Presentation is loading. Please wait.

Presentation is loading. Please wait.

The 2012 NH “Beer Poll” CNN speaks to voters at 20 Manchester, New Hampshire, bars to "scientifically" determine the GOP primary winner.

Similar presentations


Presentation on theme: "The 2012 NH “Beer Poll” CNN speaks to voters at 20 Manchester, New Hampshire, bars to "scientifically" determine the GOP primary winner."— Presentation transcript:

1 The 2012 NH “Beer Poll” CNN speaks to voters at 20 Manchester, New Hampshire, bars to "scientifically" determine the GOP primary winner.

2

3

4

5 What are your expectations? What type of person might support each candidate?

6 Mitt Romney

7

8 Ron Paul

9 Mitt Romney

10

11 Newt Gingrich

12

13 Mitt Romney

14

15

16 Ron Paul

17 Mitt Romney

18 Jon Huntsman

19 Ron Paul

20 Newt Gingrich

21 Mitt Romney

22 Ron Paul

23 Mitt Romney

24

25 Ron Paul

26 The Results

27 In Percentage Terms Votes % Mitt Romney1155% Ron Paul 525% Newt Gingrich 315% Jon Huntsman 1 5% Rick Santorum 0 0% Rick Perry 0 0%

28 How does this “poll” match the CNN pre- election survey of registered NH voters? WMUR/University of NH poll Mitt Romney44% Ron Paul20% Rick Santorum 8% Newt Gingrich 8% Jon Huntsman 7% Rick Perry 1% NBC/Marist University poll Mitt Romney42% Ron Paul22% Rick Santorum13% Newt Gingrich 9% Jon Huntsman 9% Rick Perry 1%

29 How does this “poll” match the CNN pre- election survey of registered NH voters? The Beer Poll correctly ranks Romney, Paul and Gingrich. There is no support for Santorum or Perry in the Beer Poll. Small N poll should miss candidates with little support.

30 The Details ID GenderHairBeardLocationBeerCandidate 1 FBrnMurphy's TaproomShipyard PumkinheadMitt Romney 2 FBrnPortland Pie CompanyShipyard Applehead AleMitt Romney 3 FBrnJ.W. Hill's Sports BarHarpoon IPARon Paul 4 MGrayNXO On ElmStella ArtoisMitt Romney 5 MBrNShaskeenSmutty NoseMitt Romney 6 FBlnAte Floors DownBud LightNewt Gingrich 7 MNoneNMargaritasDos EquesNewt Gingrich 8 MGrayNMcGarveysCoors LightMitt Romney 9 MBrmustacheWild Rover PubGuinnessMitt Romney 10 MBrNThe FarmLongtailMitt Romney 11 MBrYMint BistroSam Adams Cherry Chocolate BockRon Paul 12 MBrYFireflyScrimshaw PilsnerMitt Romney 13 FBrnHookedSam Adams Winter LagerJon Hunstman 14 MBrYStrange Brew TavernBlue Point Optical IllusionRon Paul 15 MBlmustacheMillie's TavernMillie's Pumpkin AleNewt Gingrich 16 MBrYJillian'sCoors LightMitt Romney 17 MBrNK LoungePabst Blue RibbonRon Paul 18 MBrYPenuche's GrillBud LightMitt Romney 19 MBrNPJsCoors LightMitt Romney 20 FBrnDynasty LoungeShipyard Applehead AleRon Paul

31 Relationships FemaleMale Romney 29 11 33%64%55% ~Romney 45 9 67%36%45% 61420


Download ppt "The 2012 NH “Beer Poll” CNN speaks to voters at 20 Manchester, New Hampshire, bars to "scientifically" determine the GOP primary winner."

Similar presentations


Ads by Google