusion Plan for Observations Science and Technology Infusion Plan for Observations

2. 2 1/30/2016 Outline Team Composition Vision Key Gaps Key Solutions Outstanding R & D Needs Infusion Strategy Summary Team Composition Vision Key Gaps Key Solutions Outstanding R & D Needs Infusion Strategy Summary

3. 3 1/30/2016 Observations Team Composition David Helms – NWS/OST Bob Saffle – NWS/OST Tim Ross – NWS/OCWWS John Bradley – NWS/OCWWS Tom Carroll – NWS/NOHRSC Naomi Surgi – NWS/NCEP Dan Henderson – NWS/NDBC David Helms – NWS/OST Bob Saffle – NWS/OST Tim Ross – NWS/OCWWS John Bradley – NWS/OCWWS Tom Carroll – NWS/NOHRSC Naomi Surgi – NWS/NCEP Dan Henderson – NWS/NDBC Tom Schlatter – OAR/FSL Bill Neff – OAR/ETL Rick Artz – OAR/ARL Marcia Weaks – NOS Pam Taylor – NESDIS/OSD John Pereira – NESDIS/OSD Steve Goodman – NASA/MSFC Kelvin Droegemeier – OU/CAPS

4. 4 1/30/2016 Implementation Keys: Continuous Assessment of Need and Capabilities Vigorous Collaboration Rapid Infusion of High Impact Technologies Observations Vision Observations When and Where Needed Observing System Keys: Adaptable Precise Comprehensive

5. 5 1/30/2016 Observations Key Service Gaps Linking Observational Advances to Service Improvements Improved Detection of Mesoscale Phenomena: –Severe Storm, Gravity Waves, Turbulence, Lightning –Moisture, Precip Types, Cloud, Surface Properties Decrease Uncertainty in the Observing System Improved Observing System Calibration and Statistical Performance (Metadata) Improved Upper Air Global Observations Improved Observations of Coastal and Global Ocean Conditions Improved Radiation Budget Observations (Land, Sea, and Air) Improved Detection of Mesoscale Phenomena: –Severe Storm, Gravity Waves, Turbulence, Lightning –Moisture, Precip Types, Cloud, Surface Properties Decrease Uncertainty in the Observing System Improved Observing System Calibration and Statistical Performance (Metadata) Improved Upper Air Global Observations Improved Observations of Coastal and Global Ocean Conditions Improved Radiation Budget Observations (Land, Sea, and Air)

6. 6 1/30/2016 Observations Key Solutions Improved Inner Core, and Storm Steering Environment -> Improved Storm Intensity and Track 20% Improvement in 24hr Winter QPE and QPF Improved Targeting Schemes Expand Winter Storm and Tropical Recon Program Add Remote Sensing Capabilities to G-IV and WC-130 Develop More Flexible Adaptive Observing Platforms 8x Improved HRes DBZ VCP 5-> 4mins 2005 Dual Pole 2007: 20% Accuracy improvement of Hail, Rain FA+LT 88D PIP: ORPG, ORDA, Dual- Polarization Mesonet Expansion: COOP Modernization, GPS, Regional Networks Projected Solution Decrease Uncertainty in the Observing System Improved Detection of Mesoscale Phenomena Service Gap Impact

7. 7 1/30/2016 Observations Key Solutions Improved NWP Radiation DA and Validation Leverage SURFRAD, ISIS, ACORN, and Regional Soil Moisture and Temp Networks Improved Land, Sea, and Air Radiation Budget Observations Increased Accuracy of ENSO/SST Anomalies 100% Ocean/Lake Coverage Gulf Stream Position Expand VOS Program (Sfc, XBT, ASAP) Deployment of Coastal Storms Buoys and Profiles Leverage PORTS, NWLON, and NERRS, TAO, ARGO Improved Observations of Ocean Conditions Improve Day 2 thru Seasonal Forecasts of Temp/Precip/Hazards Expanded Aircraft Obs Leverage Research Satellites Acceleration of Satellite Data into NWP Improved Upper Air Global Observations Improved Calibration Baselines -> Improved Climatology and NWP DA Enables Dynamic Data Quality Assessment Parallel Testing of New and Legacy Systems Regional Testing Real-time Performance Metrics, by Station and Parameter Improved Observing System Calibration and Statistical Performance Monitoring ImpactProjected SolutionService Gap

8. 8 1/30/2016 NASA NPP WVSS2 ORDA Dual Pole COOP Modernization (8000) G-IV (IWRAP) METOP Observations Key S&T Solutions Satellite Upper Air Radar Surface Marine Soil Adaptive RRS ORPG VOS Enhancement (2500) CSI Buoys and Coastal Stations (30) 03 04 05060708 09 10 1112 02 Deployment DTE R&D OTE NASA EOS NPOESS GOES R CSI Marine Profilers FAA TDWR, ARSR (42) Expanded Mesonet (AWS) (10000+) COOP Modernization Enhancements(1000) SCAN (120/1000) G-IV 2x Flt Hrs C130 H->J C130 SFMR TC 2x Flt Hrs ASOS 1min

9. 9 1/30/2016 Observations Outstanding R&D Needs Improved Vertical Profiles Obs, esp. at BL Observations (Accuracy: Temp < 1C, Wind < 2mps, RH < 10%, Vert. Res <1Km, Precip) Improved Moisture & Cloud Properties (3-D Extent, Cloud Water, Droplet Size, Phase, Lightning) Improved Coastal and Ocean Surface Characterization (air/sea interface, wind, waves, sfc and column SST) Improved Adaptive Obs Techniques at Storm Scale and Platforms (UAVs, Balloons) Improved Air Quality Obs supporting predictive capability (ex. VOC, NOx, Sox, PM) Improved Vertical Profiles Obs, esp. at BL Observations (Accuracy: Temp < 1C, Wind < 2mps, RH < 10%, Vert. Res <1Km, Precip) Improved Moisture & Cloud Properties (3-D Extent, Cloud Water, Droplet Size, Phase, Lightning) Improved Coastal and Ocean Surface Characterization (air/sea interface, wind, waves, sfc and column SST) Improved Adaptive Obs Techniques at Storm Scale and Platforms (UAVs, Balloons) Improved Air Quality Obs supporting predictive capability (ex. VOC, NOx, Sox, PM)

10. 10 1/30/2016 Observations Infusion Strategy Continuous Observing System Needs and Opportunities Assessment Active Participation in Scientific Campaigns (PACJET, IHOP, CAMEX, NE Energy Experiment, THORPex) Improved Coordination Between Agencies and International Communities (CEOS, USWRP, NAOS, EUCOS) Testbed Development –Regional and Synoptic Scales –Transition System Calibration and Accuracy Support 4DVAR, climate; ex. JHT, JCSDA, SPRT National Integrated Backbones; ex. COOS Continuous Observing System Needs and Opportunities Assessment Active Participation in Scientific Campaigns (PACJET, IHOP, CAMEX, NE Energy Experiment, THORPex) Improved Coordination Between Agencies and International Communities (CEOS, USWRP, NAOS, EUCOS) Testbed Development –Regional and Synoptic Scales –Transition System Calibration and Accuracy Support 4DVAR, climate; ex. JHT, JCSDA, SPRT National Integrated Backbones; ex. COOS

11. 11 1/30/2016 Observations Summary 20072012 Increasing Performance 2020 2002 R&D Needs Boundary Layer Observations Improved RH & Cloud Observations Improved Adaptive Obs Strategies, Platforms, and SensorsImproved Adaptive Obs Strategies, Platforms, and Sensors Improved Vertical Profile ResolutionImproved Vertical Profile Resolution Vision Supporting NWS Service missions Observations When and Where Needed Mature WSR-88D ORPG, ORDA Rapid Expansion of Mesonets Expansion of Aircraft Obs Development of Testbed Strategies WSR-88D Upgrades (Dual Pol, Phased Array) Improved LEO and GEO Satellites; >> data volume!!! Expansion of Adaptive Obs Increasing Radiation Budget Observations

12. 12 1/30/2016 Observations Vision Observations When and Where Needed Observing System Keys: Adaptable Precise Comprehensive Implementation Keys: Continuous Assessment of Need and Capabilities Vigorous Collaboration Rapid Infusion of High Impact Technologies