1. Realignment: A One-year Examination of Offenders Released from State Prison in the First Six Months of Public Safety Realignment Association for Criminal Justice Research (California) 78 th Annual Meeting October 24-25, 2013

2. Public Safety Realignment Enacted on October 1, 2011 Lower-level offenders serve their sentences locally Offenders convicted of violent, sex-related, or other serious offenses continue to serve their sentences in prison Lower-level offenders released from state prison are supervised by local probation officers under Post-Release Community Supervision (PRCS), instead of by state parole agents State parole violators serve their revocation terms in local jails rather than state prison 2

3. of Realignment on of Realignment 3

4. Methodology To evaluate the impact of Realignment, two groups were created: 1)Pre-Realignment cohort of offenders released to parole from a CDCR State prison between October 1, 2010, and March 31, 2011, and 2) Post-Realignment cohort of offenders released to parole or PRCS from a CDCR State prison between October 1, 2011, and March 31, 2012* *Offenders whose supervision status changed within 30 days post-release (i.e., from parole to PRCS or vice versa) were excluded from the analysis for the post- Realignment cohort. 4

5. Evaluated impact of Realignment by comparing the rates of arrest, conviction, and returns to prison of those released from State prison in the first six months of Realignment with those released one year earlier ▫Probationers who are released from county jail or are supervised on the local level in lieu of prison or jail (i.e., non-non-non offenders) are not included 5

6. ARRESTS 6

7. One-Year Arrest Rates Compared to the prior year, the one- year arrest rates for offenders released during the first six months of Realignment is slightly lower than the comparison group released prior to Realignment (62.0 and 58.7 percent, respectively) 7

8. Arrest Types For the pre-Realignment cohort, parole supervision violations were the most common type of offense for which offenders were re-arrested, followed by felony offenses, and misdemeanor offenses For the post-Realignment cohort, felonies were the most common type of offense for which offenders were re- arrested, followed by supervision violations, then misdemeanor offenses From pre- to post-Realignment, there was a decline in arrests for supervision violations with a corresponding increase occurring in felony arrests 8

9. Arrests per Person Released The post-Realignment cohort had a slightly higher rate per person of offenders being arrested than the pre- Realignment cohort throughout the time period studied In total, the six-month rate of arrest went from 1.23 to 1.52 per person from pre- to post-Realignment, an increase of.29 more arrests per person 9

10. Count of Arrest Cycles Many offenders released during either period were not arrested within one year of release (approximately 40 percent) Of the 60 percent who were arrested, pre-Realignment offenders were much more likely than post-Realignment offenders to be arrested once Post-Realignment offenders were more likely than pre-Realignment offenders to be arrested three or more times 10 Pre-Realignment Post-Realignment Count of Arrest Cycles N% N% Total 51,910100.0% 37,448100.0% 0 19,73238.0% 15,46741.3% 1 15,73030.3% 8,03321.5% 2 8,46216.3% 5,53614.8% 3 4,2988.3% 3,3609.0% 4 1,9993.9% 2,0945.6% 5 8931.7% 1,1693.1% 6+ 7961.5% 1,7894.8%

11. CONVICTIONS 11

12. One-Year Conviction Rates The conviction rates are slightly higher for offenders released in the first six months post-Realignment for all months except March of 2012 There is a downward trend emerging in the post-Realignment data, but it is still too early to determine if this trend will continue over time 12

13. Conviction Types There was a slight shift in the type of convictions offenders are receiving, with a slightly higher proportion of felony convictions occurring post-Realignment. This was primarily due to increases in “Felony Property” and “Felony Drug/Alcohol” convictions The pattern of felony conviction types is consistent across the pre- and post- Realignment cohorts with “Felony Drug/Alcohol” as the most common conviction type, followed by “Felony Property” convictions, and then “Felony Person” convictions across all time periods studied 13

14. Convictions per 1,000 Released The post-Realignment cohort had higher rates of convictions per 1,000 releases for all months studied except March of 2012 Overall, the six-month rate of convictions per 1,000 offenders released went from 244 to 273 an increase of 29 convictions per 1,000 released 14

15. Count of Conviction Cycles Most offenders in the pre- and post- Realignment cohorts were not convicted of new crimes within one year of release and a similar proportion had only one new conviction A very small subset of offenders in the post-Realignment cohort has two or more new convictions as compared to the pre-Realignment cohort (4.1 and 2.7 percent, respectively) Pre-Realignment Post-Realignment Count of Conviction Cycles N% N% Total 51,910100.0% 37,448100.0% 0 40,84278.7% 29,04077.5% 1 9,65418.6% 6,90218.4% 2 1,2432.4% 1,2603.4% 3+ 1710.3% 2460.7% 15

16. RETURNS TO PRISON 16

17. One-Year Return to Prison Rates From October 2011 through March 2012, and overall, slightly more than 7 percent of offenders were returned to State prison within one year of release post-Realignment This is approximately 35 percentage points lower than the pre-Realignment return to prison rates, which ranged from 33.8 to 47.0 percent 17

18. Return to Prison Types In 2010, about 20 percent of the pre- Realignment cohort returned to prison for a new term and the remaining 80 percent returned for a parole violation Post-Realignment, almost all offenders who return do so due to a new conviction 18

19. Limitations 19

20. Examines only the first six months of Realignment, which makes it difficult to generalize about possible trends Time period is also likely not representative of the impact of Realignment as a whole because it reflects only the beginning of implementation Time period is likely not representative of Realignment’s eventual impact as there are still significant milestones that need to be accomplished on the part of the counties in terms of providing rehabilitative programming to parolees 20

21. CDCR CONTACTS 21

22. Bryan Beyer, Director Internal Oversight and Research Bryan.Beyer@cdcr.ca.gov G. Wayne Babby, Deputy Director (A) Office of Research Wayne.Babby@cdcr.ca.gov 22 Denise Allen, Chief (A) Office of Research Denise.Allen@cdcr.ca.gov