1. Conducting Workforce Studies & Using Real-time LMI in Research Real-Time LMI Research Case Studies

2. Identifying Hard to Fill Stem Occupations The Conference Board Help Wanted OnLine (HWOL) Labor Market Statistics Center

3. Using Real Time HWOL Job Ads in Determining Hard to Fill Stem Occupations  Florida’s LMS uses Wanted Analytic’s monthly FTP download of HWOL Job Ads in its new expanded Supply/Demand Report  The file contains job ads data by occupation by area (State, MSA, & County- we add workforce regions as another area)  The file has Total Job Ads, as well as the number that are New Ads and the number that are Old (reposted) Job Ads

4. 4  LMS examined Florida Stem Jobs for a four month period (June – September 2011)  Reviewed in quintile rank order, the proportion of Old Ads to the number of Total Ads in attempt to use the metric as a way to identify “Hard to Fill Jobs” Using Real Time HWOL Job Ads in Determining Hard to Fill Stem Occupations (cont’d) 5 th Quintile= Hardest to fill 4 th Quintile= Hard to fill 3 rd Quintile= between Easy and Hard to fill 2 nd Quintile= Easy to fill 1 ST Quintile – Easiest to fill

5. FLORIDA STEM OCCUPATIONS - HELP WANTED ONLINE JOB ADS WITH VOLUME INDICATED YEAR MONTHSOCOCCUPATION in SOC and MONTH ORDER TOTAL VOLUME VOLUME NEW VOLUME OLD FL EDUCATION LEVEL CODE 20116113021Computer and Information Systems Managers8604454154 20117113021Computer and Information Systems Managers7373234144 20118113021Computer and Information Systems Managers7954933024 20119113021Computer and Information Systems Managers7574103474 20116113051Industrial Production Managers16089714 20117113051Industrial Production Managers14987624 20118113051Industrial Production Managers14876724 20119113051Industrial Production Managers13270624 20116119011Farm, Ranch, and Other Agricultural Managers161154 20117119011Farm, Ranch, and Other Agricultural Managers171074 20118119011Farm, Ranch, and Other Agricultural Managers322754 20119119011Farm, Ranch, and Other Agricultural Managers191094 20116119021Construction Managers3322131194 20117119021Construction Managers345263824 20118119021Construction Managers3712711004 20119119021Construction Managers3482461024 20116119041Engineering Managers4122341785 20117119041Engineering Managers3722001725 20118119041Engineering Managers3411891525 20119119041Engineering Managers3471951525 Real Time HWOL STEM Job Ads were collected by Occupation for 4 months*… * June – September 2011

6. SOCSTEM OCCUPATION IN SOC ORDER TOTAL HWOL JOB AdsNEW AdsOLD Ads *FL EDUC. CODE % of OLD JOB Ads in TOTAL Ads 291111 Registered Nurses524692917123298444.40% 291122 Occupational Therapists15234114803754624.64% 291123 Physical Therapists18274134344840626.49% 291127 Speech-Language Pathologists851361522361627.73% 292033 Nuclear Medicine Technologists1106446441.82% 292051 Dietetic Technicians783642353.85% 292061 Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nur626939492320337.01% 292071 Medical Records and Health Information Technic322919261303440.35% 312011 Occupational Therapist Assistants981173392472425.20% The 4 Months of HWOL job ads data then aggregated together by occupation---- * 1= Less than HS 2=High School 3=PSAV 4= AS, AAS 5= BACHELORS 6=MASTERS’ and UP

7. SOC STEM OCCUPATION ranked by % of OLD Volume in TOTAL TOTAL HWOL JOB AdsNEW Ads OLD Ads *FL EDUC. CODE % of OLD JOB Ads in TOTAL Ads 172171 Petroleum Engineers17954125569.83% 172161 Nuclear Engineers16756111566.47% 191029 Biological Scientists, All Other23815565.22% 192043 Hydrologists1439564.29% 191020 Biological Scientists602337561.67% 192012 Physicists441727661.36% 194093 Forest and Conservation Technicians732944360.27% 191032 Foresters803347458.75% 291062 Family and General Practitioners317713341843658.01% 191013 Soil and Plant Scientists22512554.55% 291051 Pharmacists332315151808654.41% 191041 Epidemiologists462125654.35% 292051 Dietetic Technicians783642353.85% 191023 Zoologists and Wildlife Biologists974552553.61% 251032 Engineering Teachers, Postsecondary1476978653.06% 152021 Mathematicians381820652.63% 251041 Agricultural Sciences Teachers, Postsecondary422022552.38% 172131 Materials Engineers1226062550.82% 131199 Business Operations Specialists, All Other210110391062450.55% 172011 Aerospace Engineers909454455550.06% 251071 Health Specialties Teachers, Postsecondary865434431649.83% 251042 Biological Science Teachers, Postsecondary311159152648.87% 172112 Industrial Engineers510126222479548.60% 192031 Chemists288150138547.92% 251021 Computer Science Teachers, Postsecondary272142130547.79% { Occupations above appearing to be hardest to fill -5th quintile} 1757983469226 52.48% The Job Ads then ranked & ordered by % of Old ads in Total Ads - by Quintile Level Occupations appearing to be hardest to fill – 5 th Quintile

8. 152031 Operations Research Analysts1495782713647.69% 172141 Mechanical Engineers254913431206547.31% 172041 Chemical Engineers1427567547.18% 172061 Computer Hardware Engineers513271242547.17% 191042 Medical Scientists, Except Epidemiologists1365722643647.11% 113021 Computer and Information Systems Managers314916711478446.94% 151032 Computer Software Engineers, Systems Software1275684591546.35% 192041 Environmental Scientists and Specialists, Incl19410688545.36% 113051 Industrial Production Managers589322267445.33% 151011 Computer and Information Scientists, Research1488167645.27% 172072 Electronics Engineers, Except Computer887487400545.10% 493011 Aircraft Mechanics and Service Technicians1069592477344.62% 151061 Database Administrators352519571568444.48% 119041 Engineering Managers1472818654544.43% 291111 Registered Nurses524692917123298444.40% 152041 Statisticians1548668544.16% 518091 Chemical Plant and System Operators341915344.12% 172081 Environmental Engineers433242191544.11% 172071 Electrical Engineers233613161020543.66% 191031 Conservation Scientists1015744543.56% 132011 Accountants and Auditors1270871945514443.39% 151051 Computer Systems Analysts1505985386521443.30% 291031 Dietitians and Nutritionists824468356543.20% 151031 Computer Software Engineers, Applications721641133103443.00% 251011 Business Teachers, Postsecondary398227171542.96% 151071 Network and Computer Systems Administrators997156914280442.92% { Occupations above appearing to be hard to fill -4th quintile} 1200756703353042 44.17% SOCSTEM OCCUPATION ranked by % of OLD Volume in TOTAL TOTAL HWOL JOB AdsNEW AdsOLD Ads *FL EDUC. CODE % of OLD JOB Ads in TOTAL Ads Occupations appearing to be hard to fill - 4th Quintile

9. 172111 Health and Safety Engineers, Except Mining Saf429245184542.89% 251022 Mathematical Science Teachers, Postsecondary237136101642.62% 291071 Physician Assistants246614181048542.50% 173026 Industrial Engineering Technicians509293216342.44% 151081 Network Systems and Data Communications Analys17431004739342.40% 292033 Nuclear Medicine Technologists1106446441.82% 492091 Avionics Technicians622362260341.80% 251192 Home Economics Teachers, Postsecondary1275541.67% 192042 Geoscientists, Except Hydrologists and Geograp855035541.18% 119199 Managers, All Other19061123783441.08% 151021 Computer Programmers613536552480340.42% 173023 Electrical and Electronic Engineering Technici1173699474440.41% 292071 Medical Records and Health Information Technic322919261303440.35% 173027 Mechanical Engineering Technicians1317952439.69% 132099 Financial Specialists, All Other20512580339.02% 191022 Microbiologists543321638.89% 192021 Atmospheric and Space Scientists18107538.89% 151099 Computer Specialists, All Other274721686910603338.60% 119121 Natural Sciences Managers367227140538.15% 172051 Civil Engineers1366846520538.07% 251031 Architecture Teachers, Postsecondary322012637.50% 172031 Biomedical Engineers754728537.33% 172199 Engineers, All Other26316598537.26% 131041 Compliance Officers, Except Agriculture, Const540339201337.22% 194031 Chemical Technicians865432437.21% 292061 Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nur626939492320337.01% { Occup.'s above appearing between easy and hard to fill - 3rd quintile}555343374521788 39.23% SOCSTEM OCCUPATION ranked by % of OLD Volume in TOTAL TOTAL HWOL JOB AdsNEW AdsOLD Ads *FL EDUC. CODE % of OLD JOB Ads in TOTAL Ads Occupation’s appearing between easy and hard to fill - 3rd Quintile

10. 194099 Life, Physical, and Social Science Technicians1046638436.54% 151041 Computer Support Specialists1114871294019336.05% 173021 Aerospace Engineering and Operations Technicians1495435.71% 514012 Numerical Tool and Process Control Programmers22014278335.45% 194021 Biological Technicians334216118435.33% 194051 Nuclear Technicians473116434.04% 172121 Marine Engineers and Naval Architects16310855533.74% 194091 Environmental Science and Protection Technicia360240120333.33% 173022 Civil Engineering Technicians16411252431.71% 173029 Engineering Technicians, Except Drafters, All1178037431.62% 536051 Transportation Inspectors1006931231.00% 119011 Farm, Ranch, and Other Agricultural Managers845826430.95% 319092 Medical Assistants531536971618330.44% 192032 Materials Scientists402812530.00% 194011 Agricultural and Food Science Technicians483414429.17% 119021 Construction Managers1396993403428.87% 451011 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Farming, Fi1339538428.57% 512023 Electromechanical Equipment Assemblers21715562328.57% 251052 Chemistry Teachers, Postsecondary896425628.09% 251054 Physics Teachers, Postsecondary574116628.07% 291127 Speech-Language Pathologists851361522361627.73% 312021 Physical Therapist Assistants650547261779427.35% 291123 Physical Therapists18274134344840626.49% 171011 Architects, Except Landscape and Naval21415856626.17% 251051 Atmospheric, Earth, Marine, and Space Sciences503713626.00% 251053 Environmental Science Teachers, Postsecondary31238525.81% { Occupations above appearing to be easy to fill - 2nd quintile} 537373789715840 29.48% SOCSTEM OCCUPATION ranked by % of OLD Volume in TOTAL TOTAL HWOL JOB AdsNEW AdsOLD Ads *FL EDUC. CODE % of OLD JOB Ads in TOTAL Ads Occupations appearing to be easy to fill - 2nd Quintile

11. 131051 Cost Estimators726539187425.76% 152011 Actuaries1138429525.66% 312011 Occupational Therapist Assistants981173392472425.20% 493023 Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics581343541459325.10% 172151 Mining and Geological Engineers, Including Min32248525.00% 192011 Astronomers421525.00% 291122 Occupational Therapists15234114803754624.64% 519011 Chemical Equipment Operators and Tenders1383223.08% 173011 Architectural and Civil Drafters25019654321.60% 173025 Environmental Engineering Technicians22717849421.59% 191012 Food Scientists and Technologists776215519.48% 171022 Surveyors816615418.52% 271024 Graphic Designers24692062407416.48% 319091 Dental Assistants23972044353314.73% 439111 Statistical Assistants871312.50% 513092 Food Batchmakers35314111.43% 499099 Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers6075476029.88% 453011 Fishers and Related Fishing Workers5651528.93% 454011 Forest and Conservation Workers5753447.02% 172021 Agricultural Engineers32050.00% 191011 Animal Scientists43050.00% 191021 Biochemists and Biophysicists21060.00% 193099 Social Scientists and Related Workers, All Other84050.00% 333031 Fish and Game Wardens22030.00% 152091 Mathematical Technicians0004N/A Occupations above appearing to be easiest to fill….38029291398880 23.35% SOCSTEM OCCUPATION ranked by % of OLD Volume in TOTAL TOTAL HWOL JOB AdsNEW AdsOLD Ads *FL EDUC. CODE % of OLD JOB Ads in TOTAL Ads Occupations appearing to be easiest to fill - 1 st quintile

12. SOCSTEM OCCUPATION TOTAL HWOL JOB AdsNEW Ads OLD Ads % of OLD JOB Ads in TOTAL Ads Categories % of ALL STEM ADS *** Aggregation results by difficulty in filling category *** Occupations appearing to be hardest to fill -5th quintile 175798346922652.48%6.17% Occupations appearing to be hard to fill - 4th quintile 120075670335304244.17%42.14% Occupations appearing to be between easy and hard to fill – 3rd quintile 55534337452178839.23%19.49% Occupations appearing to be easy to fill - 2nd quintile 53737378971584029.48%18.86% Occupations appearing to be easist to fill - 1st quintile 3802929139888023.35%13.35% 284,954176,16010877638.17%100%

14. 14 Possible Reasons for Reposted Ads…  Employers not able to find qualified applicants with desired skills  Employers not able to attract applicants due to the salary they offered  Seasonality may affect supply (e.g., teachers normally hired at start of school year, available supply is much more limited during academic year)  Headhunters fishing for resumes may be cause for some reposted ads

15. 15 Next Steps… More work and research needs to be undertaken to determine if job ad age can be used as an indicator for identifying hard–to-fill occupations The HWOL system now offers a “Job Ad Age Filter” that can be used to examine individual occupational ad ages by 30, 60, 90, 120, 180 & 360 days More exploration is needed using these ad age indicators and filters

16. Real-Time LMI May 2012 Labor Market Statistics Center

17. Real-Time LMI Help Wanted OnLine ™ (HWOL) States are to train workers for jobs in demand, according to the Workforce Investment Act What are states to do in the depths of a recession when traditional LMI shows little or no jobs in demand? – Traditional LMI is based on net job gains and losses by month – In Florida, during the recession all industries were in decline except healthcare – Could all of Florida’s one million unemployed work in healthcare? 17

18. Real-Time LMI Help Wanted OnLine ™ (HWOL) States need to catch the churning in the job market Industries with a net decline in employment still have hiring needs The answer: Real-Time LMI – Conference Board; Help-Wanted OnLine (HWOL) – Geographic Solutions; Employ Florida Marketplace Real-Time LMI is unduplicated job openings (ads) by occupation obtained by spidering technology 18

19. Benefits of Real-Time LMI Currency (continuously updated) Geographically comprehensive Nation, State, MSA, County, City Actual posted openings—not an estimate Has proven to be a leading indicator May include new and emerging occupations Useful for keyword searches Industry specific searches STEM Supplement to traditional LMI—not a replacement 19

20. How Real-Time LMI Helps WIBs Quotes from Mason Jackson, President/CEO WorkForce One, Fort Lauderdale Workforce Board HWOL helps the local board be the “go to” for the media – Describe what is happening in the local economy NOW Finds out which employers are hiring for what – Use for hiring leads/reemployment – Use for contact for services – Use for business outreach Helps the board be relevant – Establish the board in the community  As a source of information  As a source of services 20

21. Additional Uses of Real-Time LMI Drives training decisions for occupations in demand Adds value to partnerships with economic development/education – New source of information for site selection consultants – Helpful information for community colleges Identifies economic recovery trends in cities and regions Helps board be proactive with news media – Timely information – Ready-to-go charts and tables Allows career counselors to target employment opportunities by education level and salary Supports supply/demand model with a real-time demand indicator Provides an indicator of hard-to-fill job openings 21

22. Real-Time LMI Help-Wanted OnLine Occupations In Demand 22

23. Real-Time LMI Help Wanted OnLine™ 23

24. Real-Time LMI Help Wanted OnLine™ 24

25. Real-Time LMI Help-Wanted OnLine Cities With Most Online Ads 25

26. Real-Time LMI Help-Wanted OnLine Employers With the Most Online Ads 26

27. Help Wanted OnLine™ A Leading Economic Indicator? 27

28. FLORIDA’S EXPANDED SUPPLY / DEMAND REPORT Funded by the Workforce Data Quality Initiative (WDQI) May 2012 Labor Market Statistics Center

29. Florida’s Supply/Demand Model The indicators of potential labor supply by occupation are : WIA training enrollees and completers School District postsecondary vocational/technical enrollees and completers Florida College System (formerly Community colleges) enrollees and completers Commission on Independent Education - private education and workforce enrollees and completers Florida Public University graduates Jobseekers with known desired occupations (real-time indicator)

30. The indicators of occupational demand are: For Short-Term Analysis The Conference Board’s Help Wanted OnLine (HWOL) data series of monthly job ad openings or; Monthly job openings from the state’s job bank – Employ Florida MarketPlace (EFM) For Long-Term Analysis OES projected openings by occupation

31. Other informational data available are: Projected annual average occupational openings including entry, median and experienced wages Targeted Occupations List (TOL) indicator Enterprise Florida’s Targeted Industry Cluster indicator

32. The timing for data updates for the Supply/Demand web application are: WIA, Jobseekers and Help Wanted OnLine job ads - Monthly Public Education - Annually Term-by-term coming soon Private Education - Annually OES Projections - Annually

33. Enrollees may or may not complete training Completers may already have a job or may have moved out of the geographic area Jobseekers may or may not be qualified for the job they are seeking Approximately 1/2 of all jobseekers have their desired occupation identified in the system DATA CAVEATS

34. Job openings only include internet job ad postings (not all jobs are posted on the internet) The job ads have been de-duplicated but some duplicates still exist Time frames for supply and demand data elements differ District and Florida College System enrollees and completers are based on supply in the workforce region and are not statewide based University graduates are statewide only and cannot be parsed to workforce regions; the statewide report does include University graduates in supply DATA CAVEATS (CONT’D)

35. The Targeted Occupations List (TOL) for 2010-11 is based on long term projections to the year 2019 which assume economic recovery; some of these occupations are still in current decline due to the economic downturn Some occupations are typically hired at specific times of the year, such as teachers, agricultural related occupations, and others Information may be known at the local level that should be considered when using the occupational supply demand data, such as incoming or expanding firm(s) DATA CAVEATS (CONT’D)

36. Computer Systems Analysts Labor Supply / Demand Indicators by Occupation SUPPLYDEMAND Occupation Details WIA Training Enrollees 410 Job Ads For Short Term Analysis Help Wanted OnLine – 3,823 Current Employment 22,322 School District Enrollees 96 OR Projected Employment 26,113 College System Enrollees 4,071 For Long Term Analysis Projected Average Annual Openings 945 Projected Annual Avg. Openings 945 WIA Training Completers 26 Short term—demand > supplyEntry, Median, Exp. Wage $23.24 $34.00 $40.73 School District Completers 15 Long term—demand > supplyTargeted Occupation? YES College System Completers 277 Targeted Industry Cluster? YES Public University Graduates N/A Jobseekers - 1,114 (ST only) ST TOTAL SUPPLY = 1,432 LT TOTAL SUPPLY = 318

37. Florida Department of Economic Opportunity Labor Market Statistics Center Caldwell Building MSC G-020 107 E. Madison Street Tallahassee, Florida 32399-4111 Phone (850) 245-7257 Rebecca Rust Rebecca.Rust@deo.myflorida.com www.floridajobs.org/lmsc www.floridawages.com http://www.whatpeopleareasking.com/index.shtm 37