1. How Did Metro Boston Grow? 2000-2010 11.521 – Spatial Database Management and Advanced GIS Final Presentation Group Members: Amy Jacobi, Eric Schultheis, Nse Umoh, Rob Goodspeed, Samira Thomas Prof. Joseph Ferreira

2. Presentation Outline Project Goals Process Methodology Results Conclusions

3. PROJECT GOALS

4. Project Goals Evaluate growth patterns in the metro-Boston between 2000 and 2010. Compare observed growth in the last decade with the MetroFuture scenarios: Let It Be and Winds of Change. Understand the effect of observed growth on greenhouse gas emissions by private vehicles.

5. PROCESS

6. Process Map Land Use Polygons (1999 & 2005) Census Block Populations ‘Non-Residential’ Block Finder Allocation Model Allocation to 250m Grid MetroFuture Scenarios (TAZs) Results Allocation to TAZ Allocation to Residential Areas Allocation to Sensible Geographies Input Data Evaluating Growth in metro-Boston Allocation to 25m Grid Geoprocessing VMT (205m Grid)

7. METHODOLOGY

8. Conflicting Topographies: An Example Area

9. Conflicting Topographies

11. The Grid(s)

12. Resolving Conflicts with the Grid (25m)

13. Allocation to Residential Areas Identify residential and institutional land uses. Identify blocks that do not intersect residential land use areas. Land use allocation –Sliver Finder Integrate Census Blocks (2000, 2010) and residential land uses Calculate areas, perimeter, and area/perimeter ratio Eliminate features with areas less than 400 sqm and area/perimeter ratio less than 1 –Population/housing unit allocation model (Access) P aloc = P * (A + L) / 2 A = land use area % of total area of Block, L = land use area % of residential area in Block

14. Model to Identify Block that do not Intersect with Residential Areas Model to Allocate to Residential Areas ArcGIS Models: Allocating to Residential Areas

15. Allocation to Residential Areas

16. Merge allocated residential areas with ‘missed’ blocks forming an allocated areas polygon file. Calculate the number of 25m grid centroids that fall in each allocated areas polygon. Identify allocated areas polygons with no 25m grid centroids. Convert the allocated areas polygons to 25m grid celss. Aggregate allocated 25m grid cells to 250m grid cells (add in population missed by 25m grid method). Aggregate allocated 25m grid cells to TAZs (add in population missed by 25m grid method). Allocation to Sensible Geographies

17. ArcGIS Models: Allocating to Sensible Geographies Model to Merge Habitable Area and Populated Blocks with no Residential Area. Model to Allocate to 25m Grid and then Aggregate to 250m Grid (due to resolution of 25m grid, metro-Boston area must be divided into 32 slivers and model run for each sliver )

18. Allocation to Sensible Geographies

19. Comparing 11.521 & MassGIS Allocations

20. RESULTS

21. CONCLUSIONS