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Identifying and prioritising adaptation actions. Introduction Welcome & Acknowledgement Background Workshops  action plan General Manager’s support Housekeeping.

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Presentation on theme: "Identifying and prioritising adaptation actions. Introduction Welcome & Acknowledgement Background Workshops  action plan General Manager’s support Housekeeping."— Presentation transcript:

1 Identifying and prioritising adaptation actions

2 Introduction Welcome & Acknowledgement Background Workshops  action plan General Manager’s support Housekeeping Facilities, OH&S, Turn off mobiles [Insert Council logo]

3 Purpose Developing a Climate Change Action Plan Program Keeping to time Respectful discussion Introductions Evaluation forms Introduction

4 Gain internal support Steering Committee Meeting 1 -Develop a planning program Steering Committee Meeting 1 -Develop a planning program Workshop 1 -Introduction Workshop 1 -Introduction Steering Committee Meeting 2 -Research adaptation options Steering Committee Meeting 2 -Research adaptation options Steering Committee Meeting 4 -Action plan Steering Committee Meeting 4 -Action plan Steering Committee Meeting 5 -Review Steering Committee Meeting 5 -Review Steering Committee Meeting 3 -Mitigation Workshop 4 -Mitigation actions Workshop 4 -Mitigation actions Identify Planning Team Workshop 2 -Risk assessment Workshop 2 -Risk assessment Workshop 3 -Adaptation actions Workshop 3 -Adaptation actions Progress

5 Expected outcomes Participants will: Understand the concept of adaptation Identify adaptation actions Determine effectiveness of adaptation actions - by re-analysing risk statements Prioritise adaptation actions

6 Adaptation Adaptation: is preparing for the impacts of climate change Includes adjustments to reduce risks or take advantage of any potential benefits

7 Adaptation actions Treating risks: often strategic planning & resource allocation (rather than short term, reactive) Avoiding risks e.g. change location of new housing developments Education public & staff awareness Regulatory and institutional e.g. urban planning Photo by publik16 www.flickr.comwww.flickr.com

8 Adaptation actions Research for improved understanding Structural & technological solutions e.g. change in design of stormwater systems Spreading risks e.g. financial products or geographical diversification Bellingen flood Oct 27 '09 by Pip Wilson www.flickr.com www.flickr.com

9 Adaptation Under-adaptation & over-adaptation Balanced approach to managing climate & non- climate risks Integrating climate change risk management with the broader risk management processes Focus on higher priority risks Photo by Rossco www.flickr.comwww.flickr.com

10 Examples of adaptation actions Potential adaptation actions for Council include:

11 Overview of activity Part 1: Groups of 3-4 people Templates with risk statements that relate to your service area Fill in templates with at least 3 adaptation actions for each risk Re-evaluate likelihood & consequence of each risk assuming adaptation action is implemented

12 Part 2: Risk assessment tool for determining new risk rating & a risk effectiveness score for each adaptation action Check group agrees on rating Firstly, recap of likelihood & consequence scales….. Overview of activity

13 Success criteria Consequence = “How bad is it likely to be” Risks can affect Council in many different ways depending on objectives (success criteria) Success criteria suggested by the AGO (2006): –Public safety –Local economy and growth –Community and lifestyle –Environment and sustainability –Public administration **Replace with Council risk framework if applicable** Photo by yewenyi www.flickr.comwww.flickr.com

14 Consequence Rating Success Criteria Public SafetyLocal economy and growth Community and lifestyle Environment and sustainability Public administrationOther success criteria CatastrophicLarge number of injury or loss of life Regional decline leading to widespread business failure, loss of employment and hardship The region would be seen as very unattractive, moribund and unable to support its community Major widespread loss of environmental amenity and progressive irrecoverable environmental damage Public administration would fall into decay and cease to be effective A level that would constitute a complete failure MajorIsolated instances of serious injury or loss of life Regional stagnation such that businesses are unable to thrive and employment does not keep pace with population growth Severe and widespread decline in services and quality of life within the community Severe loss of environmental amenity and a danger of continuing environmental damage Public administration would struggle to remain effective and would be seen to be in danger of failing completely A level that would constitute a major problem close to complete failure ModerateSmall number of injury Significant general reduction in economic performance relative to current forecasts General appreciable decline in services Isolated but significant instances of environmental damage that might be reversed with intensive efforts Public administration would be under pressure on several fronts A significant issue which may be reversed with major efforts MinorSerious near misses or minor injuries Individually significant but isolated areas of reduction in economic performance relative to current forecasts Isolated but noticeable examples of decline in services Minor instances of environmental damage that could be reversed Isolated instances of public administration being under severe pressure No significant harm, but should be considered to prevent further escalation InsignificantAppearance of a threat but no actual harm Minor shortfall relative to current forecasts There would be minor areas in which the region was unable to maintain its current services No environmental damage There would be minor instances of public administration being under more than usual stress but it could be managed A level that would attract no additional attention or resources **Replace with Council risk framework if applicable**

15 Likelihood Likelihood ratingRecurrent RisksSingle Events Almost Certain May occur in most circumstances, say a number of times a month >90% chance of occurring Likely May occur in most circumstances, say about once a year 50-90% chance of occurring PossibleMay occur once every 2-5 years20-50% chance of occurring Unlikely The event may not yet have occurred, but could occur at some time, say once in 10 years 1-20% chance of occurring Rare May occur in exceptional circumstances <1% change of occurring **Replace with Council risk framework if applicable**

16 Analysing risks Level of Risk = Likelihood of an occurrence x Consequence of that occurrence MediumLow Rare Medium Low Unlikely High Medium LowPossible ExtremeHigh MediumLowLikely Extreme HighMedium Almost Certain CatastrophicMajorModerateMinorInsignificant Consequence Likelihood **Replace with Council risk framework if applicable**

17 Activity Part 1: Groups of 3-4 people Templates with risk statements that relate to your service area Fill in templates with at least 3 adaptation actions for each risk If someone else is better placed to address a risk, consult that person Re-evaluate likelihood & consequence of each risk assuming adaptation action is implemented

18 Activity Break while information is entered into the risk assessment tool Part 2: Risk assessment tool for determining new risk rating & a risk effectiveness score for each adaptation action Does group agree on the ratings?

19 Any questions?

20 Conclusion Thank you Evaluation forms

21 References AGO, 2006, Climate Change Impacts and Risk Management – A Guide for Business and Government http://www.climatechange.gov.au/community/~/media/publi cations/local-govt/risk-management.ashx http://www.climatechange.gov.au/community/~/media/publi cations/local-govt/risk-management.ashx


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