1. Alaska 2020: How Many Jobs (and Where) and How Many People? January 31, 2013 CTE Annual Work Session Dan Robinson Research and Analysis Chief Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development

2. How Many Jobs?

3. 362,159

4. How Many People?

5. 802,764

6. Questions?

7. Numbers Need Context …

9. How Does Alaska Employment Growth Compare to U.S.?

10. The Details Behind the 37,000 New Jobs: Growth by Industry

11. Another Way to Look at It … Source: Alaska Department of Labor andWorkforce Development, Research and Analysis Section Health Care and Social Assistance, Public & Private, 12,940 Retail Trade, 4,038 Educational Services, Public & Private, 3,582 Accommodation and Food Services, 3,395 Financial Activities (Including Real Estate), 1,966 Total Government, 1,966 Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services, 1,915 Mining (Including Oil and Gas), 1,312 Other Services (Except Government), 1,064 Wholesale Trade, 590 Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services, 1,428 Construction, 1,606 Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation, 535 Transportation and Warehousing, 1,692 Information, 101 Utilities, 155 Manufacturing, 441

12. Employment Growth, % Change, 2010-2020 12

13. Occupations with the Largest Increase, 2010-2020

14. Alaska’s Fastest Growing Occupations, 2010 - 2020

15. Alaska’s Jobs by Level of Education, Projected 2020 Bachelor's degree 14.8% (51,910) Associate's degree 6.2% (21,869) Postsecondary non-degree award 4.4% (15,439) Doctoral or professional degree 2.1% (7,542) Master's degree 1.5% (5,398)

16. Alaska’s Top Jobs by Level of Education Projected 2020 Bachelor's degree 34.2% (23,108) Associate's degree 19.7% (13,299) Postsecondary non-degree award 4.7% (3,181) Doctoral or professional degree 3.7% (2,535) Master's degree 2.2% (1,464) High school diploma or equivalent 34.2% (23,119) Less than high school 1.3% (899)

17. Top Jobs All Jobs Alaska’s Jobs by Level of Education Projected 2010-2020 Bachelor's degree 14.8% Associate's degree 6.2% Postsecondary non-degree award 4.4% Doctoral or professional degree 2.1% Master's degree 1.5% Doctoral or professional degree 3.7% Master's degree 2.2% Bachelor's degree 34.2% Associate's degree 19.7% Postsecondary non-degree award 4.7% High school diploma or equivalent 34.2% Less than high school 1.3%

18. Wages and Projected 2020 Employment for Alaska by Level of Education $29,196 $110,683 $73,454 $76,671 $74,425 $52,314 $47,140 Annual Average 2011 Wage Projected Employment

19. Alaska’s Top Jobs, Projected 2020

20. Where the Openings Will Be Highest Projected Job Openings, 2010 to 2020

21. Openings by Occupational Category 2010 to 2020 Number of Openings Source: Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, Research and Analysis Section

22. Key Point … Economies as a whole are like cruise ships: complicated, heavy, and slow to change directions.

23. Now Let’s Talk Population …

24. A Population Picture Worth at Least a Thousand Words

25. Alaska’s Population Growth Has Resembled U.S.’s in Recent Decades

26. A Bonus – Alaska Training Provider Performance Report

28. A final thought … “It doesn’t matter what these students focus on, as long as they focus on it in a rigorous way.” “In survey after survey, employers seem to agree that the skill they want most in future workers is adaptability.” - Article on skills gap in Chronicle of Higher Education (does it apply to CTE?)

29. Thank You Sources for data: Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development, Research and Analysis Section U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics U.S. Census Dan.robinson@alaska.govDan.robinson@alaska.gov; 907-465-6040