1. The Six Party Talks North Korea

2. LOGO Tran Thi Bich Ngoc The Six Parties NK Six Party Talks

3. LOGO Tran Thi Bich Ngoc Introduction  Purpose of the Six Party Talks (6PT): find a peaceful resolution for North Korea (NK) nuclear disarmament  Talks resulted from NK withdrawing from NPT in 2003  6 rounds of talks from 2003 to May 2007  Multilateral negotiations are now viewed as the best approach to deal with the North Korean nuclear program.  NK escalates its demands to justify delay its commitment.  The viability of 6PT is undermined by NK maneuvers.

4. LOGO Tran Thi Bich Ngoc Summary overview of nuclear standoff  NK’s series of ballistic missile launches on July 4 and nuclear test 9 October 2006 UN Resolutions 1695 & 1718 impose sanction on NK  The parties in the Six Party Talks have reached the February 13 agreement.  US Treasury Department released $25 million of North Korea-related a Macau-based bank in 14 March 2007.  North Korea delays to shut down its Yongbyon nuclear reactor by mid April as part of its obligations under a February 13 agreement.

5. LOGO Tran Thi Bich Ngoc Prospect for future of Six Party Talks Cost/Benefit Analysis  Diplomatic resolutions to NK nuclear issue  NK: sanction and isolation destabilization in NEA Isolation & Sanctions NK Security Assurances & Economic Benefits Stick Carrot

6. LOGO Tran Thi Bich Ngoc Prospect for future of Six Party Talks Security Assurances  NK central motivation for nuclear weapons is national security and regime survival  Security concerns should be addressed  Provide security assurances to NK  A number of historical examples (South Africa, Ukraine, Libya) seem to support the carrot policy

7. LOGO Tran Thi Bich Ngoc Nuclear Crisis Spiral Nuclear crisis Return to negotiation table Withdraw from Talks North Korea crisis spiral