1. Impacts of Climate Change in The British Isles Dr John E. Thornes Reader in Applied Meteorology University of Birmingham

3. WM Baseline Climate 1961-90 Mean Temperature: 9.5 deg.C Mean Rainfall: 719 mm Mean Sunshine: 1400 hours No of Frost days: 36 No of Rain Days: 180 No of days Snow Lying: 18 No of Gale Days: 11 Mean Cloud Cover: 70% (5 or 6 Octas)

4. Scenarios Values quoted with respect to 1961-90 2011 – 20402020s 2041 – 20702050s 2071 – 21002080s Low Emissions: Widespread Clean and Efficient Technologies High Emissions: Very Rapid Economic Growth

8. WM Baseline Climate 2080s 1961-90 2071-2100 Mean Temperature: 9.5 deg.C 11 – 14 deg.C Paris - Marseille Mean Rainfall: 719 mm 690 mm ? (Corsica) Mean Sunshine: 1400 hours 1500 hrs ? No of Frost days: 36 30 ? No of Rain Days: 180 160 ? No of days Snow Lying: 18 9 ? No of Gale Days: 11 12 ? Mean Cloud Cover: 5 or 6 octas 5 ? Plus More Extremes of Climate? Gales, Tornados, Floods, Droughts

9. Example Impacts in UK Water Resources: More Winter Flooding? : More Summer Drought? Agriculture : More Pests? : Change Crops Biofuels? Energy : Less Winter Fuel? : More Summer Cooling? Tourism : Better UK Summers?