1. Dukakis Center for Urban & Regional Policy Northeastern University School of Public Policy & Urban Affairs www.northeastern.edu/dukakiscenter A “Think and Do” Tank Meeting the Commonwealth’s Workforce Needs: Occupational Projections and Vocational Education Mass Business Roundtable Barry Bluestone November 19, 2015

2. Dukakis Center for Urban & Regional Policy  www.northeastern.edu/dukakiscenter Sources Projections of employment and job openings, 2012-2022, statewide and by Workforce Investment Area (U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics) (675 detailed occupations, 16 WIA’s) Educational attainment by occupation, 2010-2013 (American Community Survey, U.S. Census Bureau) (479 occupations) Senior enrollment by school and vocational education program (2013-14) (Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education) (96 schools and 79 programs) The search tool of O*NET (onetonline.org) to build the alignment of vocational education programs to occupations. (U.S. Department of Labor, Employment & Training Administration) Higher education attendance of seniors, by school district (2011-2012) (Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education) 6-year completion rates for Massachusetts community and 4-year colleges (Massachusetts Board of Higher Education)

3. Major Group Occupational Employment Change: 2012-2022

4. Dukakis Center for Urban & Regional Policy  www.northeastern.edu/dukakiscenter Net Employment Growth 2012-2022 Title Employment 2012 Employment 2022 10-Year Change in Employment 350000 Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations 280,707327,05046,343 290000 Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations 225,025265,51440,489 130000 Business and Financial Operations Occupations 201,823230,93329,110 150000 Computer and Mathematical Occupations 143,366171,40028,034 390000 Personal Care and Service Occupations 108,631136,66328,032 430000 Office and Administrative Support Occupations 497,406524,10126,695 110000 Management Occupations 222,774248,02025,246 470000 Construction and Extraction Occupations 116,411139,93123,520 410000 Sales and Related Occupations 341,489364,63223,143 310000 Healthcare Support Occupations 104,853127,46722,614 250000 Education, Training, and Library Occupations 205,501227,17321,672 210000 Community and Social Service Occupations 74,91989,04614,127 530000 Transportation and Material Moving Occupations 159,535173,19813,663 370000 Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations 112,240123,33311,093 490000 Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations 102,082110,9388,856 190000 Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations 49,41256,0526,640 330000 Protective Service Occupations 74,43579,5855,150 270000 Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations 60,37965,3574,978 170000 Architecture and Engineering Occupations 73,17976,7443,565 230000 Legal Occupations 31,25434,4253,171 450000 Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations 1,1541,21763 510000 Production Occupations 160,645156,051-4,594 Total All Occupations3,347,2203,728,830381,610

5. Dukakis Center for Urban & Regional Policy  www.northeastern.edu/dukakiscenter Replacement Workers 2012-2022

6. Dukakis Center for Urban & Regional Policy  www.northeastern.edu/dukakiscenter

8. Education Demand by Occupation: High School or Less - Projected 2022 SOCTitle High School or Less Some College or Associates DegreeBA or More 370000Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations68.9%22.9%8.2% 510000Production Occupations65.6%25.0%9.3% 470000Construction and Extraction Occupations65.6%25.8%8.6% 450000Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations63.5%23.3%13.2% 530000Transportation and Material Moving Occupations62.5%27.9%9.6% 490000Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations58.0%32.9%9.0% 350000Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations55.0%33.7%11.3% 390000Personal Care and Service Occupations47.1%36.6%16.3% 290000Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations40.3%46.0%13.7% 330000Protective Service Occupations40.2%33.7%11.3% 410000Sales and Related Occupations36.4%33.8%29.8% 430000Office and Administrative Support Occupations36.0%40.6%23.4% 310000Healthcare Support Occupations28.5%40.9%33.8% 210000Community and Social Service Occupations12.7%23.1%64.2% 110000Management Occupations12.0%20.9%67.1% 250000Education, Training, and Library Occupations11.1%24.5%61.5% 170000Architecture and Engineering Occupations8.5%21.7%69.8% 270000Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations7.6%35.2%57.7% 130000Business and Financial Operations Occupations5.8%19.4%74.9% 150000Computer and Mathematical Occupations5.8%19.4%74.9% 190000Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations4.1%9.3%86.7% 230000Legal Occupations3.6%10.8%85.6% TotalAll Occupations33.2%29.8%36.9%

9. Dukakis Center for Urban & Regional Policy  www.northeastern.edu/dukakiscenter Education Demand by Occupation: Some College/Associates Degree – Projected 2022 SOCTitle High School or Less Some College or Associates DegreeBA or More 290000Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations40.3%46.0%13.7% 310000Healthcare Support Occupations28.5%40.9%33.8% 430000Office and Administrative Support Occupations36.0%40.6%23.4% 390000Personal Care and Service Occupations47.1%36.6%16.3% 270000Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations7.6%35.2%57.7% 410000Sales and Related Occupations36.4%33.8%29.8% 350000Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations55.0%33.7%11.3% 330000Protective Service Occupations40.2%33.7%11.3% 490000Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations58.0%32.9%9.0% TotalAll Occupations33.2%29.8%36.9% 530000Transportation and Material Moving Occupations62.5%27.9%9.6% 470000Construction and Extraction Occupations65.6%25.8%8.6% 510000Production Occupations65.6%25.0%9.3% 250000Education, Training, and Library Occupations11.1%24.5%61.5% 450000Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations63.5%23.3%13.2% 210000Community and Social Service Occupations12.7%23.1%64.2% 370000Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations68.9%22.9%8.2% 170000Architecture and Engineering Occupations8.5%21.7%69.8% 110000Management Occupations12.0%20.9%67.1% 130000Business and Financial Operations Occupations5.8%19.4%74.9% 150000Computer and Mathematical Occupations5.8%19.4%74.9% 230000Legal Occupations3.6%10.8%85.6% 190000Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations4.1%9.3%86.7%

10. Dukakis Center for Urban & Regional Policy  www.northeastern.edu/dukakiscenter Education Demand by Occupation: B.A. or More – Projected 2022 SOCTitle High School or Less Some College or Associates DegreeBA or More 190000Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations4.1%9.3%86.7% 230000Legal Occupations3.6%10.8%85.6% 130000Business and Financial Operations Occupations5.8%19.4%74.9% 150000Computer and Mathematical Occupations5.8%19.4%74.9% 170000Architecture and Engineering Occupations8.5%21.7%69.8% 110000Management Occupations12.0%20.9%67.1% 210000Community and Social Service Occupations12.7%23.1%64.2% 250000Education, Training, and Library Occupations11.1%24.5%61.5% 270000Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations7.6%35.2%57.7% 310000Healthcare Support Occupations28.5%40.9%33.8% 410000Sales and Related Occupations36.4%33.8%29.8% 430000Office and Administrative Support Occupations36.0%40.6%23.4% 390000Personal Care and Service Occupations47.1%36.6%16.3% 290000Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations40.3%46.0%13.7% 450000Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations63.5%23.3%13.2% 330000Protective Service Occupations40.2%33.7%11.3% 350000Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations55.0%33.7%11.3% 530000Transportation and Material Moving Occupations62.5%27.9%9.6% 510000Production Occupations65.6%25.0%9.3% 490000Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations58.0%32.9%9.0% 470000Construction and Extraction Occupations65.6%25.8%8.6% 370000Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations68.9%22.9%8.2%

11. Dukakis Center for Urban & Regional Policy Northeastern University School of Public Policy & Urban Affairs www.northeastern.edu/dukakiscenter A “Think and Do” Tank Massachusetts Vocational Technical Education: A Survey of Employer Attitudes Cathy Tumber Barry Bluestone November 2015

12. Employer Survey N= 352

13. Dukakis Center for Urban & Regional Policy  www.northeastern.edu/dukakiscenter Key Findings

14. Dukakis Center for Urban & Regional Policy  www.northeastern.edu/dukakiscenter

39. Dukakis Center for Urban & Regional Policy Northeastern University School of Public Policy & Urban Affairs www.northeastern.edu/dukakiscenter A “Think and Do” Tank Thank You