1. UNCLASSIFIED 1 Operational Intelligence Preparation of the Environment (OIPE) Briefing Isla del Sol 2-10 April 2015

2. UNCLASSIFIED 2 1.What is OIPE? 2.OIPE for the Isla del Sol: A.Geography; B.Weather, Threats and Hazards; C.Political, Military, Economic, Social, Information, Infrastructure, Physical and Time (PMESII-PT); D.Actor and Stakeholder Analysis; E.Troop Contributing Country Military Resources; F.Humanitarian Situation. Agenda

3. UNCLASSIFIED 3 OIPE: A continuous activity that assists Commander ’ s Appreciation Process during all phases of planning and execution of multinational operations. OIPE provides foundation for Commander ’ s Situational Assessment A key CTF planning principle is: “ Before any problem solutions can be identified the problem must first be clearly understood. –Understanding the problem(s) preventing attainment of the assigned military end states is essential for the CCTF to accurately understand the situation. OIPE is a modification of the Joint Intelligence Preparation of the Operational Environment (JIPOE) which includes: –Baseline analysis of the traditional intelligence concerns of enemy, weather, terrain; –Added considerations that political, military, economic, social, infrastructure, and information dynamics have on the operational environment. What is OIPE?

4. UNCLASSIFIED 4 This briefing will provide an overview of the OIPE for this workshop. A complete OIPE study is located in digital form on each laptop in your planning groups.

5. UNCLASSIFIED 5 Isla del Sol 2° S 4 ° S 6 ° S 8 ° S 170 ° E168 ° E172 ° E

6. UNCLASSIFIED IDS within the Region 6

7. UNCLASSIFIED IDS within the Region 7

8. UNCLASSIFIED IDS Geography & Demographics Island nation running northwest to southeast. Mountain spine runs entire length of island; Sea level to 1,500 m mountain peaks; Land area: ~ 140,000 km 2 (~ 54,054 sq mi) Slightly smaller than Nepal and Tajikistan. Population: 320,000 (2011 census) 54% urban & small towns (over 5,000 persons); Largest town: Ensenada at 63,192. 46% small towns and rural. 8

9. UNCLASSIFIED IDS Weather, Threats and Hazards Weather –Semi-arid to desert. –Mostly desert (≤ 30 cm of rainfall). –Semi-arid in southeast plain. Temperatures –Average 20° to 31° C (68°to 88° F). –Cooler in higher elevations. –Little seasonal variation. Hazards –Cyclones from January to April. –Flash flooding and landslides. –Tsunami exposure in low- lying areas. 9

10. UNCLASSIFIED IDS PMESII-PT Political: Parliamentary republic. Capital: Santa Rosalia 3 administrative districts Executive Branch  Prime Minister Carlos Manuel de Céspedes del Castillo  12 Cabinet Ministers Legislative Branch  Unicameral parliament – National Constituent Assembly  120 Assemblymen  4-year terms. Judiciary:  Highest court: Tribunal Supremo  Provincial courts: Audiencia Provincial  Municipal courts: Tribunal Municipal Isla del Sol gained independence from former colonial ruler Iberia 24 March 2014 through a UN-brokered referendum. 10

11. UNCLASSIFIED 11 Military Military: None Security Forces: –Gendarmerie  Guardia Civil  Island-wide jurisdiction  Divided into 3 Legions  1,500 Officers and enlisted personnel  Guardia Municipal  Metropolitan police for Ensenada and Santa Rosalia  210 police officers –Coast Guard  Servicio Guardacostas  130 Officers and enlisted personnel  6 Zhuk-class patrol boats  2 Fokker F-27 maritime surveillance aircraft. IDS PMESII-PT

12. UNCLASSIFIED IDS PMESII-PT 12 Economic: Underdeveloped agriculture and fishing economy: 33% ranching / herding / subsistence agriculture; 24% fishing; 19% commerce; 13% services. Potential for economic growth with foreign investment in oil exploration and palm oil farming. Inequitable distribution of income and wealth. Annual gross national product: US$ 400 million. Annual per capita income: US$1,250.

13. UNCLASSIFIED IDS PMESII-PT Social: Population: 320,00 (2011 census) Age structure: 0-14 yrs.35.3% 15-24 yrs.21% 25-64 yrs.40.1% 65+ yrs.3.6% Ethnic identity: Mestizo29% Mohanjerani25% Lahui Kanaka24% Mixed21% Other< 1% Religious affiliation: Christianity (Roman Catholic)43% Islam41% Lahui Kanaka15% Other < 1% Language (primary): Spanish*37% Western Arabic32% Lahui Kanaka31% * Spanish is the official language and lingua franca of commerce. Most Isla del Sol citizens speak conversational Spanish. 13

14. UNCLASSIFIED 14 Information Literacy rate: ~ 50%; 65% of population with < 5 years of formal education. Television: 1 state-owned station with national coverage; Multi-channel pay TV available. Radio: 2 state-owned radio stations; 2 privately owned radio stations; Multiple international broadcasters available. Telephones: Main lines in use: 25,400 Mobile phones in use: 164,200 Internet: 36,000 internet users. Newspapers: 2 large-circulation newspapers IDS PMESII-PT

15. UNCLASSIFIED IDS PMESII-PT 15

16. UNCLASSIFIED IDS PMESII-PT Physical Generally poor infrastructure, especially in rural areas. Distances from Santa Rosalia to (in km): Australia, Sydney3,699.9 Fiji, Suva1,462.7 Japan, Tokyo5,778.6 Malaysia, KL7865.1 New Caledonia, Noumea2,896.1 New Zealand, Auckland3,369.5 Solomon Islands, Honiara1,369.4 Thailand, Bangkok8,193.3 Tuvalu, Funafuti828.9 USA, Honolulu, HI4,527.5 Time +11 hrs. from UTC (Same as New Caledonia) 16

17. UNCLASSIFIED Major Actors in IDS Government of Isla del Sol: –Guardia Civil; –Guardia Municipal; –Servicio de Guardacostas. Armed Terrorist / Insurgent Groups: –Sons of Isla del Sol (SIS); –Kamali’I ka Me’e Lahui Kanaka (“Children of Lahui Kanaka Heros” – KMLK); –International Peoples’ Movement (IPM). Organized Crime Families: –Mohajerani Criminal Gangs (MCG); –Lahui Kanaka Criminal Gangs (LKCG). 17

18. UNCLASSIFIED Major Actors in IDS Gendarmerie and Servicio de Guardacostas 18 Guardia Municipal Guardia Civil (by Legion) Servicio de Guardacostas Legion 3

19. UNCLASSIFIED Major Actors in IDS SIS Area of Influence and Piracy Operations Santa Rosalia Santa Rosalia Ensenada San Felipe SIS Area of Influence SIS Piracy Operations Servicio de Guardacostas bases

20. UNCLASSIFIED Major Actors in IDS (cont.) IDS displaced persons: All IDPs100,000+ IDPs in San Felipe camps ~90,000 United Nations Support Mission in Isla del Sol (UNSMI) Humanitarian and Development communities: UN humanitarian agencies, funds & programmes; International organizations; Red Cross societies; Non-Governmental Organizations: “IDS CAA”. Foreign Workers: –Major employers:  Petroliam Nasional Berhad (PETRONAS)  Shell Oil Company (USA)  Sime Darby Berhad –Largest number of foreign workers  Malaysia9,500  USA1,250 20

21. UNCLASSIFIED Major Actors in IDS UNSMI and IDP Camp Locations 21 FO Ensenada FO San Felipe FO Santa Catarina FO Loreto FO Guerro Negro HQ Santa Rosalia San Felipe IDP camps HQ Santa Rosalia Field Offices: Ensenada Guerro Negro Loreto San Felipe Santa Catarina San Felipe IDP camps X 3

22. UNCLASSIFIED Major Actors in IDS Locations of Foreign Economic Interests 22 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Bahia Tortugas Santa Rosalia Santa Rosalia San Ignacio San Ignacio San Felipe Ensenada PETRONAS / Shell Oil Sites Sime Darby palm oil plantations Airports Seaports Highway 1 1 1

23. UNCLASSIFIED Major Actors in IDS Locations of Foreign Economic Interests & SIS Areas of Influence and Piracy Operations 23 1 1 1 1 Bahia Tortugas Santa Rosalia Santa Rosalia San Ignacio San Ignacio Airports Seaports Highway 1 PETRONAS / Shell Oil Sites Sime Darby palm oil plantations SIS Area of Influence SIS Piracy Operations 1 1 1 1 1 1 San Felipe Ensenada

24. UNCLASSIFIED 24 Isla del Sol Non-Combatant Evacuation Operation Mission: Evacuation of 1,916 foreign civilians from Isla del Sol. French-led Non-combatant Evacuation Operation in IDS, mixed nations, mixed services. NEO Forces for planning: MPAT Nations, mixed services NEO Forces Staging Area: Nouméa, New Caledonia –French government offers Nouméa as staging and destination point. IDS government consents to operation; anticipate SIS attempts to disrupt operation and / or target evacuees. Evacuees: Foreign non-essential diplomatic personnel and families, foreign aid workers and foreign workers.

25. UNCLASSIFIED 25 Isla del Sol Non-Combatant Evacuation Operation (cont.) Concentrations of evacuees: –Northern District: Ensenada, San Felipe, Northern GOPLATs –Central District: Santa Catarina, Guerro Negro, El Barril –Southern District: Bahia Tortugas, San Ignacio, Santa Rosalia, Southern GOPLATs, Loreto. Destinations: Directly to home country or to Nouméa, New Caledonia, for commercial transport home. Violence in Northern District, instability in Central and Southern Districts, piracy offshore. Execute mission NLT 1 May 2015

26. UNCLASSIFIED 26 Isla del Sol Non-Combatant Evacuation Operation 1 1 1 1 Bahia Tortugas Santa Rosalia Santa Rosalia San Ignacio San Ignacio Airports Seaports Highway 1 PETRONAS / Shell Oil Sites Sime Darby palm oil plantations UN & Humanitarian Operations Diplomatic missions SIS Area of Influence & Piracy 1 1 1 1 1 1 San Felipe Ensenada Santa Rosalia Santa Rosalia

27. UNCLASSIFIED Assets Available for Planning Non-combatant Evacuation Operation 27 Assets Available for Planning

28. UNCLASSIFIED Assets Available for Planning Non-combatant Evacuation Operation 28 Assets Available for Planning AUS –1 X JTF HQ –2 X C-17 –2 X C-130J –1 X AUSFEDPOL DET –1 X CBT TEAM (COY+) –1 SF ELEMENT –1 X JMCC –HMAS TOBRUK –HMAS ANZAC BGD –1 X C-130H –1 X MP PLT FIJ –1 X INF COY –RFNS 202 KIKAU –RFNS 303 SAKU FRA –TBD MYS –1 X ARMY SF TEAM –2 X MEDICAL TEAMS –1 X INF COY –KD MAHAMWAGSA –2 X FRIGATES –2 X C-130H –2 X B777-300 MYS AIRLINES PNG –HMPNGS SALAMAUA –HMPNGS MORESBY PHL –1 X A330-300 PHL AIRLINES –1 X MEDICAL TEAM –1 X MP PLT SAMOA –20 X POLICE OFFICERS TONGA –45 X ROYAL TONGAN MARINES –VOEA SAVEA –VOEA LATE TUVALU –10 X POLICE OFFICERS USA

29. UNCLASSIFIED Isla del Sol Stability Operation 29 Mission: In support of Govt. of IDS, assist in providing security, countering terrorism and protection of civilians. –At request of Govt. of IDS and in accordance with UNSCR 2275 and 2282 (2015). –Area to be secured: Isla del Sol. French-led stability operation in IDS, mixed nations, mixed services. Stability Operations Forces for planning: MPAT Nations, mixed services. Stability Operations Forces staging area: Nouméa, New Caledonia. –French government offers Nouméa as planning and staging area. –Participating nations to transport troops to staging area. Anticipate SIS and MCG opposition. Execute mission NLT 10 May 2015 –Handover to IDS Security Forces by 11 July 2015, full transition of operations by 21 August 2015. Requests for Forces allowed once approved by MPAT Secretariat.

30. UNCLASSIFIED Locations of Security Incidents As of 31 March 2015 30 1 1 1 1 Bahia Tortugas Santa Rosalia Santa Rosalia San Ignacio San Ignacio SIS Area of Influence SIS Piracy Operations Airports Seaports Highway 1 PETRONAS / Shell Oil Sites Sime Darby palm oil plantations 1 1 1 1 1 1 San Felipe Ensenada

31. UNCLASSIFIED Assets Available for Planning Stability Operation 31 Assets Available for Planning

32. UNCLASSIFIED Assets Available for Planning Stability Operation 32 Assets Available for Planning TBD

33. UNCLASSIFIED Isla del Sol Maritime Security Operation 33 Mission: In support of Govt. of IDS, assist in countering acts of piracy, providing security and protection of civilians in waters off IDS. –At request of Govt. of IDS and in accordance with UNSCR 2275 and 2282 (2015). –Area to be secured: Waters surrounding Isla del Sol. French-led Maritime Security operation, mixed nations, mixed services. Maritime Security Forces for planning: MPAT Nations, mixed services. Maritime Security Forces staging area: Nouméa, New Caledonia. –French government offers Nouméa as planning and staging area. –Participating nations to transport assets to staging area. Anticipate SIS and MCG opposition. Execute mission NLT 1 June 2015 –Handover to IDS Servicio de Guardacostas by 16 July 2015, full transition of operations by 21 August 2015. Requests for Forces allowed once approved by MPAT Secretariat.

34. UNCLASSIFIED Locations of Security Incidents – As of 31 March 2015 34 1 1 1 1 Bahia Tortugas Santa Rosalia Santa Rosalia San Ignacio San Ignacio SIS Area of Influence SIS Piracy Operations Airports Seaports Servicio de Guardcostas bases PETRONAS / Shell Oil Sites 1 1 1 1 San Felipe Ensenada

35. UNCLASSIFIED Assets Available for Planning Maritime Security Operation 35 Assets Available for Planning

36. UNCLASSIFIED Assets Available for Planning Maritime Security Operation 36 Assets Available for Planning TBD

37. UNCLASSIFIED 37 IDS OIPE Brief – Questions?